Abstract
We develop a Bayesian operator-learning framework for nonlocal damage mechanics aimed at calibrating uncertain internal length scales and quantifying predictive uncertainty from limited observations. The deterministic forward model is based on an AT2-type gradient damage regularization, which introduces a finite localization width and provides a mesh-objective continuum description of strain-softening behavior. The resulting boundary-value problem is interpreted as a parametric solution map from loading and material parameters to displacement and damage fields in Sobolev spaces. To accelerate the repeated forward evaluations required in Bayesian inversion, we introduce a learned surrogate approximation of this nonlinear operator. The present numerical implementation employs a computationally efficient convolutional surrogate with Monte Carlo-dropout uncertainty quantification, while the overall framework is formulated in an architecture-agnostic manner and can be extended to richer neural-operator constructions in future work. A principal contribution of the paper concerns parameter identifiability in the pre-critical regime. We show that when only global traction–displacement observations are available, the Fisher information associated with the internal length scale may become small. Consequently, the inverse problem can be practically nonidentifiable: materially distinct parameter values may generate nearly indistinguishable global responses, yielding diffuse or biased posterior distributions despite apparently accurate curve fits. Numerical experiments on a 1D benchmark validate this mechanism. The posterior distribution of the internal length scale is shown to remain weakly informative under monotone pre-critical loading, even though the global traction–displacement response is predicted accurately. In addition, field-level predictive uncertainty is observed to concentrate near mechanically active damage zones, highlighting spatial regions where additional measurements would be most informative. The proposed framework provides a mathematically consistent and computationally efficient route toward probabilistic calibration of nonlocal damage models. The most strongly validated conclusion of the present study is that accurate global response prediction does not necessarily imply reliable identification of internal length scales. Extensions to post-peak snap-back regimes, instability-enhanced identifiability, and multidimensional operator-learning architectures are left for future work.
Keywords
1. Introduction
1.1. Nonlocal damage and variational fracture regularization
Strain localization and mesh-sensitive softening are endemic to local continuum damage and ductile degradation models: once the constitutive tangent loses ellipticity, the governing boundary-value problem may become ill-posed and numerical solutions collapse onto the discretization scale. Two broad and mathematically grounded regularization routes have emerged. The first is nonlocal/gradient damage, where internal length scales enter through integral-type averaging or higher-order gradients, thereby restoring well-posedness and selecting a finite localization width [1–3]. The second is the variational approach to fracture initiated by Francfort–Marigo, where crack evolution is driven by global energy minimization under irreversibility [4]. In computational practice, the sharp crack functional is approximated by elliptic phase-field regularizations (Ambrosio–Tortorelli type), leading to robust algorithms and a clear interpretation of the length scale as the width of a diffused damage zone [5–8]. These phase-field models (including the widely used AT2 formulation) have become a standard platform for predicting initiation, propagation, and complex crack topologies in brittle and quasi-brittle solids [9, 10].
At the same time, the contemporary continuum-mechanics literature has developed several alternative damage paradigms that go beyond the classical scalar gradient-damage setting. These include hemivariational formulations for strain-gradient elasto-plastic-damage solids with granular microstructure [11], intrinsic second-gradient and micro-morphology-informed models for pantographic and grain–grain interaction effects [12], as well as microdamage-informed biomechanical remodeling frameworks in which damage interacts with long-time structural adaptation in living tissues [13, 14]. Such contributions show that damage should not be viewed solely as a regularization device for localization but also as a multiscale internal variable whose interpretation depends on the underlying microstructure, morphology, and even biological remodeling mechanisms. This broader perspective is important for the present work: our focus is on an AT2-type gradient damage model, but the inverse and uncertainty-quantification issues we address are part of a larger class of continuum models in which internal length scales, microstructural parameters, and degradation descriptors must be inferred from incomplete observations.
1.2. Snap-back, post-peak response, and the need for path-following
Even with a sound regularization, quasi-static failure of notched or weakly heterogeneous specimens often exhibits limit points and snap-back in global response, i.e., a decreasing load with increasing displacement under certain control protocols. Capturing such post-peak behavior requires continuation strategies beyond basic load/displacement stepping, notably arc-length methods and their variants [15, 16]. For phase-field/gradient damage, this numerical issue is not cosmetic: the inferred fracture parameters (e.g., ℓ and
1.3. Inverse problems: calibration, uncertainty, and identifiability
Inferring internal length scales and toughness-like parameters from experiments is a prototypical ill-posed inverse problem: multiple parameter combinations can fit limited observations, and model discrepancy (geometry, boundary conditions, noise, and constitutive simplifications) can dominate [17–19]. A Bayesian formulation promotes unknowns to random variables and yields a posterior distribution that quantifies uncertainty and correlations, enabling principled prediction and risk assessment [17, 20]. However, Bayesian inversion is only meaningful if the forward map is sufficiently informative. This raises a central identifiability question for nonlocal damage: Which data (global reaction curves, local fields, multi-load paths) actually identify ℓ and
1.4. Why neural operators for nonlocal damage?
High-fidelity phase-field/gradient damage solvers are computationally intensive when repeated across parameter samples, geometries, and loading histories as required by Bayesian inference. This bottleneck is amplified in two-dimensional (2D)/three-dimensional (3D) and in the presence of snap-back, where continuation and inner alternate minimization loops are needed. Recent progress in operator learning addresses precisely this setting: rather than learning a single solution, neural operators learn mappings between function spaces, enabling fast emulation of partial differential equation (PDE) solution operators across families of inputs [22–24]. Among these, the Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) has demonstrated strong performance for parametric PDEs with mesh-invariant generalization [22]. For nonlocal damage, the learned operator naturally accommodates (1) spatially varying material fields (e.g.,
1.5. Bayesian neural operators and posterior field distributions
Beyond point predictions, uncertainty quantification (UQ) in learned surrogates is essential in inverse problems: surrogate error otherwise leaks into the posterior and yields overconfident inferences. Bayesian deep learning provides several scalable approximations, including Monte Carlo (MC)-dropout, variational Bayesian neural networks, and deep ensembles [25–27]. In the operator-learning context, these tools enable posterior predictive distributions over fields, producing spatial maps of uncertainty that can concentrate near localization bands and crack paths—precisely where modeling and discretization errors are largest. This motivates a Bayesian operator-learning pipeline: (a) a physically consistent nonlocal damage solver generates training data and synthetic observations; (b) a surrogate model learns the parameter-to-field and load-to-field maps; (c) Bayesian inference is performed for
1.6. Scope and contribution of this work
This paper develops a Bayesian operator-learning framework for nonlocal damage with three interlocked goals: (1) physics fidelity: we adopt a variational AT2-type gradient damage formulation with irreversibility as the deterministic forward model; (2) Bayesian calibration: we infer
The present manuscript intentionally focuses on a controlled 1D benchmark so as to isolate identifiability mechanisms under weakly informative observations. Accordingly, numerical conclusions should be interpreted at this benchmark level, while broader multidimensional neural-operator developments remain future work.
1.7. Organization of the paper
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 introduces the deterministic nonlocal damage model and its variational formulation. We present the kinematical assumptions, the functional setting in Sobolev spaces, and the free-energy functional governing the coupled displacement–damage problem. Section 3 derives the governing Euler–Lagrange equations and discusses the associated equilibrium and nonlocal damage evolution equations together with the irreversibility constraint. Section 4 analyzes the variational structure of the problem and discusses existence, stability, and the role of the internal length scale in restoring well-posedness in strain-softening regimes. Section 5 describes the deterministic numerical strategy used to compute the equilibrium path, including the alternating minimization scheme and continuation methodology. Section 6 formulates the Bayesian inverse problem for identifying model parameters, with emphasis on the internal length scale and its identifiability from reaction data. Section 7 introduces the operator-learning formulation used to approximate the parametric solution operator of the damage model. Section 8 presents the Bayesian training framework for the surrogate model, including variational inference, posterior prediction, and the physics-consistency regularization used in the learning procedure. Section 9 reports the numerical results and discusses deterministic responses, Bayesian parameter inference, and field-level posterior uncertainty. Finally, Section 10 summarizes the main findings and outlines perspectives for future research.
Notation
To improve readability, we adopt the following conventions throughout the manuscript:
d denotes its discrete numerical representation on a computational grid.
θ denotes physical model parameters (primarily the internal length scale ℓ).
ϕ denotes trainable surrogate-model parameters.
2. Deterministic nonlocal damage model
2.1. Modeling scope and interpretation
For clarity, we distinguish two closely related formulations used throughout this paper.
First, Sections 2–4 introduce a stationary variational gradient-damage model that serves as the analytical reference formulation. Its purpose is to define the regularized free energy, establish structural properties of the deterministic forward problem, and provide the mathematical setting for operator-learning approximation and Bayesian inversion.
Second, the numerical experiments reported later in Section 9 employ the standard incremental irreversible AT2 phase-field formulation with loading steps, history-field updates, and the constraint of nondecreasing damage. That computational model introduces path dependence and corresponds to the practical evolution setting commonly used in phase-field fracture simulations.
The two formulations share the same energetic ingredients—elastic degradation, fracture toughness, and internal length-scale regularization—but they are mathematically distinct. Unless explicitly stated otherwise, all existence, stability, and variational results in Sections 2–4 concern the stationary reference model, whereas the numerical results concern the irreversible incremental solver described in the computational framework.
2.2. Kinematics and functional setting
We begin by introducing the kinematical assumptions and the functional framework underlying the stationary nonlocal damage model. The formulation is restricted to the regime of infinitesimal deformations and is posed within a Sobolev space setting suitable for variational analysis.
Let
where
The primary kinematic unknown is the displacement field
assumed sufficiently regular to admit square-integrable weak derivatives. Under the hypothesis of small strains, the symmetric infinitesimal strain tensor is defined by
where
Material degradation is described by a scalar damage field
which modulates the elastic response through a stiffness reduction mechanism. The bounds
The natural functional setting for the coupled displacement–damage problem is the product Sobolev space
which guarantees square-integrable fields and gradients. Incorporating the essential boundary condition
This Hilbert-space structure provides the appropriate framework for the stationary variational problem developed below.
2.3. Free energy functional
We formulate the stationary nonlocal damage model within a variational framework. The constitutive structure is defined by a Helmholtz-type gradient regularization that introduces an intrinsic material length scale and restores ellipticity in softening regimes.
Let
The total free energy functional is defined as
where the energy density is given by
The fourth-order elasticity tensor
together with the uniform ellipticity condition
for all symmetric second-order tensors
We emphasize that (4) defines the stationary reference problem used for analysis. In the irreversible incremental formulation employed numerically, the same energetic ingredients are minimized sequentially under history dependence and monotonicity constraints on damage.
2.3.1. Coercivity and weak lower semicontinuity
Under the nondegeneracy condition stated below, the gradient contribution together with the bounded degradation law yields coercivity on the admissible class.
and that
Moreover,
If the constraint
we have the uniform lower bound
Using the ellipticity of
we obtain
Therefore,
Since
Thus, the elastic term controls the
For the damage variable, the local and gradient terms satisfy
with
Combining the displacement and damage estimates yields
for constants
We now prove weak lower semicontinuity. Let
with
By compactness of the embedding
Because
are uniformly bounded above and below, and
for every finite
Set
Since
By weak lower semicontinuity of the
The damage terms are convex quadratic functionals of D and
Combining the two lower semicontinuity estimates gives
Thus,
Finally, let
If, instead, one uses the regularized degradation law
The internal length ℓ enters exclusively through the Helmholtz-type operator associated with the damage field. It controls the energetic penalty on gradients of D and therefore selects a finite localization width, thereby preventing pathological mesh-dependent collapse in the softening regime.
2.4. First variation and governing equations
We now derive the Euler–Lagrange equations associated with the nonlocal damage functional. The derivation clarifies the thermodynamic structure and establishes the coupled equilibrium–damage system in both weak and strong form.
2.4.1. Energy functional and admissible space
Let
The total free energy reads
where the strain tensor is
and the stored energy density is
The elasticity tensor
Admissible variations
2.4.2. First variation
Let
Using (9), we compute
Therefore,
2.4.3. Integration by parts and weak form
We define the Cauchy stress tensor
For the displacement variation, no further integration by parts is required, since
For the damage gradient term, we integrate by parts:
Substituting into (10), we obtain
2.4.4. Stationarity condition
Equilibrium corresponds to
where
and where
Let
be a stationary point of
Assume, for the purpose of deriving the equality form of the Euler–Lagrange equation, that the damage constraint is inactive, namely that variations
Then,
for all
for all
Since
and therefore (14) becomes
If, in addition,
with the natural boundary condition
where
Since
We compute the derivative term by term. First,
using the symmetry of
Next,
Therefore, the damage contribution from the degraded elastic energy is
The local damage penalty gives
The gradient regularization gives
Finally, the external loading terms give
Combining all terms, stationarity yields
Because
we obtain (15).
If
Since δD is arbitrary in the interior and, for the natural boundary condition, arbitrary on
This completes the proof.
2.4.5. Strong form
Assuming sufficient regularity, the weak equations imply the strong system
together with
Equations (18) and (19) constitute the coupled equilibrium–nonlocal damage system governing the gradient-enhanced material.
2.5. Thermodynamic structure
We now examine the thermodynamic consistency of the proposed gradient damage model. The analysis is conducted within the standard isothermal framework of generalized standard materials, where the Helmholtz free energy density serves as a potential from which the constitutive relations derive.
Let the free energy density be given by
where
2.5.1. Constitutive relations
The Cauchy stress tensor follows from hyperelasticity as the energetic conjugate of the strain,
Consequently,
which confirms that the mechanical power density is entirely derived from the free energy potential.
2.5.2. Damage driving force
The thermodynamic force associated with the scalar damage variable D is defined as the negative partial derivative of the free energy with respect to D,
Differentiating (20) with respect to D yields
Therefore,
The first term in (25) represents the elastic energy release rate associated with stiffness degradation, while the second term penalizes damage growth through the local quadratic contribution. The gradient contribution
2.6. Well-posedness
We now establish the existence of minimizers for the total energy functional within the admissible class.
Let
and define the admissible space
for all symmetric tensors
Let
where
is coercive on
No global uniqueness of the fully coupled displacement–damage minimizer is asserted.
Using the uniform ellipticity of
Therefore,
Since
Hence
for constants
Let now
up to a subsequence, and, since
for every finite
Define
Then,
is convex in
The two damage terms are weakly lower semicontinuous because
are convex and lower semicontinuous under weak convergence in
Let
Thus,
Finally, because the coupled functional is generally not jointly strictly convex in
3. Operator–theoretic formulation
We now formulate the nonlocal damage problem within a functional-analytic framework suitable for inverse problems and operator learning. The resulting formulation provides a mapping from input data (loads and material parameters) to displacement–damage fields.
It is important to emphasize that the coupled damage system may admit multiple solutions in general. Accordingly, the operator introduced below should be interpreted either locally (on a regular branch) or as a selection of admissible solutions determined by the underlying variational or continuation procedure.
3.1. Strong form of the boundary value problem
Let
Given data
we seek
with
The damage field satisfies the Helmholtz-type equation
with natural boundary condition
This defines a nonlinear coupled elliptic system for
3.2. Weak formulation
Let
A pair
for all
Existence of at least one weak solution follows from the variational structure under the nondegeneracy assumptions introduced in Section 2. Uniqueness, however, cannot be guaranteed in general due to the nonconvexity induced by damage evolution.
3.3. Solution operator
We now define the forward mapping associated with the model.
Let the input data be
and define the solution space
which assigns to each input a the set of weak solutions
In regimes where the solution is locally unique (e.g., along a regular equilibrium branch),
This interpretation is consistent with the variational nature of the problem and avoids over-specifying uniqueness in regimes where multiple solutions may coexist.
3.4. Stability and sequential continuity
We now discuss the stability of the forward mapping with respect to perturbations in the input data.
Rather than asserting strong continuity properties, we establish a compactness-based stability result.
Then, there exists a subsequence such that
where
Weak convergence and strong convergence of
This result should be interpreted as a compactness property of solution sequences rather than a strong continuity statement for a single-valued operator. It provides the level of stability required for subsequent Bayesian inference and operator-learning approximations.
4. Operator-learning approximation of the deterministic solution map
The purpose of this section is to record the approximation properties required of surrogate models used in the present mechanics inverse problem. The results below are included as functional-analytic scaffolding for operator approximation and should not be interpreted as standalone claims of novelty independent of the nonlocal damage application.
We now construct a parametric surrogate approximation of the deterministic solution operator introduced previously. The objective is to approximate the nonlinear map
which associates admissible loading and material data with the corresponding displacement field
The approximation is carried out at the operator level rather than at the level of isolated solutions. Accordingly, the present section develops a general function-space surrogate framework that is independent of any single neural architecture. This distinction is important for the numerical studies reported later: the computational benchmark in Section 9 employs a lightweight convolutional surrogate with MC-dropout UQ, whereas the present section establishes the broader operator-learning perspective within which FNOs, convolutional networks, DeepONets, and related architectures may all be interpreted as admissible realizations.
The role of this section is therefore conceptual and analytical: to identify suitable approximation classes for
4.1. Functional setting
Let
is compact in
equipped with the norm
Under the assumptions established in the previous sections, the deterministic forward problem admits at least one solution, defining a set-valued forward map
is well-defined (possibly locally single-valued on regular branches) and stable with respect to admissible perturbations of the input data. On bounded subsets of admissible inputs and along a fixed solution branch, the mapping may be treated as locally Lipschitz for the purpose of approximation and error estimation.
The natural learning problem is therefore:
Given samples
4.2. Architecture-independent parametric approximation
We introduce a family of parametric operators
where
The family
convolutional surrogates on structured grids,
FNOs,
DeepONet-type branch/trunk decompositions,
residual neural surrogates,
hybrid physics-informed architectures.
The numerical experiments in Section 9 use the first option because the benchmark problem is 1D and smooth, making a convolutional surrogate sufficient and computationally economical. However, the mathematical formulation developed here applies uniformly across these architecture classes.
4.3. FNOs as canonical high-dimensional example
Among modern operator-learning architectures, FNOs are particularly attractive for parametric PDE families because they learn mappings between function spaces while exhibiting strong mesh-transfer behavior. For this reason, they provide a natural canonical example for the present framework and are especially relevant for future 2D and 3D damage simulations.
In an FNO realization, intermediate feature fields
where
Equivalently,
with
Truncation to K retained modes yields complexity
4.4. Mechanical consistency of surrogate outputs
Given any surrogate output
we may recover mechanically interpretable fields through constitutive post-processing.
The predicted infinitesimal strain tensor is
and the corresponding stress is
Hence, surrogate predictions remain interpretable within the constitutive structure of the mechanical model, even when equilibrium is only approximately satisfied.
4.5. Universal approximation principle
We begin by recording the standard approximation principle underlying data-driven operator surrogates, which motivates the use of expressive surrogate classes for nonlinear displacement–damage solution maps.
Let
be continuous, where
Assume that the surrogate family
is uniformly dense in
In particular, any expressive surrogate architecture satisfying the density property can approximate the deterministic displacement–damage solution map uniformly on compact parameter sets.
This proposition is not intended as a standalone novelty theorem. Rather, it records the functional-analytic requirement that motivates the use of expressive surrogate classes for the present mechanics problem. The substantive issue is therefore not the abstract existence of approximation, but the practical tradeoff among architecture choice, training cost, UQ, and accuracy for the displacement–damage operator.
4.6. Regularity, spectral efficiency, and stability
Assume now that
Applied componentwise to
If, along a fixed solution branch, the mapping
then
Thus, the total prediction error naturally decomposes into:
approximation error of the surrogate class,
statistical estimation error from finite data,
sensitivity of the physical operator to input perturbations.
4.7. Connection with the present numerical study
For complete consistency with the numerical evidence reported later, we emphasize once more:
Section 9 uses a one-dimensional convolutional surrogate with MC-dropout uncertainty approximation as a proof-of-concept realization of the broader framework developed here.
The present section therefore should be read as establishing the general operator-learning methodology, while the later numerical section reports one concrete low-cost implementation suitable for the benchmark problem considered in this manuscript.
5. Bayesian surrogate inference framework
The present section records the Bayesian inference framework supporting uncertainty-aware calibration in the mechanics problem studied here. It presents the probabilistic framework used in the manuscript for uncertainty-aware surrogate modeling of the deterministic solution map
The purpose of the section is twofold. First, it formalizes Bayesian inference on finite-dimensional surrogate parameters. Second, it clarifies how uncertainty in surrogate parameters induces predictive uncertainty in displacement and damage fields. The discussion is intentionally architecture-independent, although the numerical benchmark in Section 9 employs a convolutional neural network (CNN) with MC-dropout rather than a fully Bayesian FNO.
5.1. Parameterized surrogate operator
Let
denote the trainable parameter vector of a surrogate model
The family
is interpreted as a finite-dimensional approximation class for the deterministic forward map
5.2. Prior distribution
We assign a prior probability density
where
The covariance
5.3. Observation model
Let the training data be
We assume the observations satisfy
where Σ is a positive definite covariance operator (or its finite-dimensional discretization).
Given surrogate parameters ϕ, the likelihood is
Thus, the likelihood penalizes the mismatch between observed and predicted displacement–damage fields.
5.4. Posterior distribution
Bayes’ rule yields
Equivalently, the posterior density is proportional to
where
5.5. Well-posedness of the posterior
the likelihood (33) is measurable.
Then, the normalizing constant in (34) is finite and strictly positive, so the posterior distribution is well-defined.
Strict positivity follows because the prior is positive on a set of positive measure, and the Gaussian likelihood is strictly positive. Hence, the denominator in (34) is finite and nonzero. □
5.6. Predictive distribution
For a new input
This integral propagates parameter uncertainty through the nonlinear surrogate map.
5.7. Physics-regularized Bayesian extension
To encourage mechanical admissibility, one may augment the posterior using residual penalties. Let
measure violation of equilibrium or damage equations. Then, define
This should be interpreted as a Gibbs-type regularized posterior rather than a separate core theorem of the paper.
5.8. Role in the present manuscript
The preceding framework provides a coherent probabilistic interpretation of surrogate uncertainty. However, the benchmark computations in Section 9 use a simpler practical realization: a CNN surrogate trained by regression and evaluated with MC-dropout. Accordingly, Section 9 should be interpreted as a computational benchmark inspired by the present Bayesian framework, rather than as a full implementation of (34).
6. Posterior consistency under idealized Bayesian operator models
We investigate the asymptotic behavior of Bayesian operator-learning posteriors in an idealized infinite-dimensional setting motivated by nonlocal damage mechanics. The objective of this section is twofold. First, we establish posterior consistency in the operator norm for the learned solution operator. Second, we quantify the rate at which the posterior concentrates around the true operator under Sobolev regularity assumptions. The analysis is carried out in the natural Hilbert space topology associated with displacement and damage fields. 2
6.1. Observation model and functional setting
Let
where
with
The norm on
We assume that the data consist of noisy field observations
where Σ is a symmetric, positive definite covariance operator on
Let
6.2. Prior support and Kullback–Leibler neighborhoods
The Bayesian model places a prior Π on the parameter ϕ, thereby inducing a prior on operators
We now relate this support condition to Kullback–Leibler (KL) neighborhoods.
Let
The KL divergence between
which is proportional to the squared
Hence, positivity of prior mass in operator-norm neighborhoods implies positivity in KL neighborhoods.
6.3. Posterior consistency under explicit statistical assumptions
We next state a posterior-consistency result for the surrogate posterior. The result should be understood as an assumption-based statistical consistency statement, not as a theorem specific to the CNN–MC-dropout implementation used in the numerical section. Its purpose is to identify the conditions under which a Bayesian operator posterior would concentrate around the true deterministic solution map.
The following result is an assumption-based consistency statement, adapted from standard Bayesian nonparametric theory, and is included to clarify the conditions under which a Bayesian operator posterior would concentrate around the true solution map.
Let
be the solution space. Assume that the true deterministic solution operator
belongs to
Let
where
Assume that Σ is strictly positive on its Cameron–Martin space and that the induced Gaussian likelihoods are mutually absolutely continuous for all admissible surrogate operators. Assume further that the following two conditions hold:
and
where
Then, for every
If, in addition, the surrogate class is equicontinuous on
Let
We need to show that the posterior mass of
For a fixed ϕ, the Gaussian observation model gives the log-likelihood ratio
Consequently, the KL divergence per observation is
Assumption (43) therefore states precisely that every KL neighborhood of the true operator has positive prior mass.
By the testing assumption, for every fixed
The denominator of the posterior is bounded from below on any KL neighborhood of
is positive, and the integrated likelihood over
The numerator over
The first term converges to zero in
Therefore,
The final statement follows from the additional compactness and equicontinuity assumptions. Indeed, on an equicontinuous family over compact
6.4. Posterior contraction rates
We now quantify the rate of concentration.
Assume the true operator satisfies spatial Sobolev regularity
in the sense that
for sufficiently large
where K denotes the effective spectral resolution.
yields
6.5. Implications for nonlocal damage fields
Contraction in
Since
the continuity of the strain operator from
The Cauchy stress tensor
is locally Lipschitz in
Finally, the nonlocal damage field satisfies the Helmholtz equation
whose solution operator is continuous from
We conclude that posterior contraction in operator norm induces statistically optimal contraction of displacement, strain, stress, and nonlocal damage fields. In particular, uncertainty in internal length scale and localization band width shrinks at a rate (47), provided the observation operator retains sufficient sensitivity.
We emphasize that the contraction rates derived above rely on assumptions that are not verified for the specific surrogate implementation used in this work. In particular, the MC-dropout surrogate employed in Section 9 provides only an approximate UQ mechanism, rather than a fully Bayesian posterior.
Accordingly, the present results are not used to justify the specific numerical implementation reported in Section 9. Instead, they should be interpreted as theoretical guidance describing the ideal statistical behavior of Bayesian operator-learning frameworks under strong regularity assumptions and as a conceptual reference for the design of future probabilistic operator-learning architectures.
7. Error analysis
This section establishes quantitative error estimates for the Bayesian operator surrogate approximation of the deterministic nonlocal damage solution operator. We decompose the total error into deterministic approximation error, statistical estimation error, and posterior contraction error, and we rigorously relate these contributions through stability of the underlying continuum model.
7.1. Functional framework and operator norm
Let
where the solution space is
The norm on
For an operator
Let
7.2. Deterministic–statistical error decomposition
Let
the population risk minimizer.
Then, the operator error admits the decomposition
The first term represents deterministic approximation error depending solely on the expressive power of the neural operator class. The second term represents statistical estimation error induced by finite data.
7.3. Stability of the nonlocal damage operator
We now establish the Lipschitz stability of the deterministic solution operator.
Let
with constitutive relations
Subtracting the two equilibrium equations yields
Using the constitutive law,
The function
Testing the equilibrium difference equation with
Similarly, subtracting the damage equations and testing with
Combining the two inequalities completes the proof.
This stability result allows operator-level approximation error to transfer directly to field-level error.
7.4. Spectral approximation of FNOs
Assume
Since FNO layers approximate convolution operators with truncated Fourier kernels, the density of trigonometric polynomials in
The algebraic decay reflects the truncation of high-frequency components associated with damage localization.
7.5. Statistical estimation error
Suppose observations satisfy
Define the risk functional
where
7.6. Posterior contraction
In the Bayesian setting, let
satisfies
7.7. Total predictive error
Combining spectral approximation and statistical estimation,
The first term represents the deterministic truncation error, and the second represents the sampling error.
7.8. Residual-based a posteriori certification
Define the equilibrium residual
Let
from which the result follows by the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality.
This provides a computable certification mechanism for neural operator predictions.
8. Computational framework
This section presents the numerical realization used in the manuscript and clarifies its relationship to the broader operator-learning framework introduced earlier. In particular, we explicitly distinguish between the general methodological concepts developed in previous sections and the specific computational pipeline used to generate the reported numerical evidence:
All numerical results reported in Section 9 are obtained using (i) a deterministic incremental irreversible AT2 forward solver, (ii) Bayesian parameter calibration, and (iii) a computationally efficient convolutional surrogate equipped with MC-dropout for predictive uncertainty quantification.
Accordingly, the present section separates three complementary layers:
the deterministic mechanics solver used to generate trustworthy training and calibration data;
a general Bayesian operator-learning perspective that motivates uncertainty-aware surrogate modeling;
the specific benchmark implementation adopted in this paper, namely a 1D CNN surrogate with MC-dropout.
This distinction removes ambiguity between the broader theoretical framework and the actual benchmark realization. The former is architecture-independent and naturally extensible to neural operators such as FNOs, whereas the latter was deliberately selected because the present numerical study is 1D, smooth, and computationally modest.
8.1. Deterministic forward problem
Let
we seek the displacement field
Here
and
The gradient term regularizes strain-softening behavior through the internal length scale ℓ.
8.2. Deterministic solver: alternate minimization
The coupled Euler equations are solved by staggered minimization.
For fixed
for all admissible
For fixed
where
Irreversibility is enforced numerically through
Iterations terminate when successive updates satisfy the prescribed tolerance.
8.3. Continuation strategy and present numerical scope
Continuation tools such as arc-length methods are standard mechanisms for tracing equilibrium branches near limit points and snap-back. They are fully compatible with the present framework and remain relevant for future post-peak studies.
However, for complete consistency with the numerical evidence reported in this paper, we emphasize:
All computations reported in Section 9 remain on monotone pre-critical branches without observed limit points.
Therefore, continuation machinery should be viewed here as part of the general computational toolbox rather than as a claimed source of numerical evidence for post-peak behavior in the present benchmark.
8.4. Bayesian parameter inference
We infer uncertain parameters from observed data
For simplicity of exposition, let
With Gaussian observation noise variance
where
The posterior satisfies
Sampling in the numerical experiments is performed by random-walk Metropolis–Hastings in log-parameter space.
8.5. General Bayesian operator-learning formulation
We now state the broader probabilistic surrogate framework that motivates uncertainty-aware operator learning.
Let ϕ denote the surrogate parameters and let
Here:
This formulation is architecture-independent and can be applied to FNOs, DeepONets, CNN surrogates, or hybrid models.
This explicit distinction is central to the present revision.
8.6. Implemented surrogate used in this manuscript
The actual benchmark implementation used for the reported numerical results is a computationally lighter surrogate chosen to match the setting.
We approximate
by a CNN
The network is trained on synthetic samples generated by the deterministic solver:
Training minimizes empirical mean-square loss:
Typical implementation details are:
four convolutional layers;
channel widths
Gaussian Error Linear Unit (GELU) activations;
dropout probability 0.10;
Adam optimizer;
learning rate
early stopping on validation loss.
This architecture is entirely sufficient for the smooth 1D benchmark considered here.
8.7. Implementation details and reproducibility
For reproducibility, we report here the numerical and learning parameters used in the computations. All simulations were performed on a 1D domain
The deterministic AT2 solver used alternate minimization with maximum 120 staggered iterations and tolerance
Bayesian calibration of the internal length was performed using a log-space random-walk Metropolis–Hastings algorithm. The prior was log-normal with
Synthetic observations were generated from 10 points sampled along the computed traction–displacement path. Gaussian noise was added to both displacement and traction, with standard deviations
The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) chain used 180 samples with 45 burn-in samples and a log-space proposal standard deviation of 0.14. The reported acceptance rate was monitored directly from the chain.
For field-level UQ, the surrogate was trained on 260 synthetic samples generated by the deterministic AT2 solver. The training parameters were sampled as
where
The surrogate architecture was a 1D CNN with MC-dropout:
channels, kernel size 9, padding 4, GELU activations, and dropout probability
MC-dropout was retained at inference time. For each test input, 160 stochastic forward passes were used to estimate the predictive mean, variance, and
The implementation used fixed random seeds, namely
Numerical and learning parameters used in the reported computations.
8.8. MC-dropout as approximate predictive uncertainty
Dropout remains active during inference. Repeated stochastic forward passes generate
We estimate:
Hence, the numerical uncertainty bands reported later correspond to predictive uncertainty generated by MC-dropout.
This should be interpreted as a scalable approximate Bayesian surrogate methodology, not as an exact substitute for the ELBO-based variational posterior in the previous section.
8.9. Why this implementation is scientifically appropriate
The use of a CNN + MC-dropout benchmark surrogate is scientifically justified for three reasons.
First, the current numerical study is 1D and smooth; therefore, the expressive advantages of a full FNO are not essential.
Second, the paper’s validated scientific question concerns identifiability under weakly informative data, not architecture benchmarking.
Third, the lightweight surrogate allows thousands of forward evaluations required for MCMC calibration at negligible cost.
Thus, the chosen implementation is a deliberate proof-of-concept realization of the broader framework rather than a contradiction of it.
8.10. Posterior prediction and field maps
The parameter posterior
uncertainty in inferred internal length scale;
uncertainty in reaction predictions;
spatial uncertainty concentration near evolving damage zones.
This separation between parameter uncertainty and field uncertainty is one of the central methodological outputs of this paper.
8.11. Summary of methodological consistency
To avoid any ambiguity, the methodology used in this paper can be summarized as follows:
The manuscript therefore now consistently distinguishes between the general Bayesian operator-learning framework and the specific benchmark implementation used for the reported numerical evidence.
9. Results and discussion
This section reports the deterministic phase-field response together with the associated inverse and operator-learning results within a unified statistical–mechanical perspective. The numerical experiments specialize the general framework to the incremental irreversible AT2 formulation introduced in the computational discussion. All reported computations correspond to monotone pre-critical loading paths without observed limit points. Accordingly, the purpose of the present numerical study is not post-peak branch tracking, but rather the investigation of parameter identifiability under weakly informative global data. The surrogate results presented here are obtained using a CNN trained by mean-square regression and evaluated through MC-dropout for predictive UQ. These computations are intended as a benchmark realization of the broader Bayesian operator-learning framework developed earlier, rather than as a full Bayesian FNO implementation. Throughout, the numerical observations are interpreted through the structure of the AT2 functional and the sensitivity of the induced solution operator with respect to the internal length ℓ.
9.1. Deterministic AT2 response under arc-length continuation
We consider the 1D AT2 functional on
where
9.1.1. Global traction–displacement response
Under traction control, the boundary traction is parametrized by a load factor λ as
For a fixed damage field
so that the end displacement is obtained by quadrature:
Appendix Figure 1 shows the resulting global traction–displacement curve traced by arc-length continuation. Over the explored loading range, the path is monotone and close to linear, with no evidence of a limit point or snap-back. Mechanically, this indicates that the computed states remain on a stable, pre-critical branch in which the phase-field does not induce a sufficiently strong degradation to trigger a loss of incremental stiffness. In this regime, the arc-length procedure is not merely a numerical convenience: it provides a robust path-following mechanism that remains valid if the system later enters a post-peak domain, while here it confirms that the selected parameters do not drive the specimen into unstable crack growth.
9.1.2. Energy decomposition
To quantify how the response partitions between stored bulk energy and fracture regularization, we evaluate the AT2 energy
with the undamaged strain-energy density
The first integral in (58) defines the bulk contribution,
while the second defines the fracture regularization,
Appendix Figure 2 displays
9.1.3. Damage localization evolution
Appendix Figures 3 to 8 report representative damage profiles
9.2. Bayesian identification of the internal length
We now quantify how informative the global response is for identifying the internal length ℓ. The central issue is that, in a pre-critical regime where d is small, the mapping from ℓ to global reaction data is weak, and Bayesian posteriors may be dominated by the prior and measurement noise.
9.2.1. Synthetic data and inverse problem formulation
Synthetic observations are generated from the deterministic solver and perturbed by additive Gaussian noise in order to emulate experimental uncertainty. Appendix Figure 9 summarizes the calibration data and the resulting Bayesian sampling behavior.
Denoting by
The black curve in Appendix Figure 9 represents the deterministic traction–displacement relation obtained from the AT2 solver, while the blue markers correspond to the noisy observations used for parameter inference. The measurements remain closely aligned with the deterministic curve and display only small stochastic deviations reflecting measurement uncertainty. The data exhibit an almost perfectly monotone and nearly linear relation between traction t and end displacement
This behavior reflects the fact that the phase-field damage remains small along the computed branch, so that the degradation function
Consequently, the calibration data contain only weak information about the internal length parameter ℓ, anticipating the practical nonidentifiability observed in the Bayesian inference results.
We infer ℓ through Bayes’ rule,
with a log-normal prior
9.2.2. MCMC trace, posterior concentration, and pre-critical nonidentifiability
Before discussing Appendix Figures 10 to 12, we clarify the uncertainty sources represented in the reported results. Two distinct mechanisms arise in the present framework: (1) parameter uncertainty associated with the posterior distribution of the internal length scale ℓ and (2) surrogate epistemic uncertainty associated with the learned neural approximation.
Appendix Figures 10 and 11 concern the first mechanism only, since they report MCMC sampling results for ℓ. Appendix Figure 12 propagates posterior samples of ℓ through the deterministic forward solver and therefore represents parameter-induced predictive uncertainty in the global traction–displacement response.
By contrast, the field-level shaded bands reported elsewhere in the manuscript and obtained through MC-dropout correspond to surrogate epistemic uncertainty at fixed input parameters. They do not yet represent the fully propagated joint posterior that would arise from simultaneously sampling both ℓ and surrogate parameters.
Appendix Figure 10 displays the Metropolis–Hastings trace of the sampled internal length parameter ℓ. Starting from an initial value larger than the true parameter, the Markov chain rapidly relaxes toward smaller values during an initial burn-in phase. After approximately 40 iterations, the samples fluctuate within a quasi-stationary region, indicating that the chain has entered a stable sampling regime for the posterior distribution.
Despite this apparent stabilization, the sampled values remain concentrated in a range significantly below the true parameter value
This behavior becomes clearer when examining the posterior distribution shown in Appendix Figure 11. The histogram represents the empirical approximation of the posterior density
The origin of this practical nonidentifiability can be understood analytically by examining the forward response in the limit of small damage. When the phase-field variable satisfies
Substituting this approximation into the displacement relation (57) yields
Combining (56) and (64) therefore gives, to leading order,
Equation (65) shows that, in the pre-critical regime where damage remains small, the global traction–displacement relation is essentially indistinguishable from the purely elastic response. Since the internal length ℓ enters the forward model primarily through the spatial structure of the damage field
This explains the numerical observations in Appendix Figures 9 to 11. The nearly linear traction–displacement data in Appendix Figure 9 provide only weak sensitivity to the internal length parameter, which leads the MCMC chain in Appendix Figure 10 to explore a broad region of parameter space. The resulting posterior distribution in Appendix Figure 11 is therefore dominated by prior assumptions and noise realizations rather than by strong information from the data, illustrating the practical nonidentifiability of ℓ in the present loading regime.
9.2.3. Posterior predictive response and field-level uncertainty
Appendix Figure 12 reports the posterior predictive traction–displacement relation obtained by propagating posterior samples of ℓ through the deterministic solver. The predictive mean essentially coincides with the deterministic response, and the credible band remains narrow. This is consistent with (65): in the pre-critical regime, global observables are well constrained even though ℓ itself is not. Stated differently, the inverse problem is ill-conditioned with respect to ℓ but not with respect to predicting the global curve on the explored branch.
For clarity, we distinguish two uncertainty mechanisms in the manuscript: parameter uncertainty associated with the posterior distribution of ℓ, and surrogate epistemic uncertainty associated with the learned neural approximation. Appendix Figure 12 concerns only the first mechanism, since the displayed band is obtained by propagating posterior samples of ℓ through the deterministic forward solver.
By contrast, the field-level uncertainty bands reported later in Appendix Figures 10 to 12 for spatial damage predictions correspond to MC-dropout uncertainty at fixed inputs and therefore quantify surrogate epistemic uncertainty rather than the full joint posterior obtained by simultaneously propagating uncertainty in ℓ and in the surrogate parameters. A complete combination of both uncertainty sources is a natural next step but lies beyond the scope of the present benchmark study.
This distinction is important for interpreting the numerical evidence. The current results validate that global response prediction may remain accurate despite weak identifiability of ℓ, while surrogate uncertainty tends to concentrate in mechanically active regions of the evolving damage field.
9.3. Bayesian neural-operator field posterior
We next move beyond global observables and quantify uncertainty at the field level. The objective is to learn a surrogate for the parametric solution map and to compute spatially resolved posterior uncertainty, which can concentrate where the operator is most sensitive, namely near localization zones.
9.3.1. Posterior mean and credible band
A neural-operator surrogate is trained to approximate the mapping
where
9.3.2. Posterior variance localization
The spatial structure of uncertainty is further resolved by the pointwise posterior variance,
As shown in Appendix Figure 14,
9.3.3. Pointwise posterior distributions
Appendix Figure 15 compares pointwise posterior distributions of
9.4. Theoretical discussion: Bayesian operator learning and identifiability
We now interpret the numerical findings through the lens of operator sensitivity and identifiability. The key point is that the AT2 model induces a nonlinear solution operator whose sensitivity to ℓ is regime-dependent: it is small on stable, pre-critical branches and can increase dramatically near bifurcation.
9.4.1. Nonlocal operator sensitivity
Let
defined implicitly by
Assuming that the linearization
On a stable pre-critical branch,
9.4.2. Fisher information and observable-level identifiability
Observable-level identifiability for ℓ is controlled by the Fisher information associated with the likelihood in (63). Writing
Hence, the Fisher information is
where the expectation is taken with respect to the observation noise. In the pre-critical regime, (65) implies
9.4.3. Operator-level versus observable-level uncertainty
The preceding argument concerns only a scalar observable. In contrast, field predictions retain localized sensitivity even when global responses appear insensitive. In particular, the mapping (66) can respond sharply near
so that posterior predictive uncertainty becomes a spatially structured field. The variance localization observed in Appendix Figure 14 is therefore the field-level counterpart of the sensitivity structure encoded by (70): uncertainty concentrates precisely where the inverse of the linearized residual operator amplifies parametric perturbations.
9.5. Instability regime and snap-back behavior
Although the reported computations remain on a stable branch, it is useful to clarify how instability and snap-back modify both mechanics and identifiability. In nonlocal damage and phase-field fracture, loss of stability is associated with a degeneracy of the second variation of the energy, which simultaneously enhances parameter sensitivity.
9.5.1. Peak load condition in traction control
The global relations (56) and (57) define a parametric curve
A limit point of the global path occurs when the incremental compliance vanishes, i.e.,
which is equivalent to
where
9.5.2. Second variation, bifurcation, and loss of coercivity
Stability of a critical point of
Loss of stability corresponds to the loss of positive definiteness (coercivity) of (76), i.e., the existence of a nontrivial mode
9.6. Identifiability theory
We formalize the preceding discussion by distinguishing identifiability on stable branches from identifiability near instability. While the full AT2 evolution includes irreversibility and potentially nonsmooth updates, the core mechanism can be established at the level of the forward map induced by the equilibrium branch.
9.6.1. Definition of identifiability
Let
where
9.6.2. Pre-critical nonidentifiability
and, in particular,
Consequently, ℓ is not identifiable from global traction–displacement data at leading order in ε.
Solving for
9.6.3. Identifiability enhancement near instability
Then, the sensitivity operator in (70) is unbounded as
provided
If
9.6.3.1. Remark
Theorem 9.3 formalizes the heuristic that localization and the proximity to bifurcation act as a “variance amplifier” for parametric inference: as the tangent operator approaches singularity, small changes in ℓ induce large changes in the field, which then become visible to observables.
9.7. Bayesian operator-learning perspective
We close by linking the previous sensitivity results to operator-level UQ. Bayesian operator learning aims at a posterior over mappings (66), as symbolically indicated in (72). In this setting, uncertainty in ℓ and surrogate/model error jointly induce uncertainty in
where
9.8. Summary of findings
The deterministic computations confirm that the adopted AT2 implementation yields a smooth, length-scale-controlled localization band and a stable, monotone global response over the explored loading range. The Bayesian inversion based solely on traction–displacement data reveals that ℓ is practically nonidentifiable on this pre-critical branch, in agreement with the small-damage expansion in Theorem 9.2. In contrast, field-level Bayesian surrogate predictions expose a spatially structured uncertainty landscape that concentrates near the notch, consistent with localized operator sensitivity. Finally, the operator-sensitivity analysis clarifies why identifiability is expected to improve dramatically as the system approaches a loss of stability: near bifurcation, the inverse of the linearized damage operator amplifies parametric perturbations, increasing Fisher information and tightening the posterior.
10. Conclusion
This work developed a mathematically consistent Bayesian operator-learning framework for nonlocal damage mechanics, aimed at connecting variational regularization in strain-softening solids with modern UQ for parametric solution maps. Starting from an AT2-type gradient damage formulation, we recast the coupled equilibrium–damage problem as a nonlinear operator acting between Sobolev spaces. This perspective provides a unified language for deterministic analysis, surrogate approximation, and Bayesian inversion.
On the deterministic side, the formulation preserves the regularizing structure of gradient damage models through a Helmholtz-type contribution that introduces an internal length scale ℓ, selects a finite localization width, and suppresses pathological mesh dependence. In the numerical regime examined here, all reported computations were intentionally restricted to monotone pre-critical loading paths without observed limit points or snap-back. The computed responses remained smooth, damage stayed below full degradation, and the resulting profiles exhibited the expected diffuse-zone thickness controlled by ℓ. These observations provide internal consistency checks while emphasizing the physical interpretation of ℓ as a localization-scale parameter.
The principal validated contribution of the paper concerns parameter identifiability. We showed that, in stable pre-critical regimes, global traction–displacement data may be only weakly informative for the internal length scale. In this setting, the sensitivity of global observables to ℓ is small, the Fisher information may become nearly degenerate, and Bayesian posteriors can remain diffuse or strongly prior-influenced even when macroscopic curve fitting appears accurate. This mechanism was confirmed numerically through synthetic-data calibration experiments: materially distinct values of ℓ produced nearly indistinguishable global responses, while the inferred posterior remained broad or biased. The practical conclusion is therefore direct and important: accurate agreement with reaction curves does not by itself imply reliable calibration of nonlocal constitutive length scales.
The numerical results reported in Appendix Figures 10 to 12 constitute the clearest evidence for this conclusion. The MCMC traces and posterior distributions demonstrate weak identifiability of ℓ under monotone pre-critical loading, while the posterior predictive global response remains sharply constrained. In other words, the inverse problem is ill-conditioned with respect to parameter recovery but comparatively well-conditioned with respect to predicting the explored global response branch. This distinction is central for interpreting calibration studies in nonlocal damage mechanics.
Field-level UQ further reinforces this message. Even when scalar observables are weakly sensitive to ℓ, the mapping from parameters to damage fields retains spatially structured sensitivity near the developing localization zone. The learned surrogate therefore produces uncertainty bands that concentrate in mechanically active regions rather than being distributed uniformly. Such information is valuable for risk-aware prediction and for experimental design, since it identifies where additional local measurements would be most informative.
Beyond the benchmark studied here, the framework is modular and naturally extends to richer settings. It is compatible with generalized continuum damage models, gradient plasticity, porous fracture theories, and coupled multi-physics degradation problems whenever a stable variational or monotone operator structure is available. It also suggests calibration strategies based on richer observation operators, including mixed loading paths and field measurements capable of breaking parameter degeneracies that persist under global data alone.
Several limitations define the next stage of development. The present numerical demonstrations were intentionally restricted to a 1D benchmark so as to isolate identifiability mechanisms in the simplest controlled setting. A natural continuation is to investigate whether genuine post-peak instabilities, limit points, and snap-back branches enhance identifiability through sensitivity amplification. Additional priorities include multidimensional benchmarks with complex crack patterns, stronger fully Bayesian neural-operator implementations, and explicit treatment of model discrepancy arising from constitutive idealizations, uncertain boundary conditions, and structured experimental noise.
In summary, this paper establishes a rigorous route toward probabilistic nonlocal mechanics by combining gradient-damage regularization, surrogate operator learning, and Bayesian inference. The most strongly validated conclusion is that internal length scales may be intrinsically difficult to identify from global data in stable pre-critical regimes, even when global predictions appear highly accurate. By making this limitation explicit and by quantifying where uncertainty localizes in the associated fields, the present work provides a statistically defensible and mechanically grounded basis for future calibration of nonlocal damage and fracture models.
Footnotes
Appendix 1
Funding
The authors received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Declaration of conflicting interests
The authors declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
