Abstract
Environmental sustainability, energy consumption, and tourism are the most discussed topics in the literature. However, limited studies have catered to the relationship among these variables. From this perspective: the current study aims to find the nexus between tourism, energy alternatives, financial development, and pollution emissions by targeting the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies. We employ the data of six GCC economies for the years 2000–2019 and adopt fully modified ordinary least square and generalized least square approaches to establish the regression. The findings reveal a positive impact on the number of tourist arrivals (ITAs) while a negative impact on tourism receipts on pollution emissions. Similarly, fossil fuel energy (FFE) shows a positive while renewable energy depicts a negative relationship with CO2 emissions. This positive impact of tourist arrivals and fossil fuel energy was moderated by financial development. In addition to individual analysis, the developed financial sector can help to reduce the negative externalities of ITA and FFE. The empirical analysis further documents the positive impact of all control variables including foreign investment, economic growth, and gross capital formation on CO2 emissions. Based on empirical results, it is recommended to bring financial development into the picture to reduce the negative impact of ITA and FFE on environmental quality. This study put forward the literature by adding innovative thoughts regarding the moderating role of financial development in the nexus between tourism, energy alternatives, and CO2 emissions.
Introduction
Tourism brings too many positive outcomes regarding economic development, employment, trade, sharing of culture, and direct benefits to the domestic community, etc. Tourism includes but is not limited to travel for recreation, performing religious offerings, the conduct of business meetings, family rejoining, etc. (Koçak et al., 2020) Mainly, tourism allows the tourist to get a break from routine life and go out for recreational activities and leisure. In recent decades, it has witnessed a significant increment in tourism activities across the world. Tourism has a chief chunk of income for many economies specifically for those countries having many tourist destinations, for example, historical places (Selvanathan et al., 2021; Dogru et al., 2019; Işık et al., 2018; Işık et al., 2020a; Ongan et al., 2017; Ongan et al., 2022; Assaf and Josiassen, 2012). Nonetheless, the various tourism operations including the consumption of more industrial goods by tourists can create a negative externality in form of environmental degradation. The inflow of more tourists enhances the consumption and production of industrial products that substantially deteriorate the environmental quality through more emissions of CO2 (Ongan et al., 2023; Avcı and Sümerli, 2022; Singh, 2022a; Singh, 2022b; Aimer, 2021; Zhang and Zhang, 2021; Dogru et al., 2020; Işık et al., 2017; Işık, et al., 2020b). Similarly, through the function of energy consumption, tourism can dynamically affect environmental quality (Işık et al., 2018; Işık et al., 2020a; Işık, et al., 2020b). It can enhance the demand for a specific type of energy and thus can put more pressure on energy production. To meet the growing energy demand, a country can either fulfill it through fossil fuel energy or renewable energy. Sometimes, a country is unable to divert its energy preferences due to sole dependency on a specific type of energy, as GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) region economies are more dependent on fossil fuel energy (Sarwar, 2022). In this essence, such economies bear a strong opportunity cost due to more tourism activities in the shape of environmental degradation. In such economies, policy analysts are more concerned about mitigating the negative externalities by adopting various policy tools. In this regard, the developed financial sector can help in managing environmental quality. Literature has documented the role of the financial sector in overcoming ecological pollution. Owing to such a theoretical description, the current research aims to explore the moderating role of financial development in the nexus between tourism revenue, energy alternatives, and CO2 emissions.
In GCC economies, tourism has gotten enormous attention from policy officials as a new avenue of revenue and economic diversification. The six economies of the GCC group have significantly enhanced their efforts to develop the tourism industry and related activities. In this regard, Qatar’s national vision 2030, and the 2030 vision of UAE (United Arab Emirates) and Saudi Arabia are remarkable efforts toward the development of tourism in this region. To capture a significant portion of world tourism, the GCC economies are investing in airport expansion, better hospitals, other health facilities, hotel developments, etc. The policy officials from these economies have turned their attention toward tourism development and making the GCC economies the first destination for tourists across the world. In this essence, the establishment of Burj Khalifa in Dubai, the Wang et al., 2016 in Dubai, the host of the FIFA World Cup in 2022, the Red Sea Project, Amaala resort in Saudi Arabia, and the World Aquatics Championships in 2023 in Qatar, etc. are some key projects showing the development of tourism in this region (Saleh et al., 2021). These tourism development initiatives somehow explain the economic diversification of this region by enhancing tourism revenue. However, it has also witnessed many environmental issues like high temperatures and emissions of CO2 in this region (AlKhars et al., 2022). The GCC economies are primarily producing energy from the combustion of fossil fuels that is also another key stimulator of environmental issues in this region. According to WDI, Qatar has the highest percentage of average fossil fuel energy consumption at 99.998%, followed by Saudi Arabia at 99.77%, Oman at 99.64%, Bahrain at 98.66%, Kuwait at 97.50%, and the United Arab Emirates at 95.44%. Meanwhile, the average CO2 emission in Qatar is 36.623 MTP (metric ton per capita), Kuwait 25.071 MTP, U.A.E 22.521, Bahrain, 21.870 MTP, Saudi Arabia 14.912 MTP, and Oman 14.261 MTP relatively. These values reflect the linkages between energy consumption and environmental degradation. Due to such environmental issues, there is an immense need to ensure sustainable tourism activities and the dissemination of alternative energy policies in this region.
Sustainable tourism operations are mandatory to search for the answer to the following questions: (1) what is the effect of tourism revenue and other related activities on environmental quality? (2) How can tourism change the consumption of energy? (3) And in the case of negative externalities of tourism, what are the basic policy tools that can assist to mitigate the adverse impact of tourism on ecological quality? Owing to these research questions, a list of studies has attempted to investigate the linkages between tourism, energy utilization, and CO2 emissions (Zaman et al., 2016; Rico et al., 2019; Grosbois and Fennell, 2022). However, how negative externalities of both tourism and a specific type of energy can be managed is not well established in the literature. Given that, the current analysis aims to find out the impact of tourism, and energy consumption on CO2 secretions. This study further reveals the moderating role of FD in the nexus between tourism, energy alternatives, and CO2 secretion. For empirical analysis, we sample the six GCC economies and employ the FMOLS and generalized least square (GLS) models. The findings reveal the significant positive impact of tourism arrivals on CO2 secretions while the significant negative impact of tourism receipts on CO2 secretions. Similarly, fossil fuel energy utilization (FFE) has a direct while renewable energy shows an inverse relationship with CO2 secretions. We further found the moderating role of FD in reducing the negative impact of tourism arrivals and FFE on environmental quality. In addition to the primary analysis, the empirical analysis further discloses the positive significant impact of foreign investment, economic growth, and gross capital formation (GCF) on CO2 secretions.
Current research participates in threefold: Theoretically, the current study analysis extends the literature discussion by finding the role of tourism and energy substitutes on the ecological quality of GCC economies. This study enriches the existing literature by highlighting the dynamic impact of tourism intensity measured by the number of tourism arrivals and tourism receipts on CO2 secretions. Empirically, the current analysis selects the GCC group as a sample and conducts the empirical analysis by employing modern econometric techniques, that is, FMOLS. We check the robustness by employing the GLS model. Moreover, the selection of GCC economies can bring more policy-oriented results due to the high intensity of tourism in these economies. Practically, the empirical results offer an alternate solution to growing tourism activities and more dependency on FFE in the case of the GCC region. As the analysis vows the moderating role of FD, policy analysts can optimize the environmental quality by linking the development of the financial sector to tourism and energy consumption. Furthermore, the GCC economies should ensure sustainable foreign investment, economic growth, and GCF. This study recommends a novel policy regarding the pollution mitigation strategy caused by excessive tourism arrivals and consumption of fossil fuel energy.
The Review of literature and hypotheses section reviews the literature and proposed the relevant liaison between tourism, energy alternatives, and CO2 secretions. In the Data and methods section, the discussion on data and applied methodology has been made, while the Empirical analysis section offers the empirical analysis. The Discussion section belongs to the results. The Conclusion and policy outlays section belongs to the conclusion and policy recommendations.
Review of literature and hypotheses development
Tourism and CO2 emissions
Tourism plays a significant role in the entire world’s economic operations. Its major contribution to the worldwide economy is undeniable. It brings job opportunities, and a dynamic culture, and encourages exports and environmental changes (Işık et al., 2020a, 2020b; Karagöz et al., 2021; Dogru et al., 2023; Jabeen et al., 2023; Karagöz et al., 2023). Countries having scenic sights are considered more viable countries for tourism. Moreover, developing countries and those countries that are unable to utilize their other source due to lack of finance, prefer to nourish and promote their tourism sector. An influx of tourists enhances the demand that also boosts the business operations in the host country (Collins-Kreiner, 2019). An increase in business operations will also increase the utilization of conventional sources of energy (non-renewable). This leads to a polluted society and due to this, the routine of everything will gradually detract. In brief, tourism draws its impact on social, political, economic, and environment. However, tourism strengthens the economy of the host country by introducing innovative opportunities, but it also causes threats to the host country by deteriorating the environment. Different scholars have conceded the potential and significant impact of tourism on the dilapidation of the environment in the shape of CO2 emissions. The work of Paramati et al. (2017) described the argument by supporting the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) that the catastrophic effect of CO2 emissions declines more swiftly in developed economies than in developing economies. They further noted that the EKC suggests that the abysmal effect of CO2 diminishes as national revenue increases. Another study done by Kuo et al. (2012) asserted that increasing tourism enhances the level of CO2 emissions in China to some extent. An influx of tourism expedites the degree of CO2 secretions in Malaysia. Tourism affects CO2 secretions negatively in the case of Singapore in long-oriented and short-oriented periods (Katircioğlu, 2014). International tourism works spur the level of carbon dioxide in the case of Cyprus (Katircioglu et al., 2014). A work done by Nepal et al. (2019) affirmed the positive link between tourism and the secretion of CO2. Above-mentioned works provide positive and negative liaisons between tourism and the emissions of CO2 secretions.
The study by Nepal et al. (2019) suggested that a sustainable tourism manifesto upsurges the economies of host countries. Numerous studies have examined the impact of tourism in different aspects. A study by Andrades and Dimanche (2017) identified some issues related to Russia that a strengthened economy in natural resources, businesses, and cultural resources has the potential to develop tourism. Park et al. (2019) noted that tourism authenticity has a key contribution to sustaining tourism-related operations. Another work by Zenker and Kock (2020) described that tourism has a major chunk in the global economy. Ellis et al. (2018) conducted research work on food tourism and their findings suggested that food is an essential factor to promote tourism. People prefer tourism due to conventional food or cultural food. They further noted that authenticity assures the promotion of food tourism. There is a positive link between authenticity, food, and tourism. The study of Rasoolimanesh et al. (2017) found that motivation positively affects the poor level of participation in the community and opportunity has a great impact on a significant degree of social contribution. Lin et al. (2017) asserted that the development of tourism gives economic and social-cultural advantages and it positively affects life satisfaction. Such studies observed tourism from a different perspective. Based on inconclusive findings of literature, the non-directional hypothesis can be argued,
Energy alternatives and CO2 emissions
Utilization of energy is mandatory to proceed with business activities, but the matter of concern is the nature of energy. In this competitive age, economies are moving swiftly and achieving their targets by doing their best. However, the entire world is concerned about the soaring temperature and different countries have molded themselves toward renewable energy sources. However, developing economies, consider non-renewable energy sources as primary sources of energy. Different research conducted to question the liaison between the utilization of energy and CO2 secretions. The study by Rahman (2020) noted the detrimental impact of electricity utilization on the environment (CO2 emissions) by using FMOLS for the panel of G-7 economies. Another study by Jalil and Feridun (2011) described that the utilization of energy upsurges the level of CO2 secretions and they employed the ARDL approach. The work of Hossain (2011) described that the use of energy maximizes the ratio of CO2 emissions, and they employed Vector Error Correction Mechanism and GMM approach. Jayanthakumaran et al. (2012) and Ozturk and Acaravci (2013) explored the connection between energy utilization and CO2 secretion and their results suggested that the increment in the utilization of energy boosts the emissions of CO2 in the short run and long run. They employed the Autoregressive Distributed and Error Correction approach. Another study by Dong et al. (2017) employed the Granger causality and Augmented Mean Group estimator to find the effect of natural gas and renewable energy utilization on the emissions of CO2 in BRICS economies from 1985 to 2016. They found a negative effect of energy utilization on CO2 secretions. The work of Bélaïd and Youssef (2017) found a positive link between non-renewable energy and CO2 emissions. They further noted an inverse liaison between the utilization of renewable energy and the secretions of CO2. Chen et al. (2018) explored the positive link between coal and CO2 secretions.
Moderating role of financial sector development
The literature on the relevant role of the financial sector in determining environmental quality is inconclusive. Some studies mention the positive role of the financial sector in handling the environment while other studies enlisted its deteriorating impact on environmental quality. For instance, Zafar, et al., (2019) probes that the developed financial sector helps in managing the increasing environmental issues in G-7 economies while it deteriorates the environmental quality in N-11 economies. They found a direct relationship between the banking development index and CO2 emissions in N-11 economies while an inverse relationship in the case of G-7 economies. Similarly, Bui (2020) examined the direct and indirect impact of financial sector development on CO2 emissions by arranging the empirical analysis on a global sample over the period 1990–2012. The empirical analysis highlighted the transmission channel through which FD deteriorates the environmental quality. The developed financial sector augments the consumption of energy and other economic activities that further boost the emissions of CO2 and thus hamper the environmental quality. Recently, Qalati, et al., (2023) investigated the empirical nexus between energy consumption, trade, FD, and environmental damages. They found that the environmental damages were more apparent in the countries that have developed the financial sector. Most studies explore the individual impact of tourism activities and energy consumption in determining environmental quality (Jalil and Feridun, 2011; Selvanathan, et al., 2021; Zhang and Zhang, 2021). However, how financial sector development moderates this relationship is not well known in the literature. This study fulfills this gap by extending the literature on the moderating role of financial sector development.
Control variables and CO2 emissions
Advancement in various sectors brings development in the financial sector and similarly, development in the financial sector makes other sectors develop. This advancement urges financial institutions to give a preamble of new techniques of financing approaches on easy terms and conditions. The availability of funds motivates recipients to consider innovative commercial and non-commercial activities and such activities may uplift the level of CO2 emissions. Economies are concerned about environmental degradation, and they impose terms and conditions on pollution-intensive firms. Scholars and researchers conducted work to find the connection between financial sector development and CO2 emissions Ahmad et al., 2022; Ahmad et al., 2021a, Ahmad et al., 2021b; Çetin et al., 2023. Authors noted that bringing up more development would invite more CO2 emissions. The study by Jensen (1996) asserted that financial deepening enhances industrial growth, and it welcomes the emissions of CO2. Another study by Zhang (2011) disclosed that a swift positive movement in FD bestows amenities of funds on a lax basis, and due to this, people consume more and industries consume energy to fulfill massive demand that will increase the emissions of CO2. An improvement in FD leads to an influx of foreign direct investment (FDI) and hence spiraling the emissions of CO2 (Sadorsky, 2011). The development in the financial sector affects CO2 emissions positively and negatively.
An improvement in tourism activities will increase CO2 secretions. Tourism affects the emissions of lethal gases positively and inversely but in most cases. Tourism affects positively which means that tourism promotion hikes in demand and hence the industries enhance operations to cover the demand of consumers in this way, they will increase the emissions of CO2 (Kuo et al., 2012; Paramati et al., 2017). Similarly, the utilization of energy is a major cause of increasing CO2 emissions (Rahman, 2020). Developed economies are trying their best to convert themselves fully to renewable energy and for this purpose; they have succeeded to some extent. Still, there are some deficiencies to achieve the goal of renewable energy. However, developing economies are mostly dependent on non-renewable energy, and they are extending their utilization of non-renewable energy day by day for sustainable growth. This increasing CO2 secretion is responsible for the dilapidation of the atmosphere (Dong et al., 2017). Our survival must mitigate the secretion of CO2, but different research proved that there is a positive and significant link between the utilization of fuels and carbon dioxide (Farooq, 2022). The catastrophic effect of such lethal gas may hamper life. But the development in financial sectors urges financial institutions to grant funds to start commercial and non-commercial activists. Given that, they make the best utilization of funds under strict regulations by the environmental regulatory authorities. Moreover, they go towards substituting non-renewable sources of energy by promoting renewable energy sources. The developed financial sector converts positive relationships between energy utilization and CO2 secretions into negative relationships between energy usage and CO2 emissions (Jensen, 1996). Similarly, the positive link between tourism and CO2 emissions will convert into a negative due to the developed financial sector. The provision of hefty funds boosts the confidence of the managers, and they will promote and introduce green technological innovation to lessen CO2 emissions. They will bring eco-friendly technology to appease the scorching temperature of this hot world (Zhang, 2011).
Economic growth creates a chain of development in almost every sector of an economy. Economic growth affects society, politics, economics, and the environment. It has both a positive and negative impact on the atmosphere. It welcomes employment opportunities and appeases the inflation rate. In short, we can say that economic growth is the backbone of the whole economy and individually every sector of an economy. Economic growth strengthens the financial matters of individuals and collectively, but it throws a negative impact and nowadays economies are panicking about increasing CO2 emissions (Rahman, 2020). In short, economic growth is possible due to development in the industrial sector. Industries work in a befitting manner to fulfill the demand and for this purpose, they exaggerate the production process. An enlargement in the production process will emit massive CO2. Pollution-oriented industry firms face severe terms and conditions regarding emissions of CO2. The study of Liobikienė and Butkus (2019) delivered that economic expansion and urbanization mitigate the level of CO2 secretions only via the utilization of energy efficiently. For this cause, the economies should pay clear attention to technological advancement as they want viable economic growth. He further noted that without technological advancement, economic growth will increase the emissions of CO2. Another work by Talbi (2017) described that energy efficiency has a major contribution to waning the emissions of lethal gases. Similarly, the work of Liobikienė and Butkus (2019) affirmed the contribution of GDP and urbanization in mitigating the emissions of CO2. Chen et al. (2018) depicted that growing GDP, utilization of energy, and urbanization are the chief factors affecting emissions of lethal gases (CO2s) in many developing and developed economies. The study of Wang et al. (2016) noted that urbanization hits CO2 emissions positively. There exists a U-shaped relation between economic growth and CO2 emissions.
Other different studies have been done on similar topics. Energy consumption is considered as a backbone to proceed with trade operations. A prosperous economy is associated with boosting its trade activities. From a very grassroots level, the consumption of the masses is increasing nowadays, and businesses are very passionate and eager to fulfill the demand of the masses. They continue trade activities by utilizing the natural resources of a country. The depletion of natural resources for any purpose makes an environmental threat to a country. Different scholars have done work to find the link between trade and CO2 emissions. Jun et al. (2020) indicated that trade activities increase pollution in China. They further noticed that the “pollution haven hypothesis” exists in China which means that trade openness will make more information and will mitigate the information asymmetric impact. Le et al. (2016) increasing trading activities in high-income economies mitigate CO2 emissions but trade operations in lower- and middle-income economies will maximize the level of CO2 emissions. Similarly, the study of Baek et al. (2009) asserted that trade operations improve the quality of the environment in developed economies but deteriorate in developing and underdeveloped economies.
Theoretical framework
This section provides the relationship of variables in a frame. Tourism and energy alternatives are the main explanatory variables on the left-hand side. Environmental pollution is the main dependent variable on the right-hand side. FD is a moderating variable, and it moderates tourism and energy alternatives with environmental pollution as shown in Figure 1. Theoretical framework.
Data and methods
To establish the regression analysis, this study samples the six GCC economies including Bahrain, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. We use the annual data ranging from 2000 to 2019 for regression analysis. The data was limited to the year 2019 due to excluding the covid spread effect. Moreover, the GCC economies have made a significant spell regarding industrial expansion after the 2000s. The motivation for the selection of GCC economies is as these economies are experiencing a significant increment in tourist activities and many environmental issues as well. The descriptive analysis shown in Table 2 supports this notion as the mean value of CO2 emissions is 22.381 MTP which is almost five times greater than the average CO2 emissions of four MTP across the world. Due to spiraling ecological challenges, it is a dire need to arrange an underlying empirical analysis of the GCC region. The financial information on all variables of the study has been extracted from The World Bank.
Variables explanation
In the current analysis, CO2 emission is a dependent variable, depending on a list of other variables. To measure the CO2 emissions, we follow the measurement specified by the WDI, The World Bank which is a per capita metric ton emission of CO2. This ratio further exemplifies the intensity of environmental degradation in a specific country. The emissions of CO2 stem from major economic activities including the burning of fossil fuels, production of industrial goods, consumption of industrial products, etc., it further includes the emissions from the combustion of gas fuels, liquid gas, gas flaring, and manufacturing activities. This acceleration of CO2 has been repeatedly considered a proxy of ecological (environmental) quality by a plethora of studies (Chen et al., 2018; Jun et al., 2020; Farooq, 2022). Tourism and energy alternatives are the main explanatory variables while FD serves as a moderating variable. The discussion on tourism has been distributed into two proxies, that is, the number of tourists arrivals, and tourism receipts. Tourism arrivals are the number of tourists who come into the country for a period not exceeding 12 months and the main purpose of visits is recreation and visits to historical places, etc.; similarly, the tourism receipts show the volume of expenditures made by international tourists while traveling to the host’s country. It also includes the expenditures made during the visits such as residential, food, and domestic traveling expenditures. In sum, tourism receipts show the percentage of funds earned by the host country due to visits of tourists (Mishra et al., 2022). In addition to WDI, many other studies have also specified a similar measurement of both tourism arrivals and tourism receipts (Le and Nguyen, 2021; Isaeva et al., 2022; Chen et al., 2022).
Variables of study.
Source: previous studies
Econometric models and methodology discussion
The relationship among the variables can be presented in the form of the following equations:
Equation (1) mainly outlays the impact of tourism proxied by impact on the number of tourist arrivals (ITA)s (international tourism arrivals), international tourism receipts (ITR), and energy alternatives which are segregated into FFC (fossil fuel energy consumption), and REC (renewable energy consumption) on CO2 (pollution emissions). In this equation, the FDI (foreign investment), GDP (economic growth), and GCF are working as control variables. Equation (2) mainly shows the impact of FD on CO2 while equation (3) demonstrates the moderating impact of FD and ITA (ITA*FD). Similarly, equation (4) is an extension of equation (3) where the moderating role of FD and FFE (FFE*FD) was added to the linear model. In these equations, the subscript j is for the country while t is for the time effect. Similarly, α and β are the coefficients while
To test the formulated econometric equations, we apply the FMOLS model and check the robustness by applying the GLS model. However, the selection of these models depends upon some pre-condition models, for example, unit root testing, cointegration analysis, and cross-sectional dependence test. As the analysis contains many macroeconomic variables, it is necessary to check the stationarity status. Given that, the unit root analysis was conducted, and the results were reported in Table 4. In unit root testing, we employ the two techniques IPS (Im et al., 2003, Pesaran et al., 2001, and Shin W-stat), and ADF (Augmented Dickey-Fuller) test proposed by Im et al. (2003) and, Dickey and Fuller (1979) relatively. The statistical analysis shows that most variables are stationary at the first difference, suggesting checking the cointegration among variables. The cointegration among variables was investigated by employing the Johansen Cointegration test. The statistics shown in Table 5 confirm the existence of cointegration among variables. Based on statistical suggestions of pre-estimation techniques (unit root testing and cointegration analysis), we employ the FMOLS model to check the regression among variables. The estimated coefficients by employing the FMOLS model suggest the long-term relationship among the variables. This model was first proposed by Phillips and Hansen (1990) to estimate the macro panel data. As the analysis is based on the financial statistics of six economies, therefore there are more chances of cross-section dependency. The corresponding statistical values of a specific country can influence the statistical responses of other companion countries and thus can create biases in estimation. Given that, we check the cross-section dependence by employing a series of tests including Breusch-pagan LM (Breusch and Pagan, 1980), Pesaran LM, and Pesaran CD, and report the analysis in Table 6. The significant p-values (p ≤ 0.05) reject the null hypothesis, that is, no cross-section dependence in residuals and subjects to cross-section dependence. Therefore, we apply the GLS model to treat the observed problem of cross-section dependence and to check the robustness.
Empirical analysis
Descriptive and correlation analysis
Descriptive statistics.
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Abbreviations: CO2: Environmental degradation, ITA: International Tourism Arrivals, ITR: International Tourism Receipts, FFE: Fossil Fuel Energy, REC: Renewable Energy Consumption, FD: Financial Development, FDI: Foreign Direct Investment, GDP: Economic Growth, GCF: Gross Capital Formation.
Correlation analysis.
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Note: a, b, significance level at 1%, and 5% level relatively.
Pre-estimation techniques
Unit root testing.
Source: Authors' calculation.
Johansen cointegration test.
Note: the significant probability value rejects the null hypothesis, that is, no cointegration exists.
Source: self-estimation.
Cross-section dependence Test.
Note: the significant probability values of the first two tests reject the null hypothesis, that is, no cross-section dependence.
Source: Author’s estimation.
Regression findings
Impact of tourism and energy Alternatives on CO2 emissions.
Source: Authors' calculations.
Note: ***, **, *, denote the probability at 1%, 5%, and 10% levels relatively. Abbreviation: CO2: Environmental degradation, ITA: International Tourism Arrivals, ITR: International Tourism Receipts, FFE: Fossil Fuel Energy, REC: Renewable Energy Consumption, FD: Financial Development, FDI: Foreign Direct Investment, GDP: Economic Growth, GCF: Gross Capital Formation.
Impact of FD on CO2 emissions.
Source: Authors' calculations.
Note: ***, **, *, denote the probability at 1%, 5%, and 10% levels relatively.
Moderating role of Financial Development in the nexus Tourism-CO2 emissions.
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Note: ***, **, *, denote the probability at 1%, 5%, and 10% levels relatively.
Moderating role of FD in the nexus between energy alternatives and CO2 emissions.
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Note: ***, **, *, denote the probability at 1%, 5%, and 10% levels relatively.
Discussion
This study is an attempt to investigate the impact of tourism and energy alternatives on CO2 emissions and how FD moderates this relationship. The regression among variables was established by employing FMOLS and GLS models. The analysis shown in Table 7 reveals the significant positive impact of tourist arrivals on CO2 emissions. The tourism industry is growing rapidly across the world, and it is expected that tourist arrivals will grow to 1.8 billion by the end of 2030. The intensity of tourist arrivals can cause more consumption of dirty energy, depletion of natural resources, and more consumption of industrial goods which can create more waste (Isaeva et al., 2022). All these factors enhance pollution emissions. Moreover, the environmental quality is directly affected by the arrival of tourists due to more transportation, and excessive use of energy and industrial goods in hotels. Theoretically, tourism activities, energy consumption, and economic progress are interlinked with each other and thus influence environmental quality directly. Supporting this, Le and Nguyen (2021), and Zhang and Zhang (2021) have asserted the similar impacts of tourist arrivals on environmental quality. Conversely, tourism receipts depict the inverse relationship with CO2 emissions. Zaman et al. (2016) conducted an empirical analysis of developed and developing economies and found an inverted U-shape relationship between tourism revenue and CO2 emissions. Through the function of technology development and green consumption, tourism receipts can help the host country mitigate environmental pollution. More tourism revenue enhances the financial reserves and allows the host country to update its existing production system. Moreover, the demand push function toward green products by tourists compels the host country to ensure green consumption and thus reduce environmental pollution (Lu et al., 2021).
As the empirical analysis shows, FFE has a positive while REC shows a negative correlation with CO2 emissions. There is abundant empirical literature suggesting a similar impact of energy alternatives on environmental pollution (Dong et al., 2017; Zhang and Zhang, 2021; Sarwar, 2022). The combustion of fossil fuels has a negative externality in the form of environmental degradation while REC brings positive outcomes as it does not hamper the environmental quality. The FD has a negative regression with CO2 emissions (shown in Table 8), implying the positive role of the financial sector in mitigating environmental pollution. The developed financial sector extends cheap financing to the industrial sector for updating the existing production systems and thus directly contributes to reducing pollution. Moreover, the developed financial sector allows a government to import modern technology into the country which can mitigate the consumption of dirty energy and thus can reduce the emission of pollution (Jianguo et al., 2022). In this regard, the empirical findings of the study arranged by Zaidi et al. (2021) illustrate that FD significantly mitigates pollution emissions. In addition to individual analysis, FD also moderates the negative impacts of tourist arrivals and FFE on environmental quality (as shown in Tables 9 and 10). Through the function of technology development and green innovation, the developed financial sector helps in mitigating the adverse impacts of tourist arrivals and FFE consumption on environmental quality. No specific analysis was found exploring a similar relationship. However, Isaeva et al. (2022) have found a bi-directional causality among tourism, FD, energy consumption, and CO2 emissions. All these variables are interlinked with each other.
Explaining the control variables’ impacts, foreign investment has a positive regression with CO2 emissions. According to the pollution heaven hypothesis, the inflow of foreign investment enhances the pollution volume in the host country. Foreign investment causes environmental degradation as it brings more industrial activities into the host country, exploitation of natural resources, and use of dirty energy due to low rules and regulations. Farooq (2022) has asserted a similar impact of foreign investment on CO2 emissions. Economic growth positively contributes to CO2 emissions, implying the opportunity costs of rapid economic growth in the form of environmental degradation. At the initial level of economic growth, the pollution level increases due to more economic activities and the consumption of energy. Later, this positive relationship turns into a negative as a mature economy can offer more subsidies to its industrial sector for pollution mitigation activities (AlKhars et al., 2022). Lastly, GCF which refers to fixed investment has a positive impact on CO2 emissions. When a government makes a fixed investment by involving in physical projects, for example, the construction of roads, hospitals, educational institutions, etc., it eventually enhances the consumption of industrial goods like cement and accelerates the overall economic activities. Such increment in economic operations substantially enhances the emissions of CO2 (Mujtaba et al., 2022).
In summary, tourist arrivals have a positive while tourism receipts show a negative correlation with pollution emissions. Similarly, FFE consumption has a direct while REC consumption demonstrates the inverse relationship with CO2 emissions. We further found the moderating role of FD. The analysis supports the pollution haven hypothesis in the GCC region.
Conclusion and policy outlays
Tourism has gained much importance across the world as it creates more jobs, enhances economic growth, and improves regional development. Instead of such positive outcomes, tourism can affect the environmental quality dynamically. However, little attention has been paid to the literature on such a relationship between tourism and environmental quality. Owing to this, the current analysis explores the empirical relationship between tourism arrivals and receipts, energy alternatives, and pollution emissions. We further investigate the moderating role of FD. For empirical analysis, we use the financial statistics of GCC economies and employ the FMOLS and GLS models for regression analysis. The empirical findings can be summarized in the following points: (a) tourist arrivals have a positive while tourism receipts have a negative impact on CO2 emissions (b) non-renewable energy consumption shows a positive while REC outlays the negative correlation with CO2 emissions (c) FD negatively contributes to CO2 emissions (d) FD moderates the overall relationship. In addition to primary findings, the empirical analysis further vows the positive impact of all control variables including foreign investment, economic growth, and GCF on CO2 emissions.
Theoretically, this study explains how tourist arrivals enhance carbon emissions while tourism receipts reduce carbon emissions. Due to more traveling activities of tourists both at the international and domestic levels, tourist arrivals positively contribute to CO2 emissions. However, tourism receipts enhance the revenue of the government and help in ensuring green innovation. Empirically, this study highlights FD as a policy tool to mitigate the negative externalities of tourism arrivals and dirty energy consumption.
Policy implications
Based on underlying empirical findings, it can be recommended that the tourism arrivals should be aligned with the assumptions of green environmental protection. In this regard, the use of cleaner energies in transportation and hotels can serve as an important policy tool to reduce the negative impact of tourist arrivals on environmental quality. Similarly, the empirical analysis suggests enhancing the consumption of renewable energies to reduce pollution emissions. Notably, this study recommends an important policy regarding the role of FD in managing environmental quality. The policy officials should enhance the co-bounding of FD and the tourism industry because the financial sector can help the tourism industry regarding pollution mitigation. Similarly, the consumption of dirty energy can be reduced if the financial sector brings into the channel of energy consumption. The developed financial sector can help in updating the production systems and transforming from non-renewable to renewable energy utilization. Lastly, it is recommended that policy officials should ensure that foreign investors do not overpass the green environmental assumptions. Similarly, gross investment should be aligned with green environmental assumptions, and policy officials should focus more on sustainable economic growth. The current analysis is unable to explore the individual trend of each country due to panel considerations. However, future analysis can be conducted by incorporating this issue and adding some more variables like resource income as an explanatory variable.
Supplemental Material
Supplemental Material - The Nexus between tourism-energy-environmental degradation: Does financial development matter in GCC countries?
Supplemental Material for The Nexus between tourism-energy-environmental degradation: Does financial development matter in GCC countries? by Umar Farooq, Mosab I Tabash, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al-Faryan, Cem Işık and Tarik Dogru in Tourism Economics
Footnotes
Declaration of conflicting interests
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
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