Abstract
This prospective longitudinal study from birth to late adolescence investigated how early risk predicted subsequent aggression in middle childhood and bullying perpetration, bullying victimization, and violence victimization in adolescence. In addition, the moderating role of protective factors (i.e., maternal sensitivity, positive peers, and school connectedness) on these associations were examined. Caregiver-infant dyads (N = 216; 72% Black/African American) were recruited as part of a longitudinal study on substance exposed youth. Data using multiple methods and informants (observations, interviews, caregiver, and child/youth self-reports) were collected from dyads in early childhood (EC, birth to 48 months), middle childhood (MC, i.e., 84 months), early adolescence (EA, M = 13.26 years, SD = .83) and later adolescence (LA, M = 15.08 years, SD = .83). A developmental cascading path model was tested. There were direct associations between EC maternal harsh parenting and aggression in MC. In turn, MC aggression was associated with higher violence victimization and bullying in EA. Finally, EA violence victimization was then associated with higher levels of bullying as well as victimization from bullying in LA. Consistent with predictions, there was also evidence that protective factors (i.e., maternal sensitivity and positive peers) moderated the impact of predictor variables on aggression and bullying outcomes. Specifically, maternal sensitivity moderated the link between EC and MC aggression, such that those with moderately high levels of maternal sensitivity showed a negative relation between EC and MC aggression, whereas those with low levels of maternal sensitivity showed continuity in aggression. Positive peer influence moderated the link between violence victimization in EA and bullying in LA, such that children high on both violence victimization and positive peers had the highest levels of bullying victimization.
Understanding the risk and protective factors involved in the development of bullying is crucial to address the documented public health issue of bullying perpetration and bullying victimization among children and adolescents (Gladden et al., 2014). The current study was guided by the social-ecological model (Espelage et al., 2018; Hong & Espelage, 2012) and thus focused on the role of risk and protective factors at multiple levels of influence (i.e., family, peer, school, and community) and subsequent bullying perpetration, bullying victimization, and violence victimization during adolescence. The current study extends the developmental literature by: 1) using a long term developmental framework from birth to adolescence in order to promote understanding of developmental mechanisms; 2) extending the literature focused on biologically vulnerable children (due to prenatal substance exposure) living in high risk environments (e.g., low-income neighborhoods); 3) focusing on the role of early childhood experience of violence and aggression for bullying perpetration and victimization during adolescence; and 4) examining both risk and protective factors across multiple contexts for development.
Specifically, we examine direct pathways between early childhood risk and subsequent violence exposure and bullying/victimization experiences. In addition, given a lack of attention to possible protective factors among a high-risk sample and consistent with a socio-ecological framework, we tested protective factors (i.e., moderators) at multiple levels of influence (i.e., positive parenting, peer factors, and school connectedness) that are hypothesized to propel children and adolescents away from violence victimization, bullying perpetration, and bullying victimization in adolescence. Understanding the role of early exposure to risk and protection within the family, school, and community is crucial for enhancing our ability to predict adaptive or maladaptive outcomes for children and adolescents, especially for those in high-risk contexts.
Bullying is defined as a subtype of aggressive behavior that is both repetitive and involves an imbalance of power between the aggressor(s) and victim (Gladden et al., 2014). Bullying victimization is defined as the receipt of bullying experiences (Felix et al., 2011) and bullying perpetration is defined as enacting bullying behavior. In addition to bullying victimization, youth are also victims of violence. Violence is viewed as severe forms of aggressive behavior that may result in serious injury or even death (Farrington, 2007). Understanding the associations among bullying perpetration, bullying victimization, and violence victimization may be critical for advancing scientific knowledge and informing prevention efforts.
The social-ecological model (Bronfenbrenner, 1979) is a comprehensive framework for understanding, conceptualizing, and studying bullying and victimization (Hong & Espelage, 2012). This model emphasizes the importance of multiple levels of influence and interactions nested within various ecological levels. Dynamic bi-directional associations over time are theorized between these ecological levels, and consideration of various contexts and relationship systems is needed to understand the development of bullying and violence (Espelage et al., 2018; Hong & Espelage, 2012). Contexts of particular importance for bullying and victimization examined in this study include the microsystems (i.e., contexts that the individual directly experiences) of family (e.g., parent–child relations, parenting, and exposure to interpersonal violence), as well as peers, schools, and violence within the community (Hong & Espelage, 2012). Past research with a sample of African American adolescents supports this model. Elevated risk in the context of exposure to forms of violence (e.g., community violence, hearing about violence) increased bullying perpetration, whereas high academic engagement was revealed to be protective (Elsaesser et al., 2016). Given the importance of the relationship context for the development of bullying (Pepler et al., 2008), we must consider both maladaptive and adaptive relationship factors to best understand the onset and course of bullying and victimization experiences (Rodkin et al., 2015). Therefore, this model also argues for the moderating role of both positive and negative parent–child and peer relationships (Hong & Espelage, 2012). In the current study, we focus on maternal sensitivity and the role of positive peers, which are two salient relationship systems that have been shown to be protective in prior literature during adolescence (e.g., Bollmer et al., 2005; Burchinal et al., 2014). This approach and inclusion of these two protective factors is in keeping with the aforementioned socio-ecological framework (Hong & Espelage, 2012). The model supports the predictions that positive parent–child, peer, and other positive school-level variables, such as school connectedness, should moderate links between early risk factors such as maltreatment and outcomes such as bullying (Hong & Espelage, 2012).
Risk Factors
Early Substance and Violence Exposure
Maternal cocaine and other substance use in pregnancy is often a marker for living in high-risk neighborhoods and associated exposure to community violence (Veira et al., 2014). Maternal exposure to violence is also inextricably linked to continued substance use as a coping mechanism (Eiden et al., 2007), and may have cascading effects on children. Indeed, in early childhood, children are in close proximity to their mothers and are more likely to witness maternal experiences of violence that include violence perpetration and victimization. Social-ecological theories of development (Bronfenbrenner, 1979) highlight the salient role of maternal exposure to violence in creating a context for continued aggression and engagement with violence victimization in children. With increasing age, children’s exposure to violence is more likely to involve other contexts. Early childhood exposure to violence is a significant, unique predictor of later outcomes including aggressive behavior and peer victimization (e.g., Schwartz et al., 1997) and across a number of domains in substance exposed cohorts (Buckingham-Howes et al., 2013).
Harsh parenting
Another pertinent risk factor indicated in the microsystem of the social-ecological model is harsh parenting, which has consistently been linked with the onset and subsequent continuation of children’s aggression and involvement in violence (e.g., Eisner & Malti, 2015). Harsh and insensitive parenting has also been implicated in the development of other maladaptive child behaviors, such as externalizing behavior problems and social maladjustment as well as antisocial behavior (e.g., Burnette et al., 2012). Social learning theory (Bandura, 1973) suggests the importance of parenting practices and behavior as influences in child behavioral development, including aggressive behavior. An aggressive, harsh parenting style, particularly in response to child behavior in the form of discipline practices, can model and reinforce aggressive, hostile behavior (e.g., Eisner & Malti, 2015).
Prior Aggression and Victimization
It is developmentally typical to observe an increase in aggressive behavior up until 24–36 months, with a decline from early to middle childhood (see Eisner & Malti, 2015). However, groups displaying specific aggressive behavioral trends, especially those exhibiting early, chronic elevated levels (i.e., life course persistent; Moffitt, 1993) compared to their peers, are more likely to continue on the trajectory of exhibiting higher levels of physical, direct aggression, and violence throughout development. Prior peer victimization (i.e., the receipt of aggression from peers) and exposure to violence within the home may also increase the risk for bullying (e.g., Bauer et al., 2006) and further victimization (Knous-Westfall et al., 2012), making them important dyadic and broader contextual factors to consider within the social-ecological model. Aggression and victimization are inter-related across development. Engagement in aggression is associated directly with future victimization (e.g., Giesbrecht et al., 2011), and vice versa—victimization may predict general aggression and bullying behavior, potentially as a retaliatory response to victimization (e.g., (Yeung & Leadbeater, 2007)). Therefore, victimization may create socialization contexts which inhibit the development of social skills, promote retaliation, or lead to engagement with delinquent peers (McDougall & Vaillancourt, 2015) and thus increase the likelihood of continued victimization and bullying.
Protective Factors
The social-ecological model underscores the importance of examining protective factors in addition to risk factors across multiple levels of influence. In the current study, maternal sensitivity and positive peers were examined as potential protective relationship influences and school connectedness was evaluated as a broader contextual variable, consistent with the socio-ecological model.
Positive Parenting
Research has documented the ability of positive family factors to buffer children from the impact of stressful life events (Labella & Masten, 2018). Maternal sensitivity is linked to increased social and emotional well-being in children (Kim-Cohen et al., 2004), and has repeatedly been shown to buffer at-risk children from developing externalizing problems. For example, maternal warmth and sensitivity moderated the association between negative environmental and familial factors such as prenatal adversity, maternal substance use during pregnancy, negative discipline (Alink et al., 2009), exposure to intimate partner violence (Manning et al., 2014), and child externalizing behaviors. Prior work with the current sample has supported the moderating role of maternal sensitivity such that children experiencing higher levels of maternal warmth/sensitivity in the context of higher exposure to community violence (Veira et al., 2014) had lower behavioral problems.
Positive Peers
Peers may also serve as a protective factor within the school context for reducing bullying and victimization. Indeed, bystanders challenging a bully may reduce the frequency of bullying (Salmivalli et al., 2011). Levels of bullying and victimization may be low when attitudes at the classroom level support defending victims (Karna et al., 2010) and there is peer pressure to intervene instead of distance from episodes of bullying (Pozzoli & Gini, 2010), underscoring the protective nature of peers. However, the friends of those who are frequently bullied or victimized may not be perceived as popular, dominant, or powerful (Hodges et al., 1997), or may use retaliatory methods to try to reduce the victimization of their friends (Hodges & Perry, 1999). This may increase the risk of future victimization for the defender, and therefore, in some contexts positive peers who have lower social status and are ineffective in defending others may exacerbate risk. Higher social status or preferred children may be more likely to successfully intervene to defend a peer (e.g., Pöyhönen et al., 2010).
School Connectedness
In addition to the proximal protective effects of positive peers, connection to the school context may also be protective. School connectedness refers to experiences of perceived belonging, safety, and support in the school environment (Kim et al., 2020). There are a dearth of longitudinal studies examining school connectedness as a moderator (i.e., protective factor) with respect to bullying victimization and perpetration. Two recent studies found that school connectedness did not function as a protective factor in the longitudinal association between peer victimization and later aggression or between exposure to violence and later psychological functioning (Duggins et al., 2016; Ozer, 2005). More recently however, Kim et al. (2020) found that school connectedness served a protective role in moderating the relation between electronic forms of bullying victimization and suicide risk behaviors for adolescents. Research on the role of school connectedness as a protective factor in preventing perpetration and victimization within contexts of high risk (under-resourced schools, violent neighborhoods) is needed.
Current Study
The major objectives of the study were to examine the continuity of aggression/bullying and victimization across time, test the dynamic bi-directional relations between aggression and victimization experiences, and elucidate the role of various protective factors in the development of bullying as well as victimization. The current longitudinal study, spanning from infancy to adolescence in a high-risk sample, permits testing of developmental pathways to multiple forms of bullying and victimization and examination of the larger socio-ecological model of bullying and victimization. The present use of a longitudinal design permits the examination of dynamic interactions between constructs and across developmental periods that have been hypothesized, but rarely tested. Moreover, this type of longitudinal study has rarely been conducted in samples characterized by high and cumulative prenatal and postnatal risks and with an examination of both risk and protective mediating and moderating processes using multiple informants and methods. Consistent with this approach we tested several theoretically informed hypotheses.
First, we hypothesized that there would be continuity in aggression and victimization such that early aggressive behavior would be associated with subsequent bullying in adolescence, and that children and adolescents who experience earlier victimization, including early caregiver exposure to violence, would show victimization later in development as well. Second, we predicted bi-directional effects between aggression and victimization such that earlier aggressive behavior would be associated with increases in victimization and that victimization (i.e., both peer victimization and community violence victimization, respectively) would yield subsequent bullying behavior. Aligned with a social learning framework, we hypothesized that early caregiver harshness would be associated with increases in aggressive behavior of which bullying is a subtype. Consistent with a socio-ecological framework, we tested protective factors at multiple levels of influence (i.e., parental, peer, and school) that are hypothesized to propel children and adolescents away from bullying perpetration and bullying victimization in later adolescence (LA). We predicted that early maternal sensitivity would moderate links between early childhood (EC) risk (i.e., child aggression, caregiver post-traumatic stress disorder or PTSD, and caregiver violence exposure) and middle childhood (MC) aggression. Specifically, we expected that for children who experienced high maternal sensitivity there may be no impact of risk factors on subsequent aggressive behavior, whereas for children who experienced low levels of maternal sensitivity there may be a stronger relation between risk factors and subsequent aggressive behavior. We also hypothesized that positive peer relationships and school connectedness would moderate the links between bullying, violence victimization, and bullying victimization in early adolescence (EA) and bullying/bullying victimization in LA. Specifically, we predicted that the aforementioned hypothesized bi-directional associations between victimization and bullying would not be present for those high in positive peer relationships or school connectedness (respectively).
Method
Participants
The sample included 216 caregiver–child dyads (49% or 106 boys) participating in a longitudinal study from the child’s birth, recruited from two urban hospitals serving a predominantly Black/African-American low-income population. Adolescents self-identified their race/ethnicity as 57.6% Black/African American, 17.9% Multiple Races, 7.9% Hispanic/Latinx, 6.6% White, 2.0% American Indian, 0.7% Asian, and 7.3% other during EA and as 62.4% Black/African American, 16.5% Multiple Races, 6.4% Hispanic/Latinx, 7.3% White, 2.8% American Indian, and 4.6% other during LA. Biological mothers ranged from 18 to 42 years old (M = 29.53; SD = 6.06) at recruitment. The majority (76%) were receiving Temporary Assistance for Needy Families, 66% were single, 69% were on Medicaid, 27% were unemployed, and 71% had high school or below education. About 72% of mothers were Black/African-American, 8% Hispanic/Latinx, 19% White, and 1% other.
All mothers were screened post-delivery to identify a sample of participants with high rates of prenatal cocaine exposure (PCE). Exclusionary criteria consisted of maternal age < 18 years, use of illicit substances other than cocaine or marijuana during pregnancy, multiple births (e.g., twins), and significant infant medical complications/issues. The sample included 116 infants exposed to cocaine and other substances (alcohol, cigarettes, marijuana) in utero, and 100 not exposed to cocaine but the majority using substances other than cocaine (Eiden et al., 2014). Caregiver-infant dyads were group matched on maternal race/ethnicity and education (Eiden et al., 2014). As part of a prospective longitudinal study of risk and resilience, caregiver-infant dyads were assessed beginning at 1 month of infant age (corrected for prematurity), with follow-up assessments every 6 months until and including when the participants were in kindergarten (60 months), in second grade (84 months), in EA (M = 13.26 years, SD = 0.83), and LA (M = 15.08 Years, SD = 0.83). Children born at or before 37 weeks gestation were scheduled for appointments at chronological age corrected for prematurity until the 24 month assessment.
Measures
Early childhood (birth - kindergarten) visits
Middle childhood (2nd grade)
Early and Late Adolescence
Covariates
Procedures
The procedures were approved by the local university IRB (see Eiden et al. (2014) for additional details on this longitudinal sample and procedures). Informed active written consent (and child/youth assent) was obtained from all recruited participants, and they were compensated for their time. All assessments were conducted with the primary caregiver of the child at that time, although for ease of presentation the terms mother and maternal are used throughout when referring to the primary caregiver, as mothers were the typical respondent. Specifically, at least 84% of respondents were biological mothers at each timepoint where parental data is used, with a smaller minority of foster caregivers or relatives. Biological mothers were interviewed at the 4 to 8 week assessment in addition to the foster mothers in order to obtain accurate information about prenatal substance use. The primary caregiver was identified as the adult who had legal guardianship of the child and accompanied the child at all appointments.
Data Analysis
First, descriptive data and correlations of the measures were obtained. Outliers were modified by adjusting the value to +/- three SDs from the mean. For key study variables, skew values (-1.76–2.21) and kurtosis values (-0.44–4.67) were elevated but within accepted ranges for normally distributed variables (Kline, 2015).
As with all longitudinal studies and especially due to the high-risk nature of the sample, missing data were expected. There were complete data for 90.3% of participants in early childhood, 74.1% of participants in middle childhood, 70.4% of participants in EA, and 66.6% in LA. Results from χ2 tests and ANOVAs demonstrated that early non-biological parent care status was related to missing data in EA [χ2 (1) = 7.46, p = .01, Cramer’s V = .19] and LA [χ2 (1) = 13.73, p < .001, Cramer’s V = .25]. Additionally, adolescent non-biological care status was related to missing data in LA [χ2 (1) = 7.97, p = .01, Cramer’s V = .23]. Missing data at earlier timepoints was not related to any demographic or key study variable. Taken together, this indicated that the data were most likely Missing At Random (MAR) and the identifiable variables related to missingness were included in model testing (Little, 2013).
All models were estimated in Mplus version 8.4 (Muthén & Muthén, 1998-2020). Maximum likelihood estimation with robust standard errors (MLR) was used due to a slight skew in some of the variables. Missing data were accommodated by using full information maximum likelihood (FIML). Several demographic covariates (child sex, SES adversity, early and adolescent non-biological care, maternal children, maternal age, and adolescent age) were considered, but were only included in the model if they were correlated with outcomes at p < .10. A path analysis was used to test the main hypotheses, with EC variables regressed on the covariates, MC variables regressed on EC variables, EA variables regressed on MC variables, and LA variables regressed on EA variables. Modification indices (MI) were examined to see if any direct paths from earlier time points to EA or LA variables could be added. After examining the initial model, indirect effects were tested using bias corrected bootstrap confidence intervals in conjunction with standardized indirect effect estimates (i.e., Preacher & Kelley, 2011). Next, the moderators and interaction terms were added to the model. All pertinent variables were standardized prior to examining moderation. Given the number of parameters, there were issues with model convergence when including all moderators in the model so two models were run, the first with maternal sensitivity as a moderator of EC to MC paths and the second with the EA protective factors as a moderator of EA to LA paths.
A final model included significant interaction terms and their lower order components, controlling for the other interaction terms with those moderator variables. Interactions from this model were then probed at low (i.e., one SD below the mean), average, and high (i.e., one SD above the mean) values of the moderator (Preacher et al., 2006). Maternal sensitivity was not tested as a moderator of the path from early childhood maternal harshness to middle childhood aggression given that maternal sensitivity and harshness were measured using the same observational paradigm at the same assessment period and therefore, had a high level of overlap.
A likelihood ratio χ2 test was used to test overall model fit where p > .05 indicated good model fit. The following alternative fit indices were also considered: (a) comparative fit index (CFI), where values greater than .95 suggest good fit, (b) standardized root mean-square residual (SRMR) where values less than .08 represent mediocre fit, and (c) root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA), where values less than .08 suggest mediocre fit (Hu & Bentler, 1999).
Results
Preliminary Analyses
Descriptive Statistics and Bivariate Correlations of Key Study Variables.
Note. * p < .05, **p < .01, † p < .10. MR = maternal report, OBS = observations, SR = self-report, TR = teacher report, Vict = victimization, EA = Early adolescence, LA = Late adolescence. All measures have been adjusted for outliers.
Primary Analyses
The structural model provided a good fit to the data [χ2 (54) = 67.43, p = .10, CFI = .95, RMSEA= .03, SRMR = .06; see Figure 1 for estimates and effect sizes]. MI were examined to see if any direct paths from earlier time points to EA or LA variables could be added. The path from early maternal harsh parenting to LA bullying had the highest MI (MI = 4.94). A model with this path freed improved model fit significantly [Δχ2(1) = 10.34, p = .001], and this model provided a good fit to the data [χ2 (53) = 61.95, p = .19, CFI = .96, RMSEA = .03, SRMR = .06]. No other significant MI remained. Of the EC variables, maternal harsh parenting was associated with MC aggression (p = .003). MC aggression was then subsequently related to higher levels of EA violence victimization (p = .01) and bullying (p = .001). EA violence victimization was then associated with higher levels of bullying (p = .003) and bullying victimization (p = .04) in LA. There was also stability between EA and LA bullying victimization (p = .02) and bullying (p = .03). Finally, there was a direct negative association from EC harsh parenting and LA bullying (p = .01). The significance of longitudinal indirect cascading paths was examined. The total indirect path from EC harsh parenting to LA bullying was significant [β = .02, p = .04, 95% CI (.001, .05)] although the specific indirect paths through MC aggression and EA bullying [β = .01, p = .11, 95% CI (−.003, .03)] and MC aggression and EA violence victimization [β = .01, p = .05, 95% CI (−.004, .03)] were not significant. The indirect path from EC harsh parenting to EA bullying through MC aggression was significant [β = .06, p = .01, 95% CI (.01, .10)]. Bootstrapping was not available with the MLR estimator. The indirect effects were re-tested using bootstrapping with the maximum likelihood (ML) estimator and yielded the same findings. Main Structural Model. Note. MR = maternal report, OBS = observation, SR = self-report, Vict = victimization, m = months, PTSD = Posttraumatic stress. One-month socioeconomic adversity, non-biological care status through kindergarten, early adolescence non-biological care status, prenatal maternal substance use, and early adolescence age were controlled. *p < .05. **p < .01.
Next, the interaction terms were tested. First, a model with EC maternal sensitivity moderating the paths from the EC variables to MC aggression was tested. A significant interaction emerged for EC aggression and maternal sensitivity (b = -1.12, SE = 0.48, p = .02) and for EC maternal PTSD symptoms and maternal sensitivity (b = 0.14, SE = 0.06, p = .02) in predictions of MC aggression. Next a model was tested with EA school connectedness and positive peers moderating links between EA variables to LA bullying victimization and bullying. There was a significant interaction between EA violence victimization and positive peers in predicting LA peer victimization (b = 0.11, SE = 0.05, p = .02) but none of the school connectedness interaction terms were significant. School connectedness and its associated interaction terms were dropped from the final model.
A final model was examined with the maternal sensitivity and positive peer interaction terms, which provided a good fit to the data [χ2 (152) = 154.06 p = .44, CFI = .99, RMSEA= .01, SRMR = .06]. There was a nonsignificant trend for stability between EC aggression and MC aggression for mothers low on maternal sensitivity (b = 1.57, SE = 0.88, p = .07). For mothers high on maternal sensitivity there was a nonsignificant trend for a negative relation between early and later child aggression (b = -1.20, SE = 0.71, p = .09). There was no evidence of stability when maternal sensitivity was average (b = 0.19, SE = 0.53, p = .72). Notably, at moderately low levels of maternal sensitivity (i.e., 1.5 SDs below the mean) there was significant stability (b = 2.27, SE = 1.13, p = .046) and at moderately high levels of maternal sensitivity (i.e., 1.5 SDs above the mean) there was a negative relation between EC and MC aggression (b = -1.89, SE = 0.94, p = .04), underscoring the potential protective nature of maternal sensitivity.
The interaction between EC maternal PTSD symptoms and maternal sensitivity on MC aggression was also probed. There was no relation between maternal PTSD symptoms and MC aggression at low (b = -0.56, SE = .93, p = .55), or average levels of maternal sensitivity (b = 0.90, SE = .65, p = .17), but at high levels of maternal sensitivity, EC maternal PTSD symptoms positively predicted MC aggression (b = 2.36, SE = .84, p = .005).
Finally, the interaction between EA violence victimization and positive peers was probed. At low levels of positive peers (b = -0.02, SE = .06, p = .76) and at average levels of positive peers (b = 0.07, SE = .04, p = .10), there was no relation between EA violence victimization and LA bullying victimization. At high levels of positive peers, there was a positive relation between EA violence victimization and LA bullying victimization (b = 0.15, SE = .06, p = .01), suggesting that in the context of high levels of community violence, high levels of positive peers (i.e., they value academic pursuits) may exacerbate a child’s risk for subsequent bullying victimization.
Discussion
The central aim of this study was to test risk and protective factors in the development of violence victimization, bullying perpetration, and bullying victimization among an at-risk sample using a prospective, longitudinal design. In the selection of risk and protective factors, we were guided by the social-ecological model (Espelage et al., 2018; Hong & Espelage, 2012), which has been applied to the study of bullying and peer victimization, and calls for assessments at multiple levels of influence (e.g., family, peer, school, and community). In general, the findings support the benefits of this framework and the examination of cascading influences from one level of influence to another across time. As hypothesized, we found a series of cascading direct effects from early parenting/family risk factors to later outcomes in middle childhood, EA and LA. Harsh maternal parenting in EC predicted aggression in MC, which in turn, was associated with violence victimization within the community as well as bullying behavior in EA. Violence victimization in EA was then associated with an increase in bullying and bullying victimization in LA.
In addition to this hypothesized cascade which reflects conferred risk from early harsh parenting to LA bullying through higher levels of aggression and victimization in MC and EA, harsh parenting in EC was also directly associated with lower LA bullying perpetration. Once this conferred risk path is controlled what may be left is assertive and boundary setting aspects of harsh parenting. The at-risk nature of the sample may create a context in which these features of negative parenting are less likely to be associated with maladjustment (Deater-Deckard et al., 1996). Researchers have also previously theorized that there are different cultural norms and values in regards to parenting in ethnic-minority and low SES communities, which may influence the effect of parenting practices on outcomes (Prevoo & Tamis-LeMonda, 2017). It should be noted that the bivariate correlation between these two variables was small and non-significant and this direct effect has to be understood in the context of the conferred risk indirect path. Furthermore, gender differences may moderate the impact of harsh parenting and later bullying, which we were unable to examine in the current study due to concerns about power.
As hypothesized, there were also a series of significant interactions suggesting moderation of various direct paths. In general, these findings support the notion that maternal sensitivity may disrupt maladaptive outcomes and promote pathways of resilience among children experiencing numerous stressors, consistent with a social-ecological framework (Hong & Espelage, 2012). These findings also provide possible avenues for intervention as discussed below. More specifically, we found that the stability of aggression from EC to MC was moderated by maternal sensitivity, such that those with moderately high levels of maternal sensitivity showed a negative relation between EC and MC aggression, whereas those with low levels of maternal sensitivity showed continuity in aggressive behavior. This is consistent with prior work which has theorized and found that maternal sensitivity serves as a protective factor in the development of behavior problems (e.g., Alink et al., 2009; Kim-Cohen et al., 2004; Labella & Masten, 2018). The current pattern of findings regarding bullying victimization are also consistent with prior work, using a nationally representative sample and cross-sectional design, documenting that both European American and African American adolescents that reported receiving parental/guardian support were less likely to report experiencing bullying victimization (Hong et al., 2020). A second interaction effect is in conflict with this prior research and theory and is a bit more challenging to interpret in that EC maternal PTSD predicted aggression in MC among those whose caregiver was high in sensitivity. This effect awaits replication, but it may suggest an overly enmeshed family structure that facilitates greater sharing of trauma experiences, which may activate violent scripts for the child, which ultimately are modeled later in development.
Somewhat surprisingly, associating with positive peers was found to moderate the link between violence victimization in EA and bullying victimization in LA such that children high on both violence victimization and positive peers were more likely to have the highest levels of bullying victimization. This suggests that in the context of high environmental risk (i.e., high levels of violence victimization, under-resourced neighborhood), prosocial peers (i.e., peers who value academics and civic engagement) further exacerbate risk. These positive peers, as currently measured, may hold limited social power/social dominance within the peer group in these risky contexts. As previously mentioned, prior developmental literature has underscored the potential risk of further victimization associated with ineffectual defenders and peers (e.g., Hodges et al., 1997), particularly in high risk environments, such as in classrooms that are low in defending behavior (Karna et al., 2010). This effect needs to be replicated in future studies within similar contexts. In sum, it would be important to make distinctions between peers that are academically and civic minded and potentially “ineffectual” peers from those that are high impact prosocial leaders and “effectual” peers (i.e., socially visible, preferred high status peers whom help and support others). It is conceivable that the latter type of prosocial peer may serve an important protective role as defenders and help to reduce the risky outcomes for those that otherwise may continue on a path of victimization.
Overall, the current findings provide some support for the broader socio-ecological theoretical model for bullying and victimization (see Espelage et al., 2018) and underscores the importance of examining developmental cascade models for understanding bullying, victimization, and associated experiences with interpersonal violence from birth to adolescence (see also Nickerson et al., 2020; Perry et al., 2021). The present study demonstrates the importance of parent–child relationships and the cascading influence of these early risk factors on a range of outcomes (Labella & Masten, 2018). In addition, the present study shows the power of protective factors like maternal sensitivity that may help to propel children and adolescents away from maladaptive outcomes (e.g., Alink et al., 2009). Unfortunately, no moderating effects were found for school connectedness, consistent with other research (e.g., Ozer, 2005), but more work is needed on both children living in high risk neighborhoods attending under-resourced schools, and on the possible protective role of school connectedness for adolescents from various contexts that experience or witness violence in their community.
Limitations
Despite the noted strengths of this longitudinal study with multiple time points, comprehensive prospective assessments from multiple methods and informants, and relatively high retention rate for an at-risk sample, there are several limitations. First, given the gap in assessments between MC and EA, there is the possibility of unmeasured intervening processes that the present study could not test. Moreover, even though we did control for earlier aggression and related behaviors, we were unable to control for earlier (prior to EA) bullying perpetration and victimization, which may undermine our ability to appropriately model change in these constructs. It should be noted that the reliance on self-report of bullying and bullying victimization for both EA and LA assessments may have been appropriate to support valid assessments, but raises possible concerns about shared method variance. In addition, the failure to examine the unique form and function of victimization and bullying behavior may have undermined our ability to see gender-linked pathways and is a clear direction for future work. Prior research has demonstrated that mothers’ and fathers’ behavior (e.g., parental monitoring) may have differential effects on bullying experiences among African-American adolescents (Hong et al., 2020), and future work will be needed to replicate the present findings with fathers. Finally, we did not have an assessment of the quality of the relationship with positive peers within this project and that may have impacted our ability to test the role of this moderator.
Future Directions
Importantly, this work demonstrates the power of maternal sensitivity in early childhood in promoting resilient outcomes. Future intervention work should continue to explore the impact of programs that foster warm, responsive, and sensitive caregiving approaches among families at-risk and especially those with substance exposure. Given our findings about harsh parenting in EC having a cascading influence on later aggression, violence victimization, and bullying perpetration, yet a negative direct relation from harsh parenting to late adolescent bullying, future longitudinal studies with high-risk and racially and ethnically diverse samples are needed to study multiple dimensions of parenting (e.g., power-assertive, harsh, consistent enforcement of rules, and monitoring) across development to disentangle these effects. Future studies with high-risk samples exposed to violence victimization should also assess the moderating effect of peers by assessing this construct in more depth (e.g., quality of these relationships, peers’ social status and dominance, prosocial and delinquent behavior) to more fully understand whether they may serve as risk or protective for bullying victimization. Finally, although we statistically controlled for changes in caregiving situations in this sample, it is possible that changes in primary caregivers over time or stability of maladaptive care situations conferred unique risk for a subset of children. Person centered analyses examining changing contextual risks and how they relate to adolescent outcomes may promote greater understanding of these processes and their relations with violence and bullying victimization and perpetration.
Implications for Policy and Practice
The present study has several policy and practice implications. First, a clear clinical and policy implication of the moderating role of maternal sensitivity is the importance of supporting and fostering positive parenting skills and behavioral interventions among families that may be at-risk (e.g., substance exposed) for problematic parent–child interactions and to do so as early as possible. Moreover, this work highlights the long-term influence of early maternal sensitivity for supporting resilient pathways and underscores the importance of assessing for positive/protective variables in studies and clinical practice with children that are probabilistically at risk for maladaptive outcomes. Second, knowing that experiences during the early months of life (e.g., caregiver harshness) directly predict subsequent aggressive behavior also provides justification for early intervention to reduce caregiver harshness and promote positive parent-child interactions. Third, given the current documented stability of aggressive behavior over a long period of development, our findings support early identification and intervention for aggressive behavior and in particular for physically aggressive behavior that occurs during a period in development when it is no longer normative (i.e., after 60 months; NICHD ECCRN, 2004). Finally, exposure to violence early in life and community violence later during development were associated concurrently and prospectively with bullying and bullying victimization and thus policymakers must understand that efforts to alleviate community violence have cascading influences on children and may help support resilient pathways.
Conclusion
In sum, we found evidence for continuity of aggression and bullying/victimization behavior and some findings suggest the important role that protective factors may play in the development of these forms of interpersonal aggression in an at-risk sample. Results highlight the dynamic bi-directional links between aggression and victimization across development. Finally, scholars may benefit from considering a range of ecological levels in their research that may help us understand, predict, and improve the lives of young children and adolescents.
Footnotes
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: Research in this article was supported by the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) under Awards R01DA013190 and R01DA041231. No other support was provided for the research, authorship and/or publication of this article.
Authors’ Note
We appreciate the families who participated in this project, the research staff who collected, coded, and cleaned data. We acknowledge Drs. Amol Lele and Michael Ray for collaboration on data collection at the Buffalo hospitals, and Dr. Claire Coles for collaboration on the larger study. We would like to thank Ariana DeJesus-Rodriguez, Julia Kiefer, and Shelby Ostolski for reference checking. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official view of the NIH. Correspondence may be directed to the first author at
