Abstract
Information on interwell connectivity is important in reservoir field dynamic analysis. However, all conventional methods, such as the tracer test, interference well test, and numerical simulation, have disadvantages. These disadvantages include the length of time taken, high costs, and the effect on oilfield production. Thus, research focus has been directed toward the development of approaches that use production and injection data to obtain interwell connectivity data. Prevailing interwell connectivity models are sensitive to shut-ins, and their corresponding inversion methods are unreliable. The improved interwell connectivity model presented in this study exhibits enhanced robustness to shut-ins. The application of seepage theories and numerical simulation methods enables the main model parameters to absorb prior geological knowledge to characterize the reservoir and improve the initial estimate of connectivity. Corresponding inverse methods for model parameters are implemented based on Bayesian inverse theory and the projection gradient method and obtain greater robustness for the model parameter, compared with those in previous studies. Testing of a heterogeneous synthetic reservoir and a Z16 reservoir block demonstrates that the methodology can precisely determine the interwell connectivity and can be used in real oilfields.
1. Introduction
Data on the interwell connectivity of any waterflooding development reservoirs are crucial for creating a waterflooding adjustment plan to modify flood patterns underground in order to enhance oil recovery. Owing to formation heterogeneity, water breakthrough, and field procedures, the interwell connectivity of the late waterflooding stage has become complicated. Finding the interwell connectivity profile and dynamic oil–water flows can show the remaining oil and help optimize procedures.
Tracer testing, well test analysis, and numerical simulation are the commonly used methods to test interwell connectivity. Interwell tracers1,2 can provide reliable but ambiguous information about connectivity. They give the profile of the flow paths between injectors and producers under a fixed pressure pattern and help describe the continuity and direction characteristics in the reservoir. However, tracer monitoring entails a long wait for a breakthrough, which also involves pressure and well distance. Well test analysis3,4 interprets transient pressure perturbations between the stimulus well and the response well to obtain the pressure transmission coefficient, permeability in different directions, and fracture direction. To ensure that the as much formation information as possible is obtained in the pressure test, the stimulus well tends to be a high-rate producer, which exhibits good permeability. Consequently, pressure testing affects the routine production, and the procedure cannot interpret long-distance wells because of signal attenuation. Conventional grid-based reservoir numerical simulation5,6 can clearly depict the remaining oil after the cumbersome task of history matching, but cannot directly reveal the interwell connectivity and data uncertainty propagation with the grid increased. As such, these methods cannot be implemented on a large scale to provide an insight into the reservoir.
Production and injection rates are the most abundant data available in any injection projection. 7 Numerous techniques have been proposed based on production and injection data to obtain information on interwell connectivity. In this category, Spearman analysis, multivariate linear regression (MLR),8,9 the capacitance model (CM),10–16 and systemic analysis methods 17 are the prevailing methods. Spearman analysis and MLR operate under the assumption that production and injection rates exhibit a linear relationship and that the relevant coefficients reflect the interwell connectivity. Compared with Spearman analysis and MLR, the CM can characterize the connectivity, hysteresis, and attenuation between injection and production wells after integration with mass balance theory. On the basis of the features of first-order linear time-delay systems, systemic analysis treats the production and injection rates as the input and output signals of a reservoir; in addition, system analysis involves fewer model parameters than the CM. Previous studies have established several numerical models7–17 and have been integrated with parameter estimation17–22 to approach interwell connectivity. The inadequacies common to all of these methods are that the sensitivity of the model to shut-ins only works well within the stable period and that some model parameters lack geological characteristics, such as hydraulic fracturing and fractures,23–26 because they are not rooted in reservoir theory. In addition, the inverse result obtained by parameter estimation without constraints in these studies is not reliable and even contradicts prior knowledge of geology.
With the aforementioned defects considered, an improved interwell dynamic connectivity model based on linear time-delay analysis and the inverse method (improved interwell connectivity model (IICM)) was established. This technique can be applied in the field with frequent shut-in events. The parameters of the IICM are well understood and characterize the reservoir properties. Based on Bayesian inverse theory,27–29 an optimization algorithm was implemented on the model with constraints. The developed technique is applied in a synthetic reservoir model and a Z16 reservoir block. The results are reliable and can precisely estimate the interwell connectivity.
2. Improved interwell connectivity model
2.1. Modeling
Injection and production wells and an interwell porous medium comprise the system. The injection rate is considered the input signal (incentive) and the production rate (response) is the output signal of the reservoir. With constant producer bottom pressure, we can use numerical simulation to capture response signals when the injection rate is a unit step signal, as shown in Figure 1. Compared with the injection rate, the production rate shows reduction and time delay because of the dissipation of the signal intensity on the propagation process.

Linear time-delay response signal of the injection and production system.
According to the response characteristics of the unit step signal shown in Figure 1, the injection and production system performance exhibits linear time delay. The transfer function of linear time-delay analysis can be stated as follows:
where
According to the transfer function of the injection and production system, the unit step response of the linear time-delay analysis at the zero state is as follows:
Provided that the reservoir has I injectors and J producers, and for each producer j, the response production rate of all injection wells on j is
Considering the effect of the initial production rate, adding up all injection impulses responds to the production well at each time step, whereas the injection rate varies continuously and the real response of the producer can be indicated by the following:
Considering the change in bottom pressure and well interference, the approximate production rate of producer j is as follows:
where
Equation (5) includes three parts: the first part, which indicates the injection–production imbalance constant; the second part, which denotes the effect of the initial production rate; the third part, which is the modified value after injected signal pretreatment. The effect of the initial production rate is generally so small that it can be neglected.
When some wells are shut in, according to the latter theoretical analysis of connectivity, the relevant distribution coefficient changes, as shown in Equation (12). If the distribution coefficient of Equation (5) was rectified by Equation (12), we can obtain an IICM that could concern a shut-in event, as follows:
where
For the steady-state flow, the transmissivity is
where
View injector i as the center well:
Under the normal production state, if the production rate fluctuation is regarded as the main result of injection rate fluctuation and neglects the interference of producers:
According to Equations (8) and (9), when some wells are shut-in, the ratio of the production rate of a normal producer before and after the shut-in procedure is expressed as follows:
The distribution coefficient from the injector to the normal producer is given by the following:
and the distribution coefficient between the shut-in producers to the surrounding injector is 0. To indicate the problem, the Dirichlet function is introduced as follows:
Thus, the distribution coefficient between injector i and producer j at time t can be presented as follows:
2.2. Hysteresis coefficient analysis
The hysteresis coefficient has been introduced in numerous studies, but the geological data they contain has not been analyzed.10–19 The difference in the hysteresis coefficient qualitatively reflects the heterogeneity of the reservoir. Implemented by factor analysis, the relationship between the hysteresis coefficient and the geological parameter is quantified.
A synthetic homogeneous two-dimensional (2D) model is constructed for the influence factor analysis, as shown in Figure 2. The grid of the 2D model is 7×16, and DX = DY = 20 m, DZ = 10 m. The porosity is 0.2, and the oil viscosity is 5 mPa•s. The model has one injector and one producer. The injector operates at a fixed rate of 25 m3/d, and one producer works in steady BHP. Total compressibility, permeability, height of formation, viscosity, and distance of well pairs are among the geological parameters. The response production rate under different sets of geological parameters is analyzed and history-matched based on the IICM. The relationship curves of total compressibility and permeability to the response production data are depicted in Figure 3. Combined with orthogonal experimental design and multivariate statistical analysis, the relationship between the hysteresis coefficient and geologic parameters is quantified.

The two-dimensional model.

Relationship between response production rate and geological characteristic.
On the basis of single-factor analysis, combined with orthogonal design and multivariate statistical methods, the relationship between the hysteresis coefficient and geological parameters can be quantified as follows:
where
3. Inverse method of the improved interwell connectivity model
3.1. Basic theory
The inverse problem refers to the determination of the parameters of current interwell connectivity models typically solved using an optimization algorithm.12–14 In MLR and the CM, the transmissibility of a production–injection pair is independent of the other producers. Therefore, we can easily obtain the solution for a single well in the field individually.
However, this method has a disadvantage: the inversion result may not be realistic. The sum of transmissivity of the individual injector may be greater than 1, given that the model parameters cannot be completely constrained. Moreover, the model cannot be applied in fields in which wells are shut in frequently or over a long period of time. Only the injection and production data captured during the steady-production period can be used in the inverse problem. The data limitation renders the inversion result unreliable.
In the IICM, the distribution coefficient reflects the connectivity information of all producers in the reservoir. To diminish the ill-posed nature of the solution, the production data of all producers are history-matched using a constraint optimization algorithm. 30 In addition, we can use the production data during the entire period of reservoir development as the IICM is capable of considering the shut-in procedure. On the basis of a Bayesian framework,27–29 we establish the objective function of the inverse problem as follows:
where s is an
The practical solution usually neglects the first part of Equation (16)
28
because of the difficulty of obtaining
subject to:
Calculating the gradient of the target function
where G is the sensitivity coefficient matrix of
Combined with the gradient projection
30
and after the gradient
where r is the number of iteration steps; I is the unit matrix; D is the coefficient matrix of the constraints whose element
3.2. Calculation steps
Assign the actual production data
Calculate the production rate by the IICM, obtain relevant
On the basis of Equations (21) and (22), calculate the sensitivity coefficient matrix
Substitute
If
When it satisfies the following conditions of convergence, the optimization process is terminated, and the optimal solution of inversion is obtained:
Otherwise, let
4. Model application
4.1. Synthetic model application
We examine the IICM by applying it in a high-permeability channel synthetic reservoir, as depicted in Figure 4, by numerical simulation. The field uses five-spot network waterflooding, and the injection rates are fixed. The four producers operate at a fixed bottom-hole pressure in the different corners of the square field. Some of the producers are shut in for a long time while all the injectors remain working. The WLPR (well liquid production rate) data history-matched by the IICM and CM is presented in Figure 5. The inverse distribution coefficients of the IICM and CM are shown in Table 1 and are converted to the arrow size depicted in Figure 6.

Permeability distribution of the channel reservoir.

WLPR matched data of P1. IICM: improved interwell connectivity model; CM: capacitance model; WLPR: well liquid production rate.
Inverse distribution coefficient of the improved interwell connectivity model (IICM) and capacitance model (CM).

Inverse distribution coefficient of the improved interwell connectivity model (IICM) and capacitance model (CM).
According to the estimated parameters and matching data shown in the figures and table, the CM is sensitive to the shut-in procedure, and the estimated distribution coefficients conflict with the known geological characteristics. The IICM can handle the rate of change of producer caused by the shut-in, and the distribution coefficients are coincidental with the high-permeability channel. Moreover, the sum of the distribution coefficient of a single well is 1, which demonstrates that the parameter estimation method implemented in the IICM is reliable.
4.2. Real reservoir application
We implemented the methodology in Z16 reservoir blocks. The block has an oil-bearing area of 2.0 km2 and has thin and low permeability layers. The average permeability and oil viscosity of the layers are 7.9 mD and 27.55 mPa•s, respectively. After long-term waterflooding, the pressure distribution is uneven, and water influx to the channel commonly occurs in the field.
To obtain the well connectivity under the current well pattern, we history-matched the injection and production data for the last six years. Some of the matched data are shown in Figure 7. The fitting correlation coefficient of the production data exceeds 85%. According to the well connectivity obtained by the IICM, shown in Figure 8, all injectors have a water channel formed in the well groups, except Z16X-4-3, which leads to low oil recovery. On the basis of the knowledge of well connectivity, the field can perform water shutoff procedures for producers and optimize the well pattern to improve waterflooding management.

Part of the WLPR matched data. IICM: improved interwell connectivity mode; WLPR: well liquid production rate.

Well connectivity of the Z16 reservoir block.
5. Conclusions
The IICM can consider the shut-in event in the reservoir, and the quantitative model parameters have explicit geological significance.
Combined with the projection gradient method, the methodology implemented can confine whole model parameters and ensure that the estimated parameters have definite physical meaning and are reliable.
Compared with the CM, the IICM can more precisely estimate the model parameter and more closely match the coefficient. The inverse well connectivity reveals the oil–water dynamics and can help adjust the waterflooding management to enhance oil recovery.
Footnotes
Funding
This work was supported by the PetroChina Innovation Foundation (No. 2016D-5007-0207), the Project of the Open Fund of the State Key Laboratory of Offshore Oil Exploitation (Grant No. CCL2015RCPS0223RNN), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 51674039 and No. 51604035), the China Important National Science & Technology Specific Projects (Grant No. 2016ZX05050-009), and the China Important National Science & Technology Specific Projects (Grant No. 2016ZX05014).
