Abstract
In a two-sector model with circulating capital, Laibman (1982) shows that a capital-using and labor-saving technical change in the consumption goods sector lowers the rate of profit under the assumption of constant rate of exploitation. This paper generalizes his finding in a two-department multi-sector model that considers the capital advanced.
1. Introduction
Marx’s law of the tendency of the rate of profit to fall states that a rising organic composition of capital leads to a decrease in the general rate of profit when the rate of exploitation is constant, or even rising (Marx 1998: 210–11). Marx also discusses the counter-tendencies that could check the decline in the rate of profit, including “the cheapening of elements of constant capital” that is due to “the same development which increases the mass of the constant capital in relation to the variable” (234, my emphasis). Marx’s demonstration of the law by way of numerical examples hardly proves it, and leads to different interpretations of its meaning and validity. In contrast, the Okishio (1961) Theorem states that a profitable (cost-reducing) technical change increases the general rate of profit if the real wage rate is constant. Okisho’s assumption of constant real wage rate is related to but arguably different from Marx’s underlying assumptions. Laibman (1982), in a heuristic two-sector model with circulating capital, shows that under the assumption of constant rate of exploitation, a profitable, capital-using, and labor-saving technical change in the consumption goods sector necessarily lowers the general rate of profit; such a technical change in the capital good sector is also compatible with (though does not necessitate) a fall in the rate of profit. Laibman’s result can serve as a theoretical reference point that is different from Okishio’s in a potentially more general framework where wage and exploitation are allowed to be endogenously determined by technical change. 1 Is Laibman’s finding robust to generalization? This paper seeks to answer this question. In a two-department multi-sector input-output model that takes into account the stock-flow relation of the capital advanced, a profitable, capital-using, and labor-saving technical change in the consumption goods department lowers the general rate of profit under the assumption of constant rate of exploitation; as a corollary, even if the rate of exploitation rises, but stays within a certain threshold, the rate of profit also falls.
2. The Debate on Marx’s Law
The debate on Marx’s law can be broadly divided into two stages, with the Okishio Theorem being the watershed. 2 The first stage centers around whether Marx’s law is well-formulated, typically based on the following formula that concerns the aggregate value magnitudes when only circulating capital is considered:
where C, V, and S are respectively constant capital, variable capital, and surplus value; r and
The aforementioned doubts are partly resolved if we consider Marx’s distinction of the three concepts of composition of capital, i.e., the technical (TCC), value (VCC), and organic (OCC) composition of capital (Fine and Harris 1976). In this case, equation (1) could be re-formulated as follows Shaikh (1990).
Let
Henceforth, the VCC is understood as C / V, and the OCC as
With this new formulation of the problem, Robinson’s tautology critique becomes irrelevant, and the true problem lies in this: It is not clear as to how the OCC affects the VCC when the net effect of the three indexes remains unspecified. Besides, it is logical to assign the role of counter-tendency to the cheapening of constant capital (
Okishio (1961) presents such a mathematical treatment in a multi-sector input-output model by imposing a special restriction on the rate of exploitation—a constant real wage rate. He also allows for endogenous change in relative price. His stark conclusion that the rate of profit rises after any profitable technical change brings the debate into a new stage. The Okishio Theorem has proved to be robust in various theoretical settings, including the case of fixed capital (Roemer 1979), joint production (Bidard 1988), product innovation (Nakatani and Hagiwara 1997; Fujimori 1998), and historical cost accounting (Laibman 2001).
4
Nonetheless, the assumption of constant real wage rate is too restrictive (Okishio 2000), and the Okishio Theorem does not rule out the possibility that a falling rate of profit is compatible with a constant or even rising rate of exploitation when the real wage rate is allowed to vary. Laibman (1982) demonstrates exactly this. Moreover, the question on how a change in
Therefore, I treat the Okishio Theorem and Marx’s law as two propositions that are not contradictory to one another, but rather based on different, though related, assumptions. I follow Laibman’s (1982) suggestion to examine the relationship between technical change and profitability in the context of what he calls class struggle neutrality: “It is the rate of exploitation—the ratio of unpaid to paid labor time—which expresses the balance of class forces at a given time. It is when wages keep in step with productivity that the balance of class forces does not change; this then, is the neutral framework in which to analyze technical change” (103). The assumption of constant rate of exploitation can be a useful reference case, though not necessarily true in a systematic manner. 5 It is also compatible with interpretation 2 (see section 1) and the general law of accumulation in chapter XXV of volume 1 of Capital (Marx 1996) which stresses the important role of the rising OCC in increasing the rate of exploitation. The reason is: if one can show a falling rate of profit under a fixed rate of exploitation, there certainly exists the case where the rate of exploitation rises (but not too much) and the rate of profit falls simultaneously (see section 4 for a formal proof).
It is worth noting that the hypothesis examined by Laibman (1982) and thus this paper differs from Marx’s formulation of his law in at least two respects. First, following Okishio (1961), we treat the effect of the cheapening of elements of constant capital and workers’ consumption goods as mixed with that of the OCC insofar as the former is induced by the change in the latter. The second difference has to do with the transformation problem: Marx formulates his law in value terms but the average value rate of profit generally deviates from the price rate of profit (Morishima 1973). To strictly follow Marx’s formulation, one has to decide how output proportions change with technical change since they are needed to calculate the average value rate of profit; I instead go with the price rate of profit which is more tangible to capitalists. Nonetheless, I maintain the definition of the rate of exploitation in value terms as Laibman does. This treatment is at least consistent with Marx’s (1998) attempt to derive the price rate of profit from a given rate of exploitation—the ratio between unpaid and paid labor time—that reflects social relations, regarding labor as the fundamental substance of value and the price system a phenomenal structure to be derived from the value system (Roemer 1981: 153–4). 6
3. The Input-Output Model
Consider a closed capitalist economy where there are m different sectors, each producing a single type of goods. For i, j = 1, …, m, denote x as the m × 1 output vector whose generic element xi
Assume all wages are paid after production;
7
when the real wage (
A production technique is then characterized by the tuple
The value vector can be solved as
where
in which the second equation is a normalization condition imposed on p. With some other standard mathematical assumptions, it can be proved that there exists a unique and positive solution for π and p in the above price system (Brody 1970: 42). Furthermore, π is decreasing in
Next, I define two important types of technical change. A technical change in sector j,
in which an industry undergoes a profitable technical change when the inequality sign is strict for that industry, and does not when it is binding. Assume the turnover matrix D to be constant, 10 then a technical change is said to be capital-using and labor saving (CU-LS) when:
The elements of capital stock K change proportionally with the elements of A because Kij = AijDij and Dij remains constant. The CU-LS type of technical change captures the essence of rising OCC or mechanization, that is, the substitution of labor power by constant capital, although it does not allow for substitution of one type of constant capital by another. In what follows, I only consider profitable CU-LS technical change.
4. Generalization of Laibman (1982)
As stated previously, my research question is how a profitable CU-LS technical change affects the rate of profit if the rate of exploitation is constant. My main strategy to answer this question is to devise two threshold conditions regarding the growth of real wage such that the constancy of the rate of profit and that of the rate of exploitation are maintained, respectively. Comparing these two thresholds enable us to use the negative relationship between the real wage rate and the rate of profit to see whether the rate of profit rises or falls when the rate of exploitation is constant.
Threshold Condition 1: For a profitable technical change
From the price system (5), the price vector can be explicitly solved as:
Let
Apply
By the Okishio Theorem we know
Similarly, let the real wage rate be
Threshold Condition 2: For a profitable technical change
We know from equation (4) that the rate of exploitation is determined by the value of labor power
This growth rate is obviously equal to the rate of reduction in the value of the reference consumption basket. Since the rate of exploitation is decreasing in the real wage rate by equation (4), it rises or falls depending on whether the real wage rate grows slower or faster than
After a profitable CU-LS technical change, does the new equilibrium rate of profit fall when the rate of exploitation is fixed? This question essentially boils down to whether
At a more concrete level where the economy consists of one capital goods sector and one consumption goods sector, Laibman (1982) shows that a profitable CU-LS technical change in the consumption goods sector necessarily decreases the rate of profit. His result can be generalized in a two-department multi-sector framework as follows.
Let sectors 1 through n be the capital goods sectors, or Department I, and the rest, sectors n + 1 through m, the consumption goods sectors, or Department II. Accordingly, aij = 0 for
with appropriate dimensions. The two-department price and value systems are:
It can be proved that, if Department II undergoes a profitable CU-LS technical change, the two thresholds as in equation (10) and (11) are concretized as follows: 14
Because
which implies
It is obvious that for any real wage growth rate
Laibman (1982) also demonstrates that if the above technical change takes place in Department I, the movement of the rate of profit is indeterminate.
5. Concluding Remarks
Laibman’s (1982) finding and its generalized version developed in this paper can be considered as a class-struggle-neutral benchmark for the debate on Marx’s law of falling rate of profit when exploitation is treated as endogenous to technical change. On the other hand, the Okishio Theorem can be treated as a real-wage-neutral benchmark for the same problem. Both cases are theoretical references—they tell nothing about the actual relationship between technical change and distribution, because there is no reason for the rate of exploitation or the real wage rate to stay constant systematically. However, they are potentially useful for studying the effect of technical change on profitability in a more general framework where the functional relationship between technical change and the real wage is considered. This issue is left for future study.
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
I would like to thank Deepankar Basu, Al Campbell, David Laibman, Peter Skott, Naoki Yoshihara, and the three reviewers for their helpful comments on earlier versions of this paper. The current version is substantially shortened from a previous one according to the reviewers’ suggestion. All errors are mine.
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
The author declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The author received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
1
It is beyond the scope of this paper to develop such a framework.
2
It is beyond the scope of this paper to provide a comprehensive review of the debate.
4
Shaikh (1978,
) challenges the empirical relevance of Okishio’s profitable criterion for the choice of technique. He argues that capitalists choose new production techniques to raise the profit margin rather than the temporary rate of profit, so that a new technique that increases the profit margin might lower the temporary rate of profit at the same time. Shaikh’s argument can be evaluated only by empirical investigation.
5
6
As is pointed out by a reviewer, one might argue that the profit/wage ratio in price terms is more conceivable to the working class and thus has more behavioral foundation than the rate of exploitation defined in value terms. This is contentious because workers generally lack information on profits of the capitalist class as well as on the output (aggregate or sectoral) that is needed to calculate the profit/wage ratio. Moreover, using the assumption of constant profit/wage ratio comes at a modeling cost: To calculate the aggregate profits and wages, one has to impose some special restriction on how output changes with technical change. For example, Franke (1999) assumes a constant aggregate profit/wage ratio, but has to limit his analysis to the case of balanced growth.
avoids the treatment of output by not using the aggregate profit/wage ratio, and instead assumes constant sectoral profit/wage ratios which are different across sectors. This implies that the labor market is non-competitive since the real wage rate is not necessarily uniform across sectors.
7
Allowing wages to be paid at any point between the start and the end of production does not alter the result of this paper. As suggested by a reviewer, I do not incorporate this factor in the model for the sake of simplicity, but the proof is available on request.
8
The replenishment of fixed capital is somewhat special at the firm level, because it only needs to be replaced at the end of its life, rather than that of a production period. Here for simplicity, I further assume that at the end of a production process, a depreciation fund is set aside and lies idle for future replenishment of fixed capital so that the fixed capital tied up in production remains constant over time.
9
Also note that the first m equations in system (5) can uniquely determine π and the relative price, i.e., p is unique up to multiplication of scalar. The last equation
10
11
This is a generalized version of the so-called “Marx-Okishio threshold condition” as in Foley (2009: 137–9) and
.
12
The proofs of the Okishio Theorem and the inverse relationship between the real wage rate and the rate of profit within our framework are available on request.
13
From system (5) and
14
The derivation of equation (14) is straightforward since the value of labor power in the two-department setting becomes
: From the price system as in (12) we have
