Abstract
Human geographers investigating socio-environmental change in resource frontiers often encounter illicit activities occurring alongside the licit processes they study. These encounters pose logistical challenges to conducting research and moral and analytical dilemmas for researchers. Illicit activities produce what we refer to as spheres of ambiguity, which obscure certain information, relationships, and phenomena surrounding them. We address the dearth of analytical tools for approaching the uncertainty this generates by bringing concepts from agnotology—the study of ignorance—to bear on research conducted amidst illicit activity, offering a framework for systematically evaluating ambiguous field data that is incompletely observed or reported.
I Introduction
Cocaine smuggling. Opium, coca, and cannabis farms. Drug money laundered through otherwise legitimate plantations, ranches, and tourism enterprises. Research informants who disappear for days or weeks with vague explanations of working “over the hill” or “up the river.” Warnings of when and where not to travel. Encountering illicit activity during field research is remarkably common and oftentimes inevitable. However, due to safety and ethical considerations, methodological challenges, and a variety of other obstacles, researchers working amidst illicit activities often censor or avoid these topics both in the field and in writing (Hall, 2013). Navigating encounters with illicit activities that are not the subject of research can create notable absences in knowledge that we argue should be acknowledged and analyzed systematically. In this paper, we synthesize two themes of recent interest in the field of human geography—literature on illicit geographies and literature on ambiguity and ignorance—to offer a methodological intervention for addressing such absences.
Conducting research in areas where illicit activities are prevalent (or around the illicit, as we will refer to it) requires wading through ambiguity. Although none of the authors set out to study the illicit directly, each came to recognize the influence of illicit activities on our respective field sites and research topics through encountering “empirical traces” (Frickel, 2014): momentary revelations of something still partially obscured (e.g., observing sudden unexplained wealth or being warned off certain areas and topics). These empirical traces offered fleeting glimpses into a larger landscape of unknowns, shaped our research practices, and set boundaries on where we went, who we talked with, and what we asked, adding uncertainty to the research process (Hilson, 2005; Nordstrom, 2004). Institutional constraints and academic conventions conspire to leave such uncertainty mostly ignored (Bhattacharya, 2014; Hicks, 2009). Although the risk of violence and other repercussions associated with illicit activities make them dangerous or difficult for researchers to study directly (Ballvé, 2019a), ignoring the influence of these activities is also problematic—both for the conclusions drawn from the research and in the consequences for local communities.
We aim to initiate a collective critical reflection on research and writing practices to address blind spots and spur more robust research around the illicit, when illicit activities are not the primary focus but nevertheless intersect with one’s research. In this paper, we offer an analytical framework for evaluating ignorances that appear in research around the illicit through converting missing information into an ethnographic object (Mair et al., 2012), allowing researchers to better understand the causes and consequences of ignorance and account for possible misinformation. We argue that analyzing knowledge and ignorance together can be a powerful tool for gaining insight into the often obscured influence of illicit activities on livelihoods, resource use, and governance practices. Though we focus on ethnographic methodologies in human geography research, an analysis of illicit-generated ignorance is relevant for researchers from diverse fields who work where illicit activities are present.
This paper consists of six sections. Section 2 discusses human geography conceptualizations of “the illicit” and describes the spheres of ambiguity that surround illicit activities and the specific research challenges they pose. Section 3 introduces concepts from the field of agnotology that are useful for understanding the generation of ignorance in research around the illicit. Section 4 describes an Ignorance Assessment Framework for analyzing this ignorance systematically. In Section 5, we use examples from our own work to demonstrate the utility and application of this framework. Section 6 offers concluding reflections on the consequences of ignorances that arise in research around the illicit.
II The illicit and the production of ambiguity
1 “The illicit” in human geography
The illicit is a consequential but often overlooked phenomenon in human geography that has gained increasing attention in numerous subfields. These include: the geographies of crime and policing (Evans et al., 2002; Fyfe, 1991; Gilmer, 2014, 2016; Harries, 1971; LeBeau and Leitner, 2011; Lowman, 1986; Moran and Schliehe, 2017; Peet, 1975; Yarwood, 2007); migration, conflict, and security (Peluso and Watts, 2001; Samers, 2004; Zolberg, 1989); resource frontiers and territorialization (Ballvé, 2019b; Kelly and Peluso, 2015; McSweeney et al., 2018; Watts, 2018); natural resource governance and conservation (Bocarejo and Ojeda, 2016; Kelly, 2011; Robbins et al., 2009; Woods and Naimark, 2020; Ybarra, 2012); and economic geography on illicit economies (Brown and Hermann, 2020b; Gregson and Crang, 2017; Hall, 2010; Hudson, 2020). Although other fields (sociology, criminology, anthropology) have more consistently engaged with the illicit, geographical theorizations bring out its socio-spatial and territorial implications. In particular, geographers have revealed how competing state and non-state authorities continually negotiate the bounds between licit and illicit to favor various interests, discipline populations, and reorganize space (Abraham and Van Schendel, 2005; Hall, 2013; Hudson, 2014). In this section, we discuss how the illicit has been treated in human geography and how we operationalize it in our analysis.
Although the term “illicit” is often used as a self-evident category, it is actually fraught with ambiguity. We follow Abraham and Van Schendel (2005), recognizing that the defining line between licit and illicit transcends state definitions of legality. Illicit activities are pervasive in both social life and state processes (Abraham and Van Schendel, 2005: 7) and are integral to global economies and geopolitical configurations (Hudson, 2014). Capital, goods, and actors are not innately illicit or licit, but merely accumulate these labels as they circulate (Gregson and Crang, 2017: 212–213). Categorization of the illicit is shaped by local perceptions of morality, enforceability, and the threat of violence or other risks, all of which are highly context-dependent and dynamic. Certain spaces support a wide range of unlawful but socially permissible activities and many illicit and licit activities mutually reinforce each other (Roitman, 2006). As Hall (2013) describes, “In spaces that elude the sovereign gaze of the state or across which it is uncertain or contested, the formal distinctions between licit and illicitness become problematic, even meaningless” (373). States thus extend their authority over new regions and peoples by dictating the licit/illicit boundary and securing their exclusive right to enforce it (Vandergeest and Peluso, 1995).
Illicit activities range from complex, highly adaptable, multinational operations with vast spatial footprints and vertically integrated production, to smaller and more localized organizations, to isolated, unorganized, or small-scale crime performed by individuals or families as a survival strategy (Hudson, 2014: 779). Illicit organizations are generally fluid; individual actors or groups may at times merge with larger organizational structures and later disperse (Hudson, 2014) or be amorphous in structure to varying degrees (Finckenauer, 2005). While participation in these networks may be locally normalized, persecution by national and/or international entities encourages a veil of secrecy surrounding the networks’ activities that members often enforce through real or perceived threats of violence (Andreas, 2011: 419–420). This obscures the entanglements of these networks in a wide range of licit and illicit economic activities and social and political affairs (Slack and Campbell, 2016). Hall (2013) has attributed the paucity of substantive reflections on organized crime in geography to the extensive scale of illicit networks, the “opacity” around illicit activities generally, and the ontological uncertainties between licit and illicit activities that make it difficult to analyze. This paper seeks to address this analytical challenge.
Because the impacts of transnational illicit networks affect myriad research topics in human geography (Abraham and Van Schendel, 2005; Hall, 2013; Nordstrom, 2007), we operationalize “the illicit” with a focus on illicit commodity production and trade networks. Though the insights gained are applicable to illicit activities across the spectrum, the authors’ research sites (Mexico, Peru, Colombia, and Laos) were heavily affected by patterns of conflict and governance related to the cultivation, processing, and/or transportation of illicit “drug” crops, controlled by narco-trafficking networks (or “cartels”). The resource frontiers and borderlands we study have long been intertwined with the illicit (Castells, 1996: 162; Hall, 2013: 376), making ambiguity around livelihoods and resource use in these areas particularly widespread.
2 Ambiguous spaces: Illicit regimes in resource frontiers
A key set of research questions in human geography and political ecology intersect in resource frontiers. Though our research primarily focused on aspects of these frontiers other than illicit activities, namely resource management and society-environment interactions, illicit activities were entangled with our research topics in the places we work: rural hinterlands of developing countries; areas less connected to state services, infrastructure, and control; and spaces where natural resources and livelihoods are closely intertwined. This is no coincidence. Resource exploitation and illicit networks are both served by these regions’ illegibility to formal state governance. The ambiguity that permeates these places only enhances the messy relations between field-based geographic research, state power, and illicit activities.
Although illicit networks span the globe and affect a variety of spaces, a common set of conditions conducive to activities like drug crop cultivation, processing, and transport tend to intersect with conditions that produce dynamic rural resource frontiers. Such frontiers are frequently peripheral regions, especially borderlands where licit market activity is less supported and state-sanctioned development, resource extraction, and land governance are less established (Bloomer, 2009; Brown and Hermann, 2020a; Greenough, 2004). They are also often home to marginalized minority groups and multiple competing authorities where formal property relations are still being institutionalized, livelihoods are changing rapidly, natural resource extraction is increasing, and state control is being expanded, reformulated, and renegotiated (Barney, 2009; Kelly and Peluso, 2015).
Our research sites exemplify how illicit activities thrive in resource frontiers. In the northern borderlands of Chihuahua, Mexico, decades of state neglect and economic hardship have spurred widespread emigration, consolidated agricultural production, and expanded opportunities for a thriving drug trafficking economy. In the lowlands of the Peruvian Amazon, dense forest and sheer remoteness have challenged the expansion of state control and infrastructure while enabling coca cultivation, land trafficking, and illegal logging to proceed alongside traditional production systems. Similarly, the rainforests and mangroves of the Pacific Coast of Colombia shelter revolutionary guerilla armies, paramilitaries, and other violent actors who use cocaine production and trafficking to fund their causes. In the highlands of northern Laos, opium cultivation and trade persist in areas distant from state centers and markets, and close to increasingly permeable borderlands.
The characteristic distance of resource frontiers from centers of state control provides a measure of protection for illicit activities and actors (McSweeney et al., 2018). Places with contested, incomplete, or contradictory state oversight are able to serve as hubs for transnational trafficking of illicit goods (Brown and Hermann, 2020a). In such spaces, illicit activities may be irreducibly entangled in social relations of production, the performance and assertion of resource claims, and flows of information, capital, and goods. As a consequence, “confusions between legal and illegal, public and private, disciplined and wild” can produce conditions in which rapacious resource extraction and illicit activity both thrive (Tsing, 2003: 5103). Ballvé (2019b) even labels frontiers with thriving illicit regimes as “narco-frontiers” where “uneven development, internal colonialism, political violence, and narco-fuelled dispossession” intersect (211). Brown and Hermann (2020b) refer to landscapes of extreme illegibility and little state control as “black spots." In many of these spaces, illicit networks or criminal organizations maintain their own form of order and control, even taking on certain state functions (Ballvé, 2019b; Hudson, 2014). Although these organizations act and work locally, they are made possible and structured by webs of transnational connections and distant global processes (Aas, 2007).
Spaces illegible to the state often become targets of securitization or development interventions (Abraham and Van Schendel, 2005). Emphasizing the overlap between frontier spaces and illicit geographies in turn helps states justify and harness international support for controversial, even violent, interventions (Ybarra, 2012). Thus, illicit activities can be highly lucrative but place those who engage in them at risk of punitive measures from state or transnational authorities, leading illicit activities to increasingly peripheral places and increasing secrecy. Because of these dynamics, resource frontiers, narco-frontiers, and other such havens for illicit networks tend to be characterized by pervasive uncertainty, where it is difficult to ascertain precisely who is doing precisely what. In such contexts, what limited information is available is often highly ambiguous.
3 Spheres of ambiguity
The ambiguity surrounding illicit activities has specific characteristics that we term spheres of ambiguity—strategically produced shrouds of opacity and epistemic uncertainty spanning multiple dimensions, in which knowledge about certain activities, actors, and places remains deliberately occluded and imprecise, affecting both insiders’ and outsiders’ ability to interpret and classify information to varying degrees. Ambiguity is a powerful analytic, which Best (2008) defines as a proclivity for multiple interpretations that “captures some of the forms of indeterminacy that exceed and overflow the categories of risk and uncertainty” (355). Spheres of ambiguity surrounding illicit activities obscure the timing and geographic extent of illicit activities, the actors participating, income generated, and the nature of the activities themselves. Strategic ambiguity is used by these illicit networks as both a tool of governing and a resistance to state governance (Best, 2008; Stel, 2016).
Ambiguity generates ignorance or incoherence on a topic through a resistance to a singular interpretation or classification (Best, 2012). This is what McGoey (2007) terms “liminal ignorance” or half-knowledge. Such a flexibility in interpretation can be emancipatory in the face of systems that impose false binaries (Sedgewick, 2008), but can also create strategic advantages, whether applied to bureaucracy within organizations (Best, 2012), scientific findings (McGoey, 2007; Smithson, 1989), or in the case of illicit activities, evading the law. According to Best (2008: 362), ambiguity is reinforced and maintained by three facets of modern knowledge: the imperfection of language with respect to representation; self-reflexivity, which makes knowledge always subjective and partial; and the historical contingency of knowledge. Best’s focus on ambiguity centers on how information is invariably communicated imperfectly from one person to another. Ambiguity can also be cultivated through non-verbal signs, other context-based cues, and a general atmosphere of epistemic murk (Taussig, 1984). Within spheres of ambiguity, even mundane occurrences such as real estate transactions or fishing locations can become ambiguous because it is practically impossible (for a variety of possible reasons) to verify whether such occurrences are connected to illicit activity. This ambiguity makes it difficult for a researcher to interpret events with a high degree of certainty.
The considerable risks associated with collecting data about illicit activities for field-based researchers raise both ethical and methodological questions (Fitzgerald and Hamilton, 1996). Illicit networks often have codes of silence enforced throughout the ranks (e.g., Baker and Faulkner, 1993; Barton and Davis, 2018; Erickson, 1981; Lindelauf et al., 2009). Within and surrounding these networks, money and violence are often used to control the flow of information, and ambiguity can be an important form of protection (Ballvé, 2019a). Ignorance and ambiguity can serve as political tools in that they can protect against legal incrimination; in a court of law, ambiguous evidence would be inadmissible or at best circumstantial by legal standards. Informants may thus be safer not knowing too much and not revealing information to others. Due to ever-present threats or stories of violence, an atmosphere of terror may be characteristic of ambiguous spaces (Luna, 2018), with the accompanying epistemic murk described by Taussig (1984).
Spheres of ambiguity surrounding illicit networks make the regions and actors that interact with these networks more difficult to study, particularly for outside researchers (Ballvé, 2019a), even (and perhaps especially) when illicit activities are not the focus of the research. Ambiguous signs can include language, material phenomena, norms and social practices, and social roles (Best, 2012): 89). Information is often not fully concealed or revealed to researchers, or even to their informants, but rather is couched in vague terms that obfuscate who is involved and what activities, exactly, are occurring. While ambiguities may be understood among locals, they tend to be more opaque for outsiders less accustomed to coded speech and hidden meanings, and access to illicit spaces can be elusive (Ballvé, 2019a). Knowing smiles and other non-verbal language indicating open secrets among insiders are common in spaces where both formal and informal rules and conventions must be negotiated (Ledeneva, 2011). Actions, too, are ambiguous, when observed and reported activities may or may not be connected to illicit materials or transactions. Spheres of ambiguity can enfold activities that are used to conceal illicit activities or launder illicit gains, making it difficult for researchers to parse the relative balance of income, effort, and influence from licit versus illicit activities. Thus, spheres of ambiguity create analytic challenges that are often ignored, footnoted, or simply flagged as “gaps” due to the difficulty and danger of investigating these topics more closely.
Despite their resistance to study, documentation, and quantification, illicit networks can have profound local influences, adding uncertainty to otherwise non-controversial research topics like local resource use or household economics (Devine et al., 2020; McSweeney et al., 2014). According to Hudson: ...the difficulties of definition and measurement and in obtaining precise empirical data as to the extent of illegality should not stand in the way of seeking to understand its function and the relations between the legal and illegal. The illegal has clearly become an integral part of the contemporary phase of capitalist development. Put simply, it is too important—practically and theoretically—to ignore (Hudson, 2014: 780–781).
Though there are promising methods for researching illicit activities in ambiguous or violent spaces, such as Ballvé’s (2019a) investigative ethnography, some researchers may have topical, logistical, or institutional constraints that prevent the direct study of illicit activity. In either case, the collected data are likely to have gaps and limitations that can reproduce ambiguity. We find valuable grounds for addressing these limitations by applying conceptual tools from agnotology (studies of ignorance) to understand the contours, boundaries, and origins of the spheres of ambiguity encountered in research around the illicit.
III Knowing what we don’t know: A theoretical approach
Although ignorance produced during research is often seen negatively, it is also inevitable, and we argue that studying it can provide useful insights. Accounting for limitations in research around the illicit requires understanding the political, social, and structural mechanisms that actively create ignorance, with attention to how absences of certain data can take on their own meanings (Rappert, 2015). In this section, we introduce concepts from the science studies field of agnotology, which refers to the study of the social production of ignorance or non-knowledge (Proctor and Schiebinger, 2008) and has been increasingly employed by geographers. Agnotology is based on the premise that some ignorances are generated strategically and that both their causes and influences can be studied (McGoey, 2012). Ambiguities and absences may be used to gain insight into the very dynamics that create them.
Social theorists in a wide variety of fields have attempted to deal with absence (e.g., Bakhtin, 1981; Bourdieu, 1977; Deleuze and Guattari, 1987; Foucault, 1970; Luhmann, 1988). Absence and ignorance have been topics of concern among a branch of science studies scholars at least since Kuhn (1962) argued that scientists actually trade in ignorance by selectively overlooking findings that refute the foundations of their fields. Dealing with ambiguity and ignorance has been of growing interest in geography and other social sciences (Best, 2008; Croissant, 2018; Frickel, 2014; Galison, 2004; Gross and McGoey, 2015; Proctor and Schiebinger, 2008; Smithson, 1989). Amoore (2014), for instance, describes how scientists calculating national security risks grapple with predicting ambiguous futures. These scientists are increasingly held responsible to “calculate the incalculable” from incomplete data (Amoore, 2014: 424). As Amoore suggests, the challenge is not to find better data, which may be impossible, but to find better ways of analyzing incomplete data and accounting for the fallibility of one’s research methods. Agnotology provides analytical tools for social scientists to deal with such ignorance—not as a limitation, but as an object of social enquiry in itself.
The field of agnotology directs researchers to attend to non-knowledge and how ignorance is produced, including close examinations of the cultural and political foundations of ignorance (e.g., Proctor and Schiebinger, 2008). This is similar to what Galison (2004) called “antiepistemology”: the study of the simultaneous production of knowledge and non-knowledge. By studying ignorance, one is not trying to illuminate what lies in the darkness, but rather to assess what is creating the pattern of light and shadow, how the shadow changes over space and time, and the consequences of the shadow. Analyzing patterns of presence and absence simultaneously allows a more intelligible surface to emerge (e.g., Deleuze and Guattari, 1987: 170). The “geography of ignorance,” or the spatial dimension of ignorance and knowledge patterns, is important for understanding how ignorance pervades certain regions, how those ignorances are produced, and for whom (Proctor, 2008: 26). For example, ignorance about border regions is produced and reproduced by political and cartographic conventions, and is further amplified by academic disciplinary divisions (Van Schendel, 2002).
For McGoey (2012), strategic ignorance can be a productive force that is more than a mere lack of knowledge. In other words, ignorance offers its own type of influence and information that cannot be countered simply by adding knowledge. Actively produced ignorances are those which are made unknown or unknowable through concealment or misinformation, whereas passively produced ignorances could be known but are not due to inaction, negligence, or structural constraints (Proctor, 2008). Much empirical work in agnotology has investigated the actions of scientists and industry to understand how public ignorance is socially or politically constructed and who benefits. Such ignorance may be created strategically to deceive others—as self-protection, in pursuit of financial gain, to influence policy decisions (e.g., Proctor, 2008; Rayner, 2012; Smithson, 1989), or to maintain social and political order (Gross, 2007). Scientific conventions around uncertainty and conditionality can also be responsible for passively creating non-knowledge (e.g., Amoore, 2014; Amrhein et al., 2019; McGoey, 2007). Most agnotology studies have focused on actively produced ignorance, but passive ignorance can be equally important and the two may be produced iteratively (Durant, 2020). Moreover, actively constructed ignorances can be disguised as passive (Sanabria, 2016), as is often the case with defensive ignorance that protects against liability (McGoey, 2007).
Spheres of ambiguity cultivated around illicit activities generate both active and passive forms of ignorance. In addition to the strategic ignorance cultivated by illicit networks, individuals, institutions, media, publics, and researchers all may contribute to producing ambiguities (McGoey, 2012). Communities around illicit activities can create passive forms of ignorance through habitual ambiguities and avoiding certain topics or places (Luna, 2018). Researchers may generate passive ignorance through the inability to interpret ambiguous data, or can actively contribute to the production of ignorance around the illicit through ethical and safety considerations that lead them to conceal information both in the field and in writing.
The term “undone science” (Hess, 2015) represents the practices by which certain types of studies are conducted and funded while others are left “undone." In addition to political or economic biases that influence these factors, NGOs, state agencies, researchers, and their funders may avoid potentially dangerous topics and locations, or populations considered unreliable or unwelcoming, such as those associated with certain illicit activities. The consequences of ignorance generated in this way are not just epistemological, but have material and geopolitical effects. Biases in where research and funding are directed lead to geographical unevenness in knowledge and attention (Van Schendel, 2002), which can contribute to unequal distributions of social services or policy interventions and perpetuate ignorance about certain issues and social groups.
In sum, ignorance and knowledge are both tools that can be employed for either liberation or oppression (McGoey, 2012). For researchers working around the illicit, attending to both knowledge and absences leads to more robust analyses, allowing for greater consideration of alternative hypotheses, missing evidence, and incongruities (McGoey, 2012) and a deeper understanding of how ignorance is generated and who it serves. Given evidentiary standards in academia, researchers may be rightfully hesitant to publish results that include empirical traces and interpreted ambiguities. To bury ambiguous data, however, presents a reciprocal risk of inaccuracy and has equivalent material consequences. The Ignorance Assessment Framework we present below offers guidelines for recognizing and accounting for ignorance in research around the illicit. While we draw on established tools and approaches of agnotology, applying it self-reflexively to one’s own data expands on its typical application.
IV Analyzing ignorance around the illicit: A framework
Here we propose an analytic process to account for the methodological constraints and empirical absences that arise from researching around the illicit or in other ambiguous spaces. This Ignorance Assessment Framework uses principles of agnotology to convert ignorances into objects of analysis, allowing the researcher to assess knowledge and ignorance (and gradations between the two) together. This analytic process draws attention to gaps in knowledge created by ambiguity, the known unknowns, which can help researchers recognize and document what they do know and responsibly account for what they do not. By bringing into relief the landscape of knowledge and ignorance, new patterns and insights emerge.
The Ignorance Assessment Framework consists of the following steps and guiding questions (see Figure 1): 1.Sensing Absences: How can absences be identified? 2.Describing Ignorance: What are the characteristics of ignorance? 3.Assessing the Causes of Ignorance: How was ignorance generated? Framework for evaluating ignorances in research. Sensing absences, describing ignorance, and assessing the causes of ignorance are iterative steps that can be done in any order—often simultaneously.

These steps constitute an iterative, cyclical process described in more detail below with questions provided as prompts to guide the detection and diagnosis of ignorance. In Section 5, we offer specific examples of how we applied this process to our own cases.
1 Sensing absences
Recognizing meaningful absences in knowledge requires reflexivity and a willingness to question one’s data. This step is aimed at detecting ignorances during field work and within the data collected, as well as identifying the topics in which those ignorances occur.
How can ignorance be recognized empirically? The challenge in detecting empirical absences is that they defy outright observation. However, absences may become evident when researchers notice ambiguities or encounter “empirical traces”: glimpses or hints of things that are otherwise obscured, though the meaning may remain uncertain (Frickel, 2014). A story, warning, or unexpected physical encounter may provide just enough to reveal one’s ignorance. Depending on the situation, this could either encourage further investigation or warn away from that line of inquiry. Ambiguous body language such as knowing glances and smiles may also alert a researcher that a verbal communication may have an alternate interpretation. In some cases this may be inaccessible insider knowledge, and in others such non-verbal cues may be understood by the researcher but difficult to document or confirm since it was not said aloud, cannot be asked about, and may directly contradict what was actually said (Ledeneva, 2011). Some absences can be recognized more easily when there are explicit barriers (e.g., when places are “off limits” or questions “off record”). Empirical ignorances will likely be more visible to researchers with deep local experience and are therefore more likely to be detected during long-term ethnographic research than through research methods that require less time in the field engaged in direct personal interaction.
How can ignorance be detected during data analysis? The ability to detect ignorance in data can be cultivated through attention to the differences between what is learned and what could or should be knowable. Absences may become apparent through mismatches in triangulation, repeated gaps in reported information, or by identifying what Star and Bowker (2007) call “residues," or types of ambiguous information that defies categorization and therefore is often left out or minimized in analyses. Identifying analytic residues serves as a presencing practice that can give way to new forms of knowledge (e.g., Puig De la Bellacasa, 2014).
What areas of knowledge are affected by ignorances? Ignorances impact the ability to answer certain research questions. Identifying topical themes that likely contain absences and ambiguity aid in assessing the overall effects of the ignorance on the study and the research site. These can be assessed by questioning what types of information may have been obscured by ambiguity around the illicit as well as how decision-making in the research process may have resulted in the avoidance of certain places, people, or types of questions.
2 Describing ignorance
Describing ignorance ethnographically allows for a deeper analysis of its effects than just identifying its existence. This step more finely delimits the boundary between what is known and unknown.
What is the form of ignorance? Ignorance can constitute either a complete lack of information or ambiguous, erroneous, or misinterpreted information. Whereas a researcher often encounters an absence of information surrounding illicit activities themselves, ignorance in the form of incorrect or ambiguous knowledge can also be produced by informants in the process of obscuring the existence of or participation in illicit activities. This can expand the sphere of ambiguity well beyond topics directly related to the illicit.
What is the degree of ignorance? Knowledge and ignorance form a continuum, not a binary (Frickel, 2014). The degree of ignorance describes the extent to which something is unknown, on a gradient from partial to complete ignorance (Rappert, 2015). A partial ignorance stems from something that is known of (e.g., via empirical traces) but cannot be fully seen, understood, interpreted, or quantified, often due to some type of ambiguity. Most ignorance that can be identified is partial ignorance, in contrast to a complete absence of information (sometimes called nescience) in which an “unknown” is entirely hidden (Gross, 2007).
What are the characteristics of the ignorance? We adapt Croissant’s (2014, 2018) typology to describe ignorance by adding relationality, spatiality, and materiality.
1
These additional characteristics are relevant for understanding ignorance geographically in a field-based context (rather than a textual or laboratory context). Thus, ignorance can be assessed with respect to the following characteristics:
3 Assessing the causes of ignorance
Interacting with spheres of ambiguity surrounding the illicit, ignorance can be reinforced at multiple points in the research process. The “ignorance supply chain” is made up of the nested and interdependent institutions and processes from the inception of a study to the dissemination of results. Ignorance can be actively or passively created at each stage, with further impacts downstream.
How is ignorance generated in situ? Informants, collaborators, state actors, and institutions can all generate ignorance. Assessing the production of ignorance requires identifying the actors, practices, and structures that produce, maintain, and disseminate various forms of ignorance. Are ignorances generated actively (e.g., concealment or deceit) or passively (e.g., avoidance or neglect)? Is ignorance the result of individual actions or are there institutional structures or constraints that promote ignorance? How is secrecy enforced and maintained? In the case of research around the illicit, these could range from threats of violence (to the researcher or to their informants), to principled aversion (e.g., where illicit activity is considered morally distasteful and thus not discussed), to cultural norms and habits that generate ambiguity. The high stakes and overlapping factors driving secrecy around illicit activities and networks make these distinctions particularly difficult to ascertain.
How do research practices reinforce ignorance? Researchers are embedded in an institutional context wherein funders, advisers, collaborators, review boards, stakeholders, and publishers can all contribute to the ignorance supply chain by steering the researcher away from certain topics, populations, and places. This chain has corollaries in the sites and social systems we study where a variety of actors across scales and levels of authority contribute to the production of ignorance. Thus, ignorance is created, fostered, tolerated, and reproduced both through research practices and by processes external to them, and often these are entangled. Interrogating how our own research practices engage or ignore the presence of the illicit brings attention to the ways we “presence” and “absence” certain details (Rappert, 2015), which are sometimes political or ethical in nature. Gervais et al. (2001: 424) describe four interrelated categories of absences produced during research, and we have added positional absences to this list:
Assessing how ignorances are generated at each stage of the research process helps the researcher hone their practices, as well as account for their limitations.
V Evaluating illicit-related ignorances in research on rural livelihoods
Using examples from our own work, we demonstrate how the Ignorance Assessment Framework outlined above can be applied to reveal the effects of the illicit on livelihoods, resources, and governance. This is best seen as an effort of guided reflexivity—systematically evaluating how the presence of the illicit interacted with our research practices and impacted our ability to know.
1 Sensing absence: Recognizing the shadows through empirical traces
The presence of illicit activities in our field sites was revealed through empirical traces that provided only ambiguous details about the activity or who participated. Certain places were unexpectedly off limits, certain questions repeatedly unanswered; we stumbled upon evidence of illicit activities (hearing about packages of drugs washed up on the beach or being led through a field of coca during an interview); interlocutors made certain comments only off record. Sometimes the illicit showed up in storytelling that blurred fact and fiction, or emerged as coded or ambiguous language (e.g., fishing for “white fish”—smuggling cocaine by boat). Other times, references to illicit activities were included in broader narratives but rarely seen firsthand (e.g., rumors that certain villages or ethnic groups cultivated opium or coca). Despite the ambiguity and secrecy surrounding these encounters, taking note of them enhanced understanding of our regions of study. The accumulation of empirical traces elucidated gaps in our knowledge and guided more careful, systematic consideration of how these ignorances affected our research questions.
Assessing the effects of illicit-related ignorance.
2 Describing and characterizing ignorance
(a) Livelihoods, labor allocation, and income
Although we knew that illicit activity occurred in our respective field sites, informants rarely reported participating in or benefiting from illicit activities themselves. Instead, they mentioned others engaging in such activities, or referenced them occurring in the community in broad strokes. The resulting ignorance can be described in terms of its granularity—the researcher has some coarse knowledge (that illicit activities exist) but is missing finer-grained specifics about the activity and its importance (who participates and how much they earn). For example, we may know that cannabis is grown by some households (coarse-grained knowledge), but not which households or how much they are growing (fine-grained ignorance). This constrains the analysis of economic activity in the community. Alternatively, a researcher may pick up fine-grained detail, such as knowledge that a particular individual is involved in an illicit activity, but remain uncertain about the scale, or how widespread that activity is.
In surveys or interviews, the time spent or income gained through illicit livelihoods may be completely omitted (absence) or ascribed to licit activities instead (misinformation). For example, a fisher in coastal Colombia who earns additional income using their boat to supply drug traffickers with gasoline and food may attribute that time spent and income earned to fishing. This obscures data about the illicit livelihood and creates ignorance in the form of misinformation about fishing livelihoods. If the income earned from illicit activities is omitted entirely, it results in underreported household income. This can be problematic when analyzing how households are making labor decisions or whether traditional livelihoods remain viable. This type of gap may be identified through triangulating or identifying mismatches in data, or may only be suspected. Nevertheless, recognizing where ignorances likely occur in the data aids in identifying limitations and better interpreting the data despite them. For example, we can recognize that a household or community’s surprising—if irregular—material wealth must be attributed to more than just sales of fish or non-timber forest products, even if we cannot account for how much of it is generated by undescribed activities or be certain that they are illicit.
(b) Natural resource use, land use, and land transfers
Land and natural resource use are also shaped by illicit activities, though the drivers of change are often obscured (Tellman et al., 2020). The capital from illicit trade could be used to purchase land for ranches or plantations, scale up fishing and agricultural production, or invest in a sawmill, which can all be used as fronts to launder illicit earnings. These hidden but consequential links between illicit activities and shifts in land use and resource extraction are common across our research sites.
Illicit activities can obscure data about natural resource use, such as harvest pressure or extraction rates. In the Peruvian Amazon, most logging occurs in unpermitted areas, though most timber circulating has certificates claiming legal origin (Sears and Pinedo–Vasquez, 2011). If a timber processor claims their logs were harvested legally, the intentionality behind this misinformation remains unclear—whether the processor is actually unaware of the timber’s origins, or is actively concealing the illicit origin of the timber. Although there are many factors that can result in absence or error (e.g., recall bias), the ignorances associated with the illicit are usually intentional, though the relationality of the ignorance (to whom it pertains and from where it is generated), as in the above scenario, may be difficult to parse. An informant may intentionally contribute to a researcher’s ignorance (e.g., refusing interviews, concealing information, or giving misinformation) or may be poorly informed themselves. Ambiguity in relationality and intentionality is prevalent as it serves protective functions, and considering these limitations to certainty may help the researcher navigate the larger landscape of presences and absences in their work.
Land transfers tend to be poorly documented in remote areas, and it can be nearly impossible to ascertain whether illicit activities fund or motivate a land purchase (Tellman et al., 2020). During research in northern Mexico, for example, many interviewees refused to answer interview questions about ranch sales, leaving gaps within the project’s material interview data. Others openly recounted past instances where ranches were purchased by cartel members for growing or transporting drugs but rarely discussed recent examples of this, leaving it unclear whether the practice had stopped or information was being concealed. Regardless, the lapse of time rendered information about past illicit activity safer to share, creating temporal biases in knowledge. Thus, the chronicity of ignorance was characterized by an absence of information in the present tense.
(c) Governance, social relations, and power dynamics
Ambiguity around the illicit challenges researchers’ understanding of decision-making in the socio-political sphere at multiple scales—from individuals and households to community and regional governance bodies. For example, the use of land for particular ends, such as alluvial gold mining or forest clearcutting, may be permitted by local governance institutions only because illicit networks threaten or bribe local leaders. As outsider researchers, it is difficult to see what drives the decisions of a governance body, and these motives may only be revealed through legal actions (e.g., if a leader is convicted or accused of accepting bribes) or acts of violence (e.g., if leaders are threatened or assassinated).
Illicit activities carry symbolic power that can affect resource governance broadly. It is common for accusations of illicit activity on one hand, or threats of violence on the other, to be mobilized to legitimize or enforce claims to land and resources. Such public claims and narratives can obscure and conceal why policy and governance decisions are being made. For example, in Laos, investors and state authorities categorize certain ethnic groups and landscapes as sources of opium production, though exact locations of opium fields are rarely known or monitored. This has been used to justify both the exclusion from and targeting of those landscapes and ethnic groups for agribusiness concessions (Dwyer, 2014; Lu, 2017). Thus alleged associations with illicit activity can shape broader geographies of ignorance at multiple analytical scales.
3 Tracing the origins and drivers of ignorance
Ignorance Supply Chain—locating causes of ignorance within the research process.
Conceptualizations of research questions and study designs reflect and are constrained by gaps in the literature. For some of us, the paucity of literature discussing the importance of the illicit for our research topics limited our ability to plan for encounters or anticipate their effects. In other cases, we were broadly aware of illicit activities in potential research sites and deliberately chose to avoid certain areas and topics out of safety concerns for ourselves, research assistants, and informants. In some cases the individuals or institutions overseeing our work, including funders and Institutional Review Boards, restricted where we could go, what we could ask, or what methods we could use. Methodological absences arose when we were instructed not to conduct certain types of interviews or use certain methods for collecting data. Though often unintentional, well-justified, or out of our control, these decisions and restrictions became “absenting” practices within the research process. Normalization of such avoidance can further perpetuate theoretical absences or under-theorization of topics important to these places.
During data collection, maintaining research access depended on respecting local social norms, and was influenced by danger and risk. At times, this meant avoiding certain spaces and people, averting one’s eyes, or pretending not to witness certain activities. Navigating this terrain limited the information that we could collect, contributing to the existence and persistence of empirical ignorances. The ignorances and avoidance practices of research collaborators, NGOs, or government agencies also contributed to empirical ignorance. NGOs, for example, often rely on remaining “apolitical," avoiding involvement in political conflicts or crossing local authorities by withholding information or remaining ignorant themselves.
During analysis and writing, decisions on how to treat empirical ignorances around the illicit can transfer those ignorances to wider audiences. Analytical ignorances are perpetuated when a researcher does not include ambiguous data in their analysis. Without methodically assessing ignorance, it is easy to minimize or ignore data that is anecdotal or based on incomplete knowledge, potentially leading to further misinterpretations (see Table 1). At the dissemination stage, concerns about data resolution, confidence, and ethics shape how individuals and research teams navigate these decisions. Researchers may generate positional ignorance through their need to maintain confidentiality and secrecy on behalf of their informants’ and themselves. Researchers may choose not to write about illicit activity for fear of exposing certain regions or populations to scrutiny or to protect their own safety, relationships, and access to research sites. The social and political sensitivity of reporting on the illicit, even tangentially, can lead researchers to avoid the topic rather than risk unwanted attention or misuse of their results, though maintaining these ignorances in some cases may support ongoing inequities and injustices.
VI Conclusions
Illicit activities have impacts throughout the socio-natural world that are of interest to scholars across human geography and other disciplines. This is especially true in certain frontier regions where increasing transnational connectivity has intensified illicit crop production, smuggling, and conflict (Abraham and Van Schendel, 2005) and where illicit activities are entangled with regional economies (Hudson, 2014). Thus, research in such regions is especially imbricated with the illicit, from conservation scientists studying deforestation associated with illicit crops (e.g., Bradley and Millington, 2008) to anthropologists working with marginalized populations in conflict zones (e.g., Luna, 2018). Though illicit activities create their own geographies (Hall, 2013), spheres of ambiguity around illicit activities are liable to obscure the factors that drive decision-making, environmental changes, and socio-spatial patterns and make interpretation difficult. Why are people migrating? Why are they selling land? What drives investments? Answers may vary wildly (McSweeney et al., 2017), and common logics may be elusive for outsider researchers. The proposed Ignorance Assessment Framework can attune researchers to ambiguities, help them interrogate their own ignorance, and guide research and reporting.
Ignorance around the illicit has material consequences, often making development and conservation efforts in drug trafficking regions out of touch and counterproductive. Alternative development projects and crime mitigation policy are particularly prone to perverse outcomes or failure when it is poorly understood how illicit activities shape everyday decisions (e.g., Dávalos et al., 2016; Gilmer, 2014; Salisbury and Fagan, 2013; Sears and Pinedo–Vasquez, 2011). Similarly, conservation efforts are vulnerable to environmental damage (e.g., “narco-deforestation”) and local conflict when cartels and paramilitaries establish operations in protected areas due to the relative lack of population and surveillance (e.g., Devine et al., 2020; Greenough, 2004; Kelly and Ybarra, 2016; McSweeney et al., 2014; Sesnie et al., 2017; Wrathall et al., 2020; Ybarra, 2012).
Meanwhile, the communities living in resource frontiers and other ambiguous spaces become less legible to the world. These regions are already subject to mischaracterizations (e.g., marginal, criminal, and chaotic) by powerful actors who stand to gain from certain narratives and thus strategically cultivate ambiguity: from state authorities implementing territorializing projects or NGOs pursuing alternative development plans to corporations seeking to profit from natural resource extraction or illicit networks attempting to evade the state’s gaze. This speaks to Best’s (2008) assertion that ambiguity can present at once, “an object of governance—that one seeks to contain—a strategic asset in governance—that is exploited to achieve a certain end—and a limit to governance—as that which exceeds efforts to control it” (Best, 2008: 363). Although this ambiguity poses challenges to researchers, to leave such spaces unstudied is to surrender control of the regional narrative to those in power. It is important to recognize that while empirical traces and sensed absences are insufficient to definitively prove the role of the illicit, limiting analyses to unambiguous data and licit activities is likely to misrepresent or obscure the shadow economies and power structures that impact the lives of millions of people around the globe.
While the epistemological constraints of field research are hardly reducible to the presence of the illicit, we have found it to require special considerations. We suggest that spheres of ambiguity surrounding illicit activities generate patterns of constructed ignorance that have yet to be framed within the literature. Spheres of ambiguity impact each step in the research process, contributing to an ignorance supply chain that limits what can be known. Researchers working around the illicit must contend with how to evaluate the knowledge-ignorance landscape that is generated. We drew on agnotology to construct an Ignorance Assessment Framework that we offer to scholars in human geography and beyond to more explicitly grapple with the causes and implications of spheres of ambiguity and the subsequent ignorance generated around the illicit. We suggest that ignorance related to illicit activity deserves better acknowledgement and scrutiny due to its pervasive impacts not only on research outcomes, but on regional and global geographies, interventions, and the lives of local people.
Footnotes
Acknowledgments
This paper is the product of a joyful and highly collaborative engagement spanning nearly four years among the authors, with extensive inputs from a few notable parties. We want to thank Progress in Human Geography’s editor, Louise Amoore, and our two anonymous reviewers for their careful but challenging and constructive engagement with the piece. The ideas presented here have also benefited greatly from astute insights from Patrick Baur, who provided feedback on an early version of this manuscript. Our foundational concepts were refined through a discussion with Brittany Gilmer, who participated in our panel, “Encounters with the Illicit: Characterizing Landscapes of Ignorance” at the Annual AAG meeting in 2019 in Washington, D.C.; dialogue among the panelists and those in attendance helped inspire and guide our initial framing of this paper.
Declaration of conflicting interests
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
