Abstract
The push for creating a more competitive and liberalized system for traditional public services, including waste management, has been on the European agenda since the late 1980s. In 2008, changes were made in EU waste legislation allowing source-separated industrial/commercial waste that is suitable for incineration to be traded within the European market. This change has had broad implications for the Danish waste sector, which is characterized by institutionalized municipal control with all streams of waste and municipal ownership of the major treatment facilities allowing the municipal sector to integrate combustible waste in local heat and power generation. This article, applying an institutional approach, maps the institutions and actors of the Danish waste sector and analyses how the regulatory as well as normative pressure to liberalize has been met and partly neutralized in the institutional and political context. The new Danish regulation of 2010 has thus accommodated the specific requirement for liberalization, but in fact only represents a very small step towards a market-based waste management system. On the one hand, by only liberalizing industrial/commercial waste, the Danish Government chose to retain the main features of the established waste system favouring municipal control and hence the institutionalized principles of decentralized enforcement of environmental legislation as well as welfare state considerations. On the other hand, this has led to a technological and financial deadlock, particularly when it comes to reaching the recycling targets of EU, which calls for further adjustments of the Danish waste sector.
Keywords
Introduction
For a long time, Denmark has been regarded as one of the EU countries that excel in the area of effective waste management. In 2011, Denmark had the highest rate of incineration of municipal solid waste (MSW) of all Member States (MS) with 54% and a recycling rate of 43%, leaving only 3% of MSW for landfilling (Eurostat, 2013). On the other hand, Denmark ranks as the MS with the highest rate of MSW production with 719 kg per capita being generated in 2011 (Eurostat, 2013). Whereas this is down from a peak in 2008 of 741 kg per capita, the rate of waste generation in Denmark has not yet achieved a state of decoupling from economic activity, which is one of the primary goals for waste prevention in the EU Waste Framework Directive (WFD) (EU, 2008). Furthermore, in a recent survey, Denmark was surpassed by more MS concerning recycling of household waste.
The Danish MSW sector, while being highly efficient as regards minimization of waste for landfilling, low prices for safe disposal of waste and energy recovery, is inflexible due to its high level of dependency on a single technology (incineration) and may further be too costly, as it is not subject to competition. In order to align with the general push for liberalization of public services in the EU and prepare for specific requirements concerning the waste sector, the Danish Government needed to decide if the entire waste sector or part hereof should be liberalized. The liberal-conservative government in power until 2011 initially favoured a decisive step not only allowing private enterprises to sell their recyclable as well as combustible wastes (suited for incineration) in the market, largely limiting this marked to private transporters, but also introducing competition in the municipal incineration sector in pursuit of the recommendations of a governmental committee (Danish EPA, 2010). However, the pressure from existing institutions and organizations in the municipal and the waste management sector was effective in making the government keep it close to what was actually required by EU legislation. Hence, the new Danish regulation of 2010 only liberalized the industrial and commercial waste. The municipalities subsequently no longer have the responsibility (and power) to decide where the recyclable and combustible wastes of enterprises should go. As the revised EU Framework directive on waste (FWD) of 2008 opened for the transfer of combustible and recyclable waste across borders, the waste-producing companies alone can decide to what facility in Denmark or elsewhere in the EU their wastes should go, as long as they can document to the municipality that the waste is of the correct quality and the facility is authorized to receive the waste.
From a theoretical welfare economics point of view, liberalizing the market will lead to both securing the necessary incineration capacity and cost-effective operation as well as a diversity of recovery technologies due to competition and private investments. Optimization of environmental protection at the lowest possible cost is foreseen. Moreover, the obscurity following from the double role of the municipalities as both environmental authority and plant-owner would be addressed. However, among environmental authorities and waste management practitioners, two major concerns were raised. One was a fear that by creating a market for waste, a situation would develop where the market mechanisms create a demand for increasing amounts of waste to be produced, working against the top tier of the waste hierarchy being prevention, and meanwhile further expose the challenges of sustainable waste processing. The other was that a situation of uncertainty would be created for the treatment of MSW and the nexus between the waste treatment and the district heating sectors.
When a change is imposed on the waste sector, the actors concerned must decide how they will respond to that change. As the economist Karl Polanyi observed, whenever a market is liberalized, each respective society will react to counteract the changes (Polanyi, 1957). According to institutional theory, the decisions of both individual actors and organizations are bound by the context of the institutional field within which they are situated. When an individual or organization is faced with a decision to be made, the options available are not infinite, but are limited by the institutional setting within which that actor is located (Hoffman, 1999). Indeed, the initial reasoning for applying institutional theory on organizations was seen to explain why organizations do not always behave in a rational way (Barley and Tolbert, 1997).
An institutional analysis can become particularly interesting during a period of change within an organizational field, such as is the case of liberalization in the Danish waste sector. According to Powell and Colyvas (2007, p. 976) ‘a key analytical task for institutional analysis is to ascertain which factors are important in particular contexts and the extent to which the mechanisms work to reinforce the prevailing social order or undercut another one’. In Denmark, it was chosen to liberalize only source-sorted, recyclable industrial/commercial waste and to retain the municipal responsibility for handling household waste (including MSW-like waste from industry), thus preventing competition between domestic incineration facilities concerning MSW. In this article, we detail how the existing institutions are framing and guiding the decisions of the actors during this change process.
An institutional perspective
Common to any institutional analysis are two overarching questions: how do institutions relate to the behaviour of actors? And how and why do institutions come to be and change over time? Across different branches of institutional theory, certain elements remain constant. Firstly, those institutions are social structures, which in some way guide the decisions of actors within that society. Krasner (1988, p. 67) argues, ‘an institutional perspective regards enduring institutional structures as the building blocks of social and political life. The preferences, capabilities and basic self-identities of individuals are conditioned by these institutional structures’. Another commonality is that institutions tend to be consistent throughout a period of time (Giddens, 1984; Jepperson, 1991). The focus for this article is built on the hypothesis that institutional structures are also important to decisions and outcomes in the waste sector (cf. Busck, 2007; Scheinberg and Simpson, 2015).
Looking specifically at the Danish waste sector, whereas in past decades it has been seen as highly efficient and a world leader in waste handling, in particular regarding to low prices and energy recovery, little has changed in the recycling rate of household waste, despite the availability of new technologies and alternate management systems. Household waste is the fraction with the lowest recycling rate and only showing a very limited shift from incineration towards recycling (Danish EPA, 2013).
In order to analyse a complicated institutional system, it is necessary to decide which level of analysis is most appropriate to address the problem and to simplify the situation in order to make sense of it. The Danish waste sector as a whole is considered too broad a view for this analysis, so the delimitation is to activities that involve incineration of waste in Denmark. To help make sense of the situation and map the focus area, the concept of action arenas from Elinor Ostrom’s Institutional Analysis and Development Framework (IDA) is drawn upon (Ostrom et al., 1994). The IDA framework defines the ‘action arena’ as the social space within which individuals and organization interact with each other. There are considered three classes of variables that shape each action arena: the actors or the general community, the rules placed upon those actors and the physical attributes that are available to them (Ostrom, 1999; Ostrom et al., 1994). The theoretical framework is illustrated in Figure 1.

Institutional Analysis and Development Framework, adapted from Ostrom et al. (1994).
Whereas no examples may be found where the IDA framework has been used previously to analyse waste sectors, it has been applied in institutional analyses of sustainable resource management (e.g. Clement, 2009; Imperial, 1999) and has been applied to analyse the liberalization of public utilities (e.g. Asquer, 2011). In this article, novel in utilizing the IDA framework to analyse the waste sector, we do not apply the entire framework, but utilize the aspect of action arenas as a lens through which to make sense of the complicated arena of the Danish waste-incineration sector and how the institutional frame has constructed decisions.
Methodology
The article includes a policy review of reports discussing the liberalization of the Danish waste sector in the period 2002–2011. In 2002, a cross-ministerial group started to investigate how Denmark should incorporate liberal market principles, and in 2004, this group released their report, but this report is only one of several that have been conducted over the last ten-year period. Almost all of the institutional actors involved in the action arena were active in producing knowledge and perspectives on the issue during this period. The final political decision on how to liberalize the waste sector and restructure the current regulations and strategies was a result of considerations of all these different reported analyses, which have been investigated in this paper.
In order to identify the relevant reports to review, a search in the Danish EPA library of reports was made, supplemented with reports referred to by actors in the waste sector. Finally, a search on Google using the terms ‘liberalization of the waste sector’ and ‘liberalization incineration’ was made.
The review included mapping and analysis of the following:
Who were the actors involved in the production of the report (authors, who commissioned/financed the report)?
How did they go about evaluating the possibilities for liberalizing the waste sector? Including an evaluation of whether or not the following aspects were taken into account:
Liberalization in other sectors or countries, privatization, competition on the DK market, specific costs of waste handling, specific prices for district heating, environmental impacts, improvements in technology, import and export of waste, transport.
What were the main conclusions?
What concrete recommendations were made regarding liberalizing the waste sector?
Finally, interviews were conducted with three persons with first-hand experience of the regulation of the Danish waste sector and the vested interests of all actors in the action arena. They were all active in forming and upholding the institutionalized structure of the waste system and may provide details and understanding on a level that could not be extracted from official records.
Jens Kampmann represents the early years of forming the Danish Waste Model (DWM). He was responsible for politicizing waste and environmental pollution in general, and his decisions, as first minister and later head of the environmental agency, influenced the Law of Environmental Protection, including its general provisions on waste handling, which in its essence is still valid today.
Suzanne Veltzé, officer in the Danish EPA from 1985 to 1991, and later head of DAKOFA, the Danish competence centre for waste representing both private and municipal interests, was in charge of drafting the main features of the executive order on waste management, including the decision to give municipalities the responsibility for disposing of industrial/commercial as well as MSW within their boundaries. The responsibility was accompanied by a set of provisions and tools to control the allocation of different types of waste for suitable treatment and disposal facilities.
Jacob Simonsen, head of Danish Waste Association, representing the interests of municipalities, including the inter-municipal companies running incineration plants, represents the most important actor besides the Ministry of the Environment and its agency in the current period of the developments of the waste sector.
The interviews focused on clarifying the most influential institutions and organizations as well as the drivers in the development of the waste management sector. Question themes regarding the recent history of Danish waste management were: What were/are the drivers of change in relation to waste management and waste regulation? What were/are the influential institutions? Was the emphasis on environmental, social or economic aspects? What was seen as the problem to be solved in relation to waste? What was the importance of waste management in the political agenda?
Regarding the outcome of a regulatory change, the interviews focused in particular on the following questions: What do you think will be the future of the waste sector? How do you see a liberalized waste sector in the future? What important legislation do you see/would like to see being implemented in the future? What do you see as the main drivers of change in the waste sector, both now and in the foreseeable future? Do you see the political support for incineration as a barrier for recycling in Denmark?
Mapping the institutions of the Danish waste sector
The organization of the Danish waste sector, which has remained largely unchanged since the 1970s, is often referred to as the Danish Waste Model (DWM).
The central principle of the DWM is that the management of waste, in particular the disposal, is the responsibility of the local public authorities. Whereas the fact that Danish municipalities have been responsible for the handling of both household and industrial/commercial waste may not differ much from other MS, the fact that treatment and disposal facilities are predominantly municipally owned is distinguishing the DWM. This has allowed for the development of a waste sector that is well planned with a comprehensive system, which covers the entire vertical chain of waste management for all waste streams.
Another defining characteristic of the DWM is the focus on incineration with energy recovery. Initially, incineration was seen as a solution to prevent landfilling. The first incineration plant, from 1903, was decided because no sites for landfills within the boundaries of the municipality of Frederiksberg (part of Copenhagen) could be found – and an increased urban densification required a solution (Kleis and Dalager, 2007). The strong political support for incineration based on its contribution to the municipal energy sector was clearly established in a political agreement in 1993, the so-called ‘biomass agreement’ in which ‘The parties agree that environmental concerns speak for the use of waste for combined heat and power production to continue to take precedence over other kinds of fuel’ (Government, The Conservative Party, Venstre and The Socialist People’s Party, 1993, p. 1). From the mid-1990s, the production of ‘CO2-friendly’ power at incineration plants has also been highlighted and integrated in national strategies to reduce CO2 emissions.
Incineration of waste provides heat for district heating networks, displacing the need to use oil or coal for heat production. Since 2005, Denmark has produced national waste strategies, which compel municipalities to ensure that there is sufficient installed incineration capacity in order to deal with all combustible waste produced within a municipal boundary. Today the installed incineration has excess capacity – compared with the amount of MSW (Danish Waste Association et al., 2014), which is related to the above-mentioned strategic decision together with a ban on the landfilling of biodegradable MSW. This creates a disincentive to increase recycling; whereas Denmark recycles an admirable 43% of MSW, neighbouring Germany recycles 65% of MSW (Eurostat, 2013).
Infrastructure/resources, actors and rules/norms
In the context of the IDA framework (Figure 1), the physical infrastructure and resources refer to both the waste management facilities and the waste itself. Denmark currently has 27 waste incineration facilities in operation, of which seven are privately owned and the other 20 are owned either by a single municipality or by a group of municipalities (Danish EPA, 2010). Danish regulation that was implemented as part of the previously mentioned DWM prevents competition between domestic incineration facilities. Therefore each incineration plant, regardless of its ownership, has access to the following waste streams: MSW produced within the boundaries of the municipalities with ownership in the waste incineration plant; MSW from neighbouring municipalities, which do not have ownership in an incineration plant, but have contracted the use of an incineration facility for treatment of their MSW; industrial/commercial waste produced within the municipal area of the owner municipalities; industrial/commercial waste from municipalities that do not have ownership in an incineration plant; and industrial/commercial waste classified as suitable for incineration produced in other MS. In Denmark, MSW is defined as all waste that is collected from municipal collection schemes, which includes all household waste, as well as waste from institutions, commerce, offices and enterprises, which has a similar composition to household waste (Danish Parliament, 2012).
Currently, there is an installed excess capacity in the waste incineration-sector in Denmark (Danish Waste Association et al., 2014). This means that there is more technical potential for incineration of waste than there is domestic waste to utilize the invested capital. From 2009 the WFD (EU, 2008) has allowed industrial and commercial waste, classified as suitable for incineration, to be exported across MS boundaries for treatment in incineration facilities, which have obtained R1 classification (Hermansen, 2012). R1 classification denotes that the facility achieves a high level of energy recovery, and all 27 operational Danish incineration facilities have obtained this classification (EU, 2008). This situation has led to an increased net import of industrial/commercial waste for Danish waste incinerators (Danish EPA, 2013).
The actors that are relevant to the action arena of the IDA framework are: Danish municipalities, which are responsible for the management of MSW; joint municipal waste companies that have invested in incineration facilities; central public authorities in Denmark and other MS (particularly in neighbouring countries), which control the regulations and (to some extent) pricing structures for incineration; Danish and foreign producers of industrial/commercial waste; and the associated interest groups of these actors. Each of these actors has a different agenda and set of priorities. When the municipalities are involved, different organizations within one municipality may have different agendas. For example, the waste utility in each Danish municipality has the primary priority to ensure that there is access to sufficient incineration capacity in order to handle the waste of its citizens. On the other hand, it is paramount to a municipally owned (inter-municipal) waste company that has invested in incineration capacity that the economy of the incineration plant is optimal, which means ensuring a steady supply of right-quality waste to utilize the capacity of the incineration plant.
In Denmark, as in all EU MS, the regulation of waste is a combination of both EU and national regulations. The broad frameworks and principles for how waste should be managed is found in the EU regulation, but the implementation of the EU regulations as well as the organization of the waste sector is the responsibility of each MS itself. One aspect of Danish waste regulation, which limits the choices of actors in this action arena, is the application of taxes and regulation of the pricing of public utilities.
Denmark is one of six MS currently levying taxes on incinerated waste (European Commission DG ENV, 2012). When waste is delivered to a disposal facility, either a landfill or an incineration plant, the fee paid is a combination of the waste tax and a gate fee, which is a service fee, collected by the facility for treating the waste. The Danish rate of incineration tax is higher than in any other country, with €44 being charged for each tonne of waste incinerated (European Commission DG ENV, 2012). The gate fee can vary significantly from one facility to another, depending on the individual economy of each facility. There are many factors responsible for these differences, but one of the most important factors is the local price for district heating, as this represents the main income of the incineration facilities (Danish Waste Association et al., 2014). In 2013, the variation in income from sale of heat ranged between €6 and €14 per GJ (Danish Waste Association et al., 2014).
Three regulatory elements set the price of heat from incineration plants: (1) the ‘non-profitable-organization’ principle stating that each facility must have an independent economy, which covers its own costs without generating a profit; (2) a limitation as to what percentage of revenue comes from the sale of heat preventing the treatment of waste being subsidized by customers’ pay for heat; and (3) a nationally set price cap on the price of heat. Due to these pricing regulations, the limiting factor for the expansion of incineration capacity is the demand for heat on the local district-heating network. In a market situation where waste can be imported from other countries, there is a potential for areas with a high heating demand to expand their incineration facilities beyond the domestic supply of waste. This may explain why Denmark is witnessing a continued expansion of the incineration capacity, despite the fact that there is already an existing over-capacity.
Outcome: limited liberalization
By 2002, it was widely believed in the action arena that the Danish waste sector would need to undergo a reorganization due to an increasingly liberalized EU environment, and a liberal-conservative government pushed for the same. The anticipation that the EU market for waste would be opened spurred the Danish EPA to set up a cross-ministerial working group to investigate how the waste sector may be reorganized to incorporate liberal market principles. This group reported their findings in 2004 (Danish EPA, 2010), but at this point the new FWD was put forward and the group’s work was postponed. The report is one of several that have been conducted over the last one and a half decade on the organization of the sector. The reorganization of the waste sector in 2010 has to varying extents drawn on the findings of all of these different analyses.
In the authors’ review of eight such reports (Bøgelund and Larsen, 2004; Bøgelund et al., 2002; Brix, 2010; Copenhagen Economics, 2004; Danish EPA, 2010; Ea Energianalyse, 2010; Incentive Partners, 2010; Mortensen et al., 2011) we found that there were three general scenarios for liberalization that were investigated and compared:
Continue business as usual;
Move toward complete liberalization of waste where incineration plants are privatized and each municipality must create contracts with an incineration plant; and
A mixture of the two scenarios, where only industrial/commercial waste is liberalized.
The main difference between the two liberalization scenarios is that under the mixed scenario, which was chosen, there is no competition for MSW among the incinerators in Denmark. The main argument is assumedly to protect the district-heating sector, which has not been liberalized.
The intended outcome of the liberalization of the Danish waste sector is that it will lead to both a socioeconomic and an environmental benefit. Liberalization of public services is part of the neo-liberal economic agenda that is currently dominant in the European political landscape. Neo-liberal economic ideals underpin the single market principle, which is the foundation of the EU directives (European Commission, 2000). The assumption is that a single, competitive market will be more efficient than governments in running public services, and that the pressure to be as efficient as possible will equate into more technological advances and simultaneously a decreased cost for society as investments will only be made where they can be economically justified. One interesting observation that can be made when applying this (economic) thinking to the Danish waste sector is that the DWM, which is characterized by being highly regulated and dominated by public ownership without any aspect of competition has developed one of the most efficient waste systems in Europe (apart from, in particular, recycling of household waste). Regardless of this, it is assumed that further efficiency can be achieved in a liberalized waste market.
When discussing the level of choice of the different actors, we can then see that the regulatory and normative institutions of the EU and the Danish institutional and political landscape, have determined how the Danish waste sector is being liberalized. The Danish EPA on the one hand side is bound by some regulatory and normative institutions to implement at least a level of liberalization allowing for industrial and commercial waste suitable for combustion to be traded on a European market. On the other hand side, it is bound by other institutions to leave the existing system as unaffected as possible. The choice made by the Danish authorities as to how and when the sector should be liberalized is still developing, however slowly but in a continuing process.
Institutional explanations for limited liberalization
Welfare-state worldview underpins the Danish Waste Model
An institutional explanation for the decision to inhibit the competition between Danish incinerators can be found in the welfare-state worldview that underpins the structure and operation of the DWM. All waste incineration facilities in Denmark, whether they are under public or private ownership, must operate under a set of economic restrictions. These regulations dictate that an incineration facility must not operate at either a profit or a loss in the long term. This is to ensure that both waste treatment and the sale of heat remain affordable services for all citizens. In addition to this, the price that can be demanded for the heat produced is capped at a level that ensures that it is competitively priced with the available alternative sources, and a facility’s income from the sale of heat must not exceed one third of the facility’s economy in order to ensure that the sale of heat does not subsidize the treatment of the waste.
This regulatory structure favours the municipal ownership of incineration facilities as it renders incineration plants an unattractive investment for private actors. It also reflects a democratic principle of the Danish society that all citizens should have access to the same level of services regardless of where (in the country) they live. Since the partial liberalization of the waste market in 2010, two privately owned waste incineration facilities have ceased operating. However, the municipal-owned waste companies are not allowed to collect source-separated industrial and commercial waste suitable for recycling. This undermines the ability of the municipal waste companies to raise revenue from the sale of valuable resources, stressing the economy of the waste companies.
The lack of a more profound change in the sector may be considered path dependency or institutional inertia. A recent article on institutional inertia in relation to action on climate change suggests that individual actors in the role as institutional entrepreneurs can instigate change (Munck af Rosenschöld et al., 2014). This would suggest that in the case of the Danish waste sector, there is a lack of institutional entrepreneurs, or that the institutional structures are resistant to the agency of individual actors.
With the municipal waste companies unable to bid for the handling of recyclable industrial/commercial waste, it is presumed that the market will deal with this waste. However, another explanation why this waste – in general – is not being traded on the domestic market is that the amount of waste available in the Danish market is too small for recycling facilities to be economically viable. Therefore, the waste is exported to facilities abroad, in particular where transport costs are low. This was also common practice before liberalization, with the municipal waste companies only acting as traders of resources to primarily foreign recycling facilities.
The discourse in the waste sector tends to focus on technological factors. A technological lock-in by the dominant incineration facilities exists making the system inflexible to a smaller content of recyclable materials in the waste to be incinerated. At the same time, there is scepticism in the sector regarding the appropriateness of investing in new facilities for sorting recyclable waste streams.
Taxation of waste incineration influences domestic competition
One of the main choices of the central authorities affecting the competition among incineration facilities is the level of taxation applied to all waste that is incinerated. The Danish waste tax was established to ensure that landfilling is the most expensive option, whereas incineration is cheaper than landfilling but more expensive than recycling, which is exempt from tax. Whereas the landfill tax, which 20 MS have chosen to implement, has worked well in steering waste away from landfilling, the six MS that have implemented an incineration tax have not seen the same response in waste being shifted from incineration to recycling (European Commission DG ENV, 2012). In a comparative study, Dubois finds that waste taxation ‘is highly disparate across European regions’, and argues that a more coherent taxation with strong incentives for sustainable waste management is crucial (Dubois, 2013, p. 1776). In a liberalized market, an incineration tax placed in only one geographic region will steer waste away from local incineration facilities and toward incineration facilities in countries that do not have an incineration tax instead of the intended outcome of steering waste higher up the waste hierarchy. Due to low transport costs, it is possible to ship waste over long distances, and still maintain cost effectiveness. However, transportation of waste is not desirable due to transport-related emissions and the fact that it is counter to the proximity principle stating that where possible waste should be treated locally. Due to such experiences, the Netherlands, Sweden and Norway have all removed incineration taxes (European Commission DG ENV, 2012).
The Danish authorities have so far decided to keep the incineration tax, as the average total charge for incineration per tonne of waste (incineration tax plus gate fees) remains competitive with other MS (European Commission DG ENV, 2012). However, the situation within the country is that the gate fees vary markedly from one facility to another. In 2013, the gate fee ranged from approximately €33 up to €117 per tonne waste delivered (Danish Waste Association et al., 2014). The regulations preventing Danish incineration facilities from competing with each other for domestic waste so far has protected the most inefficient facilities from losing large amounts of waste. It is foreseen that if the barriers preventing competition are lifted and Denmark were to move to a more complete liberalization scenario, the incineration tax would also need to be lowered or removed (Mortensen et al., 2011). In a recent strategy document by the Danish Environment Ministry, it is made clear that ‘the government will modernize the incineration sector to ensure that waste is incinerated at the most efficient plants’ (Danish Government, 2013).
Supremacy of waste incineration leads to a technological lock-in
In the 1990s, several Danish municipalities experimented with separate collection of organic (biological) waste. As with all new technologies, the implementation phase caused difficulties, most of all in two municipalities in particular. For the biogas production in Helsingør Municipality, one of the factors causing a closedown was smell, another was nylon-stockings inhibiting the pulp-stirring; for the sorting system in Århus Municipality, the critical issue was the lack of real recycling, as large quantities of waste that had been source separated at the households had to be redirected for incineration (Danish EPA, 2011). This and other examples have contributed to a certain level of scepticism in the population that waste separated for recycling will in fact be recycled. Further to this, as the WFD recommends ‘Life Cycle Thinking’ (LCT) to be applied alongside with the waste hierarchy, and some of Denmark’s technical universities are active in the field of life cycle assessment (LCA), a series of LCA studies were carried through in the early and mid-2000s showing that in an environmental comparison biological treatment of waste had really no advantage to incineration. The environmental benefit gained from avoided fossil-fuel energy production was greater than the environmental burdens of incineration (Christensen, 2004; Kirkeby, 2005; Kirkeby and Christensen, 2004; Kirkeby et al., 2006). The LCA results from projects based on the so-called ‘Easewaste’ method were actually used basically to question the waste hierarchy: ‘… the study also showed that the prioritisation that traditionally has been used, the waste hierarchy, is not necessarily satisfactory when considering the environmental consequences. The waste hierarchy, which states that waste minimisation should be prioritized above recycling and reuse above incineration with energy recovery above the landfilling, may have functioned well until now, where new understanding and methods are available for a systematic approach of environmental assessment’ (Kirkeby et al., 2006, p. 35).
As the WFD allows for waste to be handled at a lower level of the waste hierarchy if LCT provides for a better environmental outcome, these LCAs were used to legitimize the Danish reliance on incineration. These studies, however, assume that the marginal fuel for electricity and heat production is fossil fuel sources. In a future with no fossil fuel energy, this benefit from avoided impacts will not be present. The studies have also been criticized for not including the terminal loss of possibly valuable resources, which is the case by incineration and for overestimating the CO2-neutrality of the recovered energy. Given that there has been over 10 years of technological advancements, and that the models used for calculating environmental impacts have also been greatly improved, these LCAs are probably outdated. But the legitimacy that they gave to the activity of incineration of household waste survives. For practitioners at the incineration plants, an important reason for their reluctance to skip the biological waste and leave for other treatment methods is the fact that the remaining waste will have much higher calorific value necessitating a total and costly technical transformation of the plants.
On a domestic level, incineration was seen as the technology, which allowed for a shift away from landfilling, but more importantly, was also considered a renewable source of energy. A welfare-economic analysis by the Danish EPA in 2003, ‘Should household waste be burned or recycled?’ was decisive for the authorities’ choice of not following the path of recycling. The analysis, allegedly integrating environmental considerations concluded that, ‘… it is not worthwhile for society to recycle organic household waste by anaerobic digestion or central composting. Incineration is economically the cheapest option, followed by gasification, whereas the central composting is the most expensive option for society’ (Danish EPA, 2003, pp. 9–10, own translation). In a subsequent report ‘Account on the status of biological refuse’ (Danish EPA, 2003), the EPA repeats that biological waste treatment is more expensive than incineration due to a costlier collection of separated biological waste, but concedes that as local conditions may vary a great deal, biological treatment may be attractive in many instances. The analysis of collection costs was, however, based on very few data and rested on narrow assumptions of available collection technologies and remuneration systems. Overall, the analyses, in combination with the critical experiences of Århus and Helsingør Municipalities, strengthened the incineration discourse.
It is debatable to what extent waste is as a renewable energy resource, particularly due to the content of plastic wastes, which are essentially fossil fuels. The future necessity for heat is also questionable, as new demands for energy-efficient buildings will negate much of the current demand. In practice, the low price of district heating, facilitated by the provision of heat by the incineration plants, inhibits energy-saving measures in a large part of the Danish building mass, which as such accounts for 40% of the energy use in Denmark.
The technological lock-in is also related to the DWM in which the Danish municipalities, responsible for managing MSW are bound by regulation and by economic incentive to utilize the incineration facilities that they own themselves. As of December 2010, only 19 of the 98 Danish municipalities did not share ownership in an incineration facility (Danish EPA, 2010). In cases where a municipality does not own a share in an incineration plant, then it is the responsibility of the municipality to enter into a contract with an incineration plant that will accept its MSW. Furthermore, when comparing recycling and incineration rates in municipalities having incineration plant ownership with municipalities not having ownership, it is revealed that recycling of MSW is negatively affected by municipal incineration plant ownership (Danish EPA, 2010). Although the characteristics of MSW make it a poorer quality for incineration than certain industrial waste streams, in 2011 MSW represented 59% of the waste incinerated in Denmark (Mortensen et al., 2011). This means that Danish incineration facilities will continue to rely on MSW for stability of supply, and that municipalities need not fear being outcompeted by foreign waste, at least in the short to medium term. Furthermore, the WFD includes a provision that a MS can deny the import of waste shipments, which would displace the incineration of MSW (EU, 2008).
Conclusions
In the transition from the highly regulated DWM, based on decentralized control and public ownership of treatment and disposal facilities, to a liberalized market for industrial and commercial waste, the choices for action available to the actors have been limited by the physical infrastructure and available resources, the norms of the society and agendas of different actors, as well as the formal rules. The mapping undertaken in this article has helped to identify some of the most important institutional features that are framing decision-making within the Danish waste sector and has framed the conditions for an adaptation of the sector to a liberalized system with an open market for industrial/commercial as well as municipal waste.
The high investment in a single, inflexible technology of incineration, together with a strong political support both at the local level and at the central level mediated by the municipal league due to the provision of cheap district heating and an institutionalized legitimation of incineration as an environmentally sound, ‘CO2-neutral’ waste treatment technology and economically sound welfare supportive, means that incineration is likely to continue as a key technology and institutional structure of the future Danish waste sector. The Danish Government’s prioritization of a resource perspective in the resource strategy from 2013, ‘Denmark without waste’, based on the provisions of the FWD, including the specific targets for fractions of household waste, is though likely to create changes in the incineration sector. One aim is to ‘modernise organisation of the incineration sector to ensure that waste incineration is at the most efficient plants and that the waste sector supports recycling’ (Danish Government, 2013, p. 12). Specifically, targets have been set aiming for a minimum of 50% recycling of a series of focused household materials (organic waste, paper, glass, wood, plastic and metal) in 2022 (22% in 2011) and a 25% increase in recycling in the service sector (including public institutions).
The neo-liberal economic agenda and the liberal market mechanisms are vastly different from the institutional frame of the DWM with a complex system of price regulations and no element of competition. In the assessment of the effects of the limited regulatory change towards liberalization, it is found that the advantages of a principle of decentralized, municipal enforcement of environmental legislation, including democratic legitimacy, are counteracted by the technological and financial deadlock that is inherent in a waste sector primarily based on municipally owned waste incinerators in combined heat and power facilities. To increase recycling and optimize efficiency in the sector, it is crucial that the institutional actors in the field, including the political ones, find ways to overcome these intrinsic barriers, not the least as the problem of over-capacity and increasing import of waste from other MS constitute a democratic problem. The discussion and mapping of the Danish waste sector presented here hopefully helps to spur the debate on such ways as well as guides further research into how the actors can best utilize the resources and technologies available to produce outcomes with the lowest possible environmental impacts and socio-economic costs. A striking feature of the debate on liberalization in Denmark is the obvious reluctance of politicians to rule against the joint interests of the municipalities. A solution to the problem of lagging recycling therefore has to find a balance between strengthening enforcement, either directly by introducing specific requirements to the level of recycling for each municipality or indirectly by introducing a ‘producer’s responsibility’, which seems be effective in other MS, and opening new opportunities for the municipal sector to finance recycling operations, which are more costly than incineration.
Footnotes
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank Birgit Holmboe, Holmboe Consulting, for her comments and inputs into the paper, as well as the other partners in the TOPWASTE project for inspiring discussions and cooperation.
Declaration of conflicting interests
The authors declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship and/or publication of this article.
