Abstract
The meta-theoretical resource of critical realism (CR) is deployed in order to examine transgender and healthcare. CR treads a middle way between positivism and postmodernism, within post-Popperian discussions of the philosophy of natural and social science. It focuses on the conditions of possibility for the emergence of a phenomenon under investigation. In this case, the focus is on the emergence of debates about transgenderism in healthcare. These have been technological (about the prospect of biomedical solutions to personal problems) and ideological, with the enlarged salience of identity politics and our currently unresolved “culture wars.” Identity politics have brought a focus on epistemological privilege or “lived experience” and on rights to healthcare being driven by consumer choice. The current contestation and its history are discussed in relation to our four planar social being (nature, relationality, socio-economic structures, and our particular personalities) and future scenarios are rehearsed.
Introduction: The ambiguities of transgenderism
The term “transgenderism” today covers a range of people of all ages, who may be gender non-conforming, from adult transsexuals requesting biomedical interventions, to younger people who self-identify as being “non-binary” or as being a member of the opposite sex. The term may connote a subjective sense of being the “born in the wrong body,” with accompanying reported distress, today typically described clinically as “gender dysphoria.” However, some people included in the range of being transgender (such as gay men who work as “Drag Queens” or heterosexual transvestites) do not necessarily report gender dysphoria.
Case by case it is not clear whether gender dysphoria precedes, or is subsequent to, the belief about gender identity being misaligned with natal sex. Thus, the relationship between thoughts and feelings about gender experience may be ambiguous from person to person. Moreover, the term “gender fluid” is also now common within this psycho-social ambiguity. It conveys the claim that some people do not have a fixed sense of gender identity over time. In summary, transgenderism is a characterized by a normative attribution, from self and others of gender non-conformity, as well as a wide range of privately reported subjective states about identity or personhood.
In light of the above ambiguities, some transgender people have adopted a political stance of activism (in the vernacular, they are “trans activists”). They make collective demands for citizenship, including tailored requests for healthcare, in a similar manner to that of some other New Social Movements (NSMs). The genesis of these existential states and social performances, variably expressed, remains unknown or disputed.
The implications of the uncertainty about both causality (possible antecedents of transgenderism as a psycho-social phenomenon) and the variable expressed needs from transgender people, for public policy, are wide ranging. These have included debates about resource investment and the policies, procedures, and protocols, which might be adopted by healthcare systems.
Below, this uncertainty is explored drawing upon the meta-theoretical resource of critical realism (CR). This CR approach to the topic proceeds by addressing three matters. First, there is an empirical description offered of the current controversy about transgenderism, with a focus on healthcare. Second, there is an examination of the antecedent conditions that might account for the emergence of these disputes. Third, there is a discussion of imagined futures in the light of current tendencies and contradictions in the field of transgender and health.
The current controversy described
The current controversy about transgenderism involves a tension between two positions, summarized in Table 1. These involve those protagonists who support gender affirmation on the one hand and those who are gender critical on the other. Each position is outlined in seven key points of contrast for consideration by the reader. Those in each group tend to cohere, in a loose common cause, about sex, gender, intersex, the role of healthcare, policy strategy, and their favored academic defences. However, this does not imply homogeneity on either side. For example, some affirming transgender identities are little concerned with healthcare, whereas others focus their campaigns intensely upon it. In another example, the realists contain positivists, critical rationalists, and critical realists, who disagree with each other on various points about the character of scientific legitimacy.
Gender affirmative and gender critical orientations.
The complexities of each are beyond the scope of this paper. With these cautions in mind, Table 1 offers the two positions for consideration by the reader. Note that this is a comparison of positions being adopted. The descriptions and value judgments in each column are outlined for heuristic purposes. Given our current cultural division on the topic, they are likely to evoke variable reader sympathies.
The broad tropes in Table 1 exist within our wider current “culture wars” and contain shades of gray. A problem for those seeking conflict resolution between them is finding points of stable agreement to warrant a respectful negotiation or compromise. For now, it would seem that this point has not been reached. A particular problem is that many on each side consider those on the other to be “beyond the pale,” creating point scoring hostilities on social media and a tendency to eschew respectful debate about the different presuppositions outlined in the two columns.
Both of the groups make strong claims about human rights. Both reflect NSMs that are now at odds with one another. Both have views on the relevance of intersex but completely disagree on its political and epistemological importance. Both draw upon versions of academic authority but in different ways. Both have strong views about the direction of public policy and lobby for alterations in their favor, in relation to legislation.
Having provided the broad distinction in Table 1, the rest of the paper will focus on those matters related to healthcare. They will be discussed explicitly from a position of critical realism, which lies within the right hand (gender critical) column, though some in its ranks offer an alternative view (Summersell, 2018). A literature in defence of the left hand, gender affirmative, column can also be noted for the reader for their consideration (Butler, 1999; Denny, 1997; Feinberg, 1999; Heng et al., 2018; Mock, 2014; Monro, 2005; Pearce, 2018; Rubin, 2012; Serano, 2007).
Set against the gender affirmative ideology supported by this list of writers, the position of this paper is guided by a fundamental critical realist assumption. This is articulated here by Bhaskar about the epistemic fallacy created by strong social constructivist reasoning; an epistemic fallacy is when reality is reduced to statements about reality: . . .God makes the spectrum, man makes the pigeon holes; so that genera, species, essences, classes and so on are human creations. I can find no possible warrant for such an assumption. Taken literally, it would imply that a chromosome count is irrelevant in determining the sex of an individual, that the class of the living is only conventionally divided from the class of the dead, that the chemical elements reveal a continuous gradation in their properties, that tulips merge into rhododendron bushes and solid objects fade gaseously away into empty spaces. . . (Bhaskar, 2008: 213).
Bhaskar did concede though that whilst we should privilege ontological realism and separate it, analytically, from epistemological relativism, the boundary between the intransitive and the transitive can occasionally become porous, via human praxis. Ontological realism refers to the axiom that the world exists with real properties independently of our view of that world. Epistemological relativism refers to the fact that humans construe (and can re-construe) the world (they do not construct it). In this sense CR has been described as a “weak” form of social constructivism, to be contrasted with the stronger version (of ultra-relativistic perspectivism) now common in postmodern social science (Bhaskar et al., 2018; Sayer, 1999).
Knowledge then is part of but not the whole of reality. Ideas can and do have causal powers but so do a range of extra-discursive generative mechanisms (Bhaskar, 2008). Intransitive phenomena are those we cannot change; transitive ones are those we can. In relation to transgender phenomena, the prospect of a womb transplant might (eventually) allow a man to carry and bear a child. However, according to Bhaskar, just cited, that means they will still be man with a womb transplant, not a woman because of the immutability of their XY chromosomes.
With these introductory comments in mind, particular sub-controversies in relation to healthcare will now be considered.
Disputes about pediatric transition
The assumption that gender is assigned at birth and might be reassigned if a person is distressed by that description (an experience dubbed “gender dysphoria”) is the starting point for gender-affirmative pediatric practice. The distress is an affective state linked in clinical discourse to the young patient feeling that they were “born in the wrong body” or that their current sense of who they are is not aligned with their natal sex (cf. Brunskell-Evans and Moore, 2018).
Gender clinics for children and adolescents emerged in the Netherlands in the 1990s and their service philosophy of gender affirmation has been replicated and modified liberally in many European and North American contexts (de Vries and Cohen-Kettenis, 2012). Supported by professional guidance (e.g. British Psychological Society, 2019), psychologists and psychiatrists assessing gender non-conforming children routinely diagnose gender dysphoria, affirm the self-identity of the child, and then refer on to endocrinology services. The latter then prescribe puberty blockers and then eventually, as adolescence is reached, cross sex hormones. In young adulthood genital surgery is then in the offing.
Those objecting to gender affirmation, note a number of consequences of this policy (Cohen and Barnes, 2019; Levine, 2019; Saad et al., 2019; Stagg and Vincent, 2019; Steensma et al., 2017). First, initial hormone treatment to delay puberty tends to lead to a long-term use of cross sex hormones. Second, the latter bring with them iatrogenic risks. Third, children may agree to being medicated despite their limited cognitive capacity. Fourth, those patients, who also proceed in young adulthood to genital surgery, run the risk of procedural errors and infection, which might be life threatening. Fifth, a proportion of those agreeing to surgery then regret the decision and complain about a lack of fully informed consent. Sixth, children referred to gender clinics are disproportionately likely to have marked autistic features or come from dysfunctional familial systems.
In response to these criticisms, advocates of current practice argue that hormonal treatment respects the human right to gender self-identification, reduces the risk of suicide, and creates mental health gain. In turn, those claims are contested by critics (see below) and so an unresolved dispute about the legitimacy of pediatric transition has emerged.
Medical records and sex-based pathology
The conceptual contention about sex and gender has created a dilemma for healthcare policies, procedures, and protocols. On the one hand, arguments for self-identification have led to gender being recorded in the NHS. On the other hand, pathology is sometimes very clearly sex-linked. A transman cannot develop prostate cancer, so their screening would be illogical. The same point applies to gynecological risks and treatment, given that transwomen (with or without genital surgery) will not menstruate, give birth or suffer or die from uterine or ovarian pathology. For these reasons the routine recording of the ontology of sex recognizes that it cannot be simply conflated with gender as a personal and social ascription. For now, in the UK NHS providers might record both sex and gender but how standard that procedure is in practice is currently unclear (Dahlen, 2020).
Another relevance of recognizing the ontology of sex and the risks of conflating it with gender is that natal males and females have different health trajectories. At birth males exceed females in number but have a higher rate of mortality in infancy. Men tend to die younger than women (though the latter have more morbidity arising from long-term conditions). Some of these sex differences are shaped by socio-economic factors such as occupational risk, as well as gendered behavioral norms (e.g. violence, substance misuse, and smoking). However, there are other risks created by the existence of the Y chromosome, especially alterations in the immune response typical in each sex (Moalem, 2020). This has become evident in the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Male deaths have exceeded those of females by a ratio of 2:1 (http://globalhealth5050.org/covid19/), even though women have been exposed disproportionately in services industries, including healthcare, to the virus. The sex differences accounting for COVID-19 deaths are reviewed by Mauvais-Jarvis et al. (2020).
For these reasons, sex-linked pathology is important for both healthcare planning and individual clinical case work. This reveals in practice (rather than as a metaphysical abstraction) that gender cannot reasonably displace, or be conflated with, sex as a consideration in healthcare decision making and health policy formation: more on this now.
Controversies about trans healthcare
Trans affirmative advocates emphasize that transgender patients are subject to discrimination in healthcare, as in wider society (Heng et al., 2018). However, the “demand” side is not homogenous: some trans people want more medicalization and some want less. In the latter regard Cabral (2017) explains why s/he is not a disorder. Moreover, an international campaign has emerged to de-pathologize trans phenomena. The International Network for Trans Depathologization and its “Stop Trans Pathologization” campaign (http://stp2012.info/old/en/manifesto) is an example of the lack of homogeneity within identity politics.
A minority of trans people consider that dysphoria reflects an authentic existence, as part of the trans experience, and so it requires forbearance not medicalization (http://www.sjwiki.org/wiki/Truscum). Others though seek a full biomedical solution to their existential dilemma (i.e. transsexuals who anxiously seek full reassignment, which is then gratefully received). However, some patients only seek a partial version of this (e.g. by taking hormones but declining genital or “top” surgery). Both of these groups engaging with healthcare might express frustration at the speed and adequacy of their expressed needs being met, indicating the blurred line now between human rights claims and shifting norms about healthcare consumerism.
What makes the biomedical transition unusual is that it might prompt the extensive use of medical interventions, even though there is no physical morbidity recorded. However, this is a matter of degree: there are a range of healthcare scenarios in which cosmetic surgeons respond to the expressed needs of patients. Nonetheless, the divisions within the transgender community about biomedicalization, along with the protests of gender critics poses a central question: is transgenderism a medical condition at all and if it is then how is to be diagnosed? And if it is a medical condition then should the expressed needs of patients simply determine treatment plans?
The guidance about trans patients is provided by the World Professional Association of Transgender Health (WPATH), reflecting a consensus by experts (clinicians and academics who work in gender clinics and university gender studies departments). This guidance itself is controversial, with critics noting the ideological push from these interest groups and the poor quality of evidence underpinning guidelines created by vested clinical interests (Ioannidis, 2018). WPATH also make the contradictory recommendation of fully informed consent, in order to weigh up iatrogenic risk, alongside a “hormones on demand” proposal (Levine, 2019).
When Gender Identity Disorder was introduced into the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual (Third Edition) (American Psychiatric Association, 1980) it was met with extensive opposition from feminist clinicians (Bryant, 2006). They objected to the pathologization of “masculine girls.” This diagnosis has now been dropped from DSM and replaced only with the vaguer self-reported state of “gender dysphoria.” Feminist objections were summarized by Lev (2006) who argued that DSM had ignored “forty years of feminism,” referring to DSM-IV-TR diagnostic criteria for Gender Identity Disorder as the “clinical reification of sexism.”
Trans affirmative lobbyists have argued, in contrast, that trans patients should, like anyone else, be treated respectfully and equally but, in addition, their special needs should be taken into consideration (Heng et al., 2018; Pearce, 2018). Apart from access to hormonal and surgical procedures, other adjustments would include the medical management of transmen to conceive and give birth. Within budget-constrained healthcare systems, any response to special needs from a particular group of patients creates opportunity costs that affect others, which has been noted in relation to transgender healthcare (Koch et al., 2020). We see here a tension between an aspiration for open-ended “inclusivity” in healthcare policy and the economic constraints of resource allocation. The latter invites competition between clinical specialties, with their particular service user groups, which may go on to become consumer lobbies. (Alford, 1975)
The costs of healthcare include the management of clinical iatrogenesis, when and if it arises. In the case of “transgender healthcare,” these medically created adverse effects of disrupting endocrine functioning, include infertility, depleted bone density, and cardio-vascular events. As was noted earlier, the surgery entailed in transitioning and de-transitioning carries iatrogenic risks. For example, in the follow up of the 55 patients involved in the prototype Dutch service for children and adolescents, one of the patients died of postoperative vaginal fasciitis (de Vries et al., 2011).
Estimates of the rates of those requesting de-transitioning vary widely and this has led to calls for more debate about the ethical and legal implications of the process for health professionals and policy makers (Butler and Hutchinson, 2020). The current WPATH guidelines, noted above, do not cover the challenges for all parties of de-transitioning. This is despite the evidence that a majority of young transitioners, taking hormones alone, soon decide to affirm both their natal sex and their homosexuality (de Vries and Cohen-Kettenis, 2012).
The physical risks created by hormonal and surgical interventions are compensated for in the view of trans-affirmative advocates by the clear mental health gain from transitioning. Suicidality has been used as a marker of this gain but as with so much in this field, this has been challenged on methodological grounds. For example, Olson (2016) argued that transitioning children with parental support have the same levels of psychopathology as controls. However, a review of her raw data undermines that claim (Schumm and Crawford, 2020).
The distress of transgendered people is extremely difficult to disaggregate from their familial contexts as children and their daily social exclusion and stigma as adults. These biographical contingencies might render their higher rates of psychopathology intelligible. However, that view has also been contested by those noting the ongoing high rates of psychopathology after biomedical transitioning has been completed to the satisfaction of patients (Dhejne et al., 2011).
Another difficulty in discerning the legitimacy of medicalization for those trans people relying on healthcare to resolve their distress is that there is heterogeneity of viewpoints from clinicians working in this field. Some retain a biomedical view of transitioning, aligned with an everyday assumption of heteronormativity. Others though hold a more flexible social model that respects diverse forms of self-identification, case by case. This legitimizes such patient options as being “a woman with a penis,” who may self-define as a lesbian.
The heterogeneity of these clinicians’ views has been explored in Portugal by Hilário (2019). In the UK, divisions about what services are actually doing for patients came to light when many left NHS gender services and some anonymously reported their concerns about the lack of psycho-social sophistication of a routine gender-affirmative approach (Gilligan, 2019). Likewise dissenting clinicians have expressed similar public concerns about their work in Sweden and the Netherlands (Mattisson and Jemsby, 2019; Tangelder, 2018).
Moreover, research linked to this ambivalence of clinicians is also characterized by ambiguity. According to different protagonists in the controversy, being trans might be one way of dealing with being gay or it could be about subtle aspects of neurodevelopment, or it could be about self-eroticization (“autogynephilia”) (Blanchard, 2005). The neurodevelopmental hypothesis links to the controversial prospect of male and female brains being ontologically different (Baron-Cohen, 2003; Brizendine, 2006; cf. Fine, 2010). If this is true then it might inflect the emotional and cognitive dispositions of children, with the possibility that the trans individual has a sense of being in the “wrong body” because their brain development is not typical of their natal sex.
Extending this point about potential biological determinism, another possibility is that trans experiences and desires are potentially connected to intersex phenomena. For now though most trans individuals are unremarkable genetically and physiologically at birth, compared to babies identified as intersex. Transgender individuals typically are part of the 99.9%+ of the mammalian population that is sexually dimorphic and so they are not intersex (Delimata, 2019). Thus the potential but unproven link between trans phenomena and intersex is controversial, with some intersex advocates resenting their cooption into trans ideology.
Recent evidence that more girls than boys now are asserting a trans identity might suggest that we are observing a social-psychological, not a bio-deterministic, process at work in relation to referral patterns to gender clinics. An expansion in rates of referral, and a switch from boys to girls predominating within them, has been recorded in the past decade (Kaltiala-Heino et al., 2015). A genetic or congenital mechanism should lead to a low and consistent incidence of referrals to medical services, so social contagion seems to be the strongest explanatory candidate (Littman, 2018; Marchiano, 2017).
A clinical presentation of an identified trans child might imply the need for a broader systemic understanding of their lives in both their schooling and family contexts, case by case, rather than a point diagnosis of gender dysphoria. However, such cautions have led themselves to controversy. For example, a Canadian clinical psychologist, Ken Zucker, who was not an opponent of pediatric transition for all cases, had his Ontario gender identity service closed down in 2015, after hostile lobbying from trans activists. The latter claimed that Zucker’s more cautious and watchful biopsychosocial approach was a form of “conversion therapy,” akin to that applied to homosexuals (cf. Zucker et al., 2012). This event emerged despite the original Dutch model (now expanded incautiously in some countries) actually being aligned with Zucker’s approach.
The conditions of possibility for the trans controversy
Turning to my second aim, a CR approach poses the question what did the world look like for all of the above contestation and uncertainty to have arisen? In this case, we can see three main phases of emergence, constituted by particular material and ideological generative mechanisms.
First, prior to the 20th century, people who wanted to cross dress, or felt that they were trapped in the “wrong body,” simply existed in the world and learned to live with that existential state (or not). Histories of trans phenomena seem to confirm that gender non-conformity, along with a desire to be a member of the sex that was not natal, are a recurring variation in human experience (Denny, 1997; Hunt, 2016). Like other variant or deviant psychological experiences of distress (neurosis) or unintelligibility (psychosis) they simply existed in the past and still do today. In critical realist terms this affords them both an ontological status as psychological phenomena and, because they are “been and gone,” they are intransitive. Then as now, the reason or reasons why those experiences of existential confusion arose remain mysterious or are debatable (see above).
The second historical phase of emergence of the trans controversy was when the transsexual patient became a prospect, as the technological capability to effect credible phenotypical changes in human genotypes developed. Reports on surgical procedures appeared before the Second World War but cases of transsexualism under this new medical regime mainly became more apparent during the 1950s (Gherovici, 2010). Then the dominant discussion (in terms of the natal sex of patients) was about men wanting to become women.
At that time there was little metaphysical consideration of gender per se but the recent ontological contestation about gender and sex slowly was appearing. Prior to then, in both natural and social science, the term “sex” was used to describe a basic natal dimorphic assumption about individuals in a population. In these accounts of the term “sex,” men were adult human males and women were adult human females. Currently “gender” tends to be used, not “sex,” in research nomenclature (in social though not biological science). However, prior to the 1950s “gender” was only used when discussing grammar and linguistics; sex being “assigned” at birth would have made little sense then compared to now (Haig, 2004). Even today the “pronoun debate” reminds us of linguistic uncertainty; not all languages are structured to accommodate these expectations of self-description. The possibility of this logic emerged as a function of the next socio-historical phase, which brought with it the neologism of “cis” gender (Sigusch, 1998).
In the third period of emergence of the trans controversy, that point about linguistics became important metaphysically in social science, the arts and the humanities. The linguistic or postmodern “turn,” peaking in the 1980s, was closely linked to a shift in depictions of political forms and power relationships in society. At this point, forms of identity politics became entwined with NSMs, including ones about sexuality (“Gay Liberation”). Because trans people and homosexual men and women shared an expressive interest in gender non-conformity, they developed a broad common rationale, with today’s legacy being the precarious alliance of the “LGBT” movement.
However, from the outset of this alliance, it was clear that being transgender and being homosexual were orthogonal psycho-social phenomena. The first has a clear focus on personal identity but the second is about same-sex sexual attraction; transgender individuals may report being gay, straight, bi-sexual, or even a-sexual. In contrast to the latter, a non-trans lesbian may be gender non-conformist in a range of ways but she would still retain a very clear view of herself, as first a girl and then a woman; similarly with the range of experiences of gay men. Trans affirmative advocates would then describe these people as “cis gender,” marking out an ontological distinction for the “T” within “LGBT.”
The gender non-conformity that formed a potential source of solidarity in the NSM of LGBT reflected a significant normative change in the later 20th century. For example Sontag (1966) anticipated the postmodern turn and the “gender bending” of the 1980s in her classic essay, “Notes on ‘Camp’,” where she notes that: Camp is the triumph of the epicene style (the convertibility of “man” and “woman,” “person” and “thing”). But all style, that is artifice, is ultimately epicene. Life is not stylish. Neither is nature. (Sontag, 1966: 280).
Sontag noted that within post-Second World War film culture “camp” took two forms. The first was of androgyny (such as the mysterious personas of Greta Garbo) and the second was exaggerated masculinity or femininity (the muscular heroes of Victor Mature and Steve Reeves and large-breasted stars like Gina Lollobrigida and Sophia Loren). By the 1970s a psychometric interest in gender ambiguity was emerging (Bem, 1974), as were sociological discussions about the relationship between same-sex attraction and transgender phenomena (Elkin and King, 2006).
Sontag explored these shifting views about gender, while vindicating the ontology of biological sex in line with the emerging second wave of feminism (e.g. Oakley, 1972). However, third wave feminism during the postmodern turn was to collapse this distinction, especially with the ideological emergence of “Queer Theory.” This means that now we have layered versions of feminist thought contributing to the transgender controversy, with consequent tensions about the degree of compatibility between the rights of women and the rights of trans people, especially transwomen (Greer, 1999; Jeffreys, 1997; Raymond, 1994; cf. Feinberg, 1999; Serano, 2007).
These political and epistemological tensions were embedded in the wider emergence of identity politics. With that came a shift of focus from equality and its attainment through political reform or revolution, to the respect for diversity within current socio-economic arrangements, thereby backgrounding social class as the primary sociological consideration (Benn Michaels, 2006; Scambler, 2001). Intersectionality began as a bridge between older structural concerns about class and the multiple material causes of oppression afforded by additive social group memberships (Crenshaw, 1991). However, its focus over time shifted to one on variegated subjectivities; the “Queering” of intersectionality emerged at the turn of this century in Western cultures (Henderson, 2019).
Queer Theory was now claiming that sex, not just gender, was socially constructed (Butler, 1999; Monro, 2005), which was at odds with traditional realist understandings of genetic facts. Social theory then tended to focus on discourses, texts, and narratives, narrowing research methodology down to deconstruction and discourse analysis, rather than the mixed methods of the realist traditions. In turn this led to a political paradox. On the one hand, individuals were erased and replaced by a textual or narrative focus, what Anderson (1983) dubbed “subjectivism without a subject.” On the other hand, the focus on perspectivism, from the anti-realist Nietzschian legacy, legitimized a strong form of individualism. Now identity politics hyper-valorized epistemological privilege or “lived experience.”
Accordingly, the political claims of particular marginalized or oppressed groups could now be justified predominantly, or only, by group members themselves; outgroup members had little or no mandate for adjudicating on truth claims. In this case the views and expressed needs of trans individuals could be privileged confidently over those of “cis” people. Not only did the neologism of “cis” now emerge with identity politics (see above), so did the notions of “transphobia” and “anti-trans,” along with others, such as the derogatory attribution of being a “TERF” (trans exclusionary radical feminist).
These personalized politics, with the sacralization of experience and expressed needs (from “lived experience”), attained a common legitimacy at the turn of this century. In the Western academy in the 1980s and 1990s it was third wave feminism, underpinned by post-structuralism, which began to prevail and support identity politics (Mann, 2018; Watkins, 2018). Accordingly, personal choice increasingly defined social justice, with no necessary requirement to alter existing socio-economic power relationships. This trend is revealed in this assertion from a noted US trans activist, Janet Mock: Self-definition and self-determination is about the many varied decisions that we make to compose and journey toward ourselves, about the audacity and strength to proclaim, create, and evolve into who we know ourselves to be. It’s okay if your personal definition is in a constant state of flux as you navigate the world. (Mock, 2014: 15)
Other social forces reinforced this emphasis on individualistic voluntarism more widely in identity politics. In the case of transgenderism, transitioning and de-transitioning brought with them instrumental advantages for both healthcare professionals, securing their cognitive interests (Alford, 1975; Ioannidis, 2018), as well as opportunities for pharmaceuticalization (see below). Cross sex hormones and puberty blockers now offer a commercial opportunity for the drug companies, which might expand if healthcare increases its involvement with trans patients globally, cuing the next section.
What might happen next?
CR offers epistemic humility as a touchstone of social science, especially when faced with the challenge of making predictions in open systems. However, critical realists can and do discuss tendencies and possible scenarios (imagined futures). A resource from CR to consider these is the ontological assumption about our four planar social being. This refers to the complex laminated co-presence of: our relationship with the natural world (including our bodies); our relationship with one another (relationality); our embeddedness in our socio-economic structures (past and present); and our individual personal characteristics (our concrete singularity). The current trans controversy and where it might be leading can be framed by these four planes.
The natural world
At least some of the tension in the trans controversy relates to the meaning of our bodies (according to ourselves and others), especially in relation to the degree to which our genotypes might be altered by medical interventions. The future legitimacy of these phenotypical alterations, include potential alterations in age and race, not just sex, but also by becoming “trans-humans” as cyborgs. This wider “trans” question will be shaped by both social norms (see below) and human technological capability. The prospect of a transwoman bearing a child was rehearsed above. Transmen can already complete this act of sexual reproduction under medical management. Whilst intersex is the exception that proves the rule about sexual dimorphism in mammals, set in chain by evolution, it may be that in the future biological rather than social science will reveal the origins of transgenderism and its stronger form (transsexualism). Currently, this prospect is being debated but with no clear scientific answer to resolve the matter (Fine, 2010; cf. Smith et al., 2015).
Relationality
This plane has relevance for the future of trans people, given their statistical scarcity, implicating both intimate relationships and all of our shared everyday life. At least some of the current controversy focuses upon how the loneliness of trans people and their social rejection might lead to psychological distress, with oppressive interpersonal events, including violence, amplifying the latter. Increased tolerance or non-judgmental personal recognition is then not just a human rights issue; it also has implications for mental health.
Another reason that relationality is important is that “self-identification” implies that the mere assertion of identity is the necessary and sufficient condition for it to be socially and even legally recognized. However, this assumption is unproven: self-assertions require social validation and acceptance. For example, personal accounts are typically rejected from those we encounter, if we consider the speaker to be lying or deluded; credulousness is a social transaction (Antaki, 1981). Some transgressive public performances have remained enduring taboos (e.g. most societies today this would apply to nudity, physical violence, or insanity). What is not clear, for now, is whether transgender performativity will establish a ubiquitous tolerance or indifference from others. The current loose alliance noted at the outset from the range of critics of trans-affirmative ideology suggests that this normative shift has not yet occurred.
Socio-economic structures
Given that morbidity entails normativity (inter alia health refers to the mental and physical capacity for role success and rule conformity), then the persistence or reform of norms in the future in different cultures is a consideration about the transgender debate. The legitimacy of gender self-definition outside of the healthcare system is being supported by many in Western democracies, persuaded by the claims of trans activists. The bio-medicalized route is being supported by healthcare bureaucracies (such as the NHS in the UK) as well as being boosted by the wider process of pharmaceuticalization (Pilgrim and Entwistle, 2020; Williams et al., 2011). In Britain this trajectory was disrupted in December 2020 by a judicial review, critical of the policy of puberty blocker availability to children in the NHS (Judiciary of England and Wales, 2020). At the time of writing this judicial review is subject to appeal.
In other countries there may be different normative trajectories. For example, because homosexuality is outlawed in Iran today, transsexualism has emerged as a medicalized form of policy permission; immorality is thus politically re-framed in this theocracy as a form of disease (Harper, 2015). In the more liberal Thailand, culturally a range of trans identities are socially accepted (including those of tom-dee and kathoey). These politically different countries may then encourage greater pharmaceutical and surgical solutions to challenges of gender-identity than elsewhere. However, though still an international center of surgical enterprise, in 2008 Thailand introduced more restrictive legal constraints on biomedical interventions, similar to those operating in Europe. There is also variability in ease of consumer access state by state across the USA. Thus, consumer power varies across time and place in relation to biomedical interventions and may do so in the future.
An economic consideration is the funding of trans activism by rich benefactors, though this at times can lead to a form of single factor causal reasoning (see, e.g. Bilek, 2020a, 2020b). A less reductionist analysis of financial backing is offered by Biggs (2018). He notes that whilst it is true that some super-rich people now provide multi-million dollar backing for trans activist organizations, it is not the amounts involved but the bias evident. For example, in 2017 the Open Society Foundations (OSF) supplied $3.07 million to trans activist organizations. For perspective, this was only 0.3% of the OSF funding for charitable causes that year. The critical point noted for Biggs was that there is no record of the OSF providing any money at all for gender critical organizations. “Big philanthropy” for now seems to be supporting only one side in this particular domain of the “culture wars.” Biggs outlines the same funding bias in the case of other multi-million dollar benefactors, such as the Arcus Foundation and the Tawani Foundation.
From a CR perspective, we would expect complexity about any aspect of social ontology (not just trans activism). Accordingly, Bilek’s reductionist assertions need to be considered with that caution in mind and the moderating, though still critical, perspective offered by Biggs. Other contextualising considerations, noted earlier, are pharmaceuticalization, professional interest work, and the overarching and expansive logic of identity politics. The latter, which more generally hyper-valorizes subjectivity, stimulates political claims based upon self-identification. Thus, the ideology of sacralized subjectivity, drives bids for citizenship from activists. This ideological dynamic, not just objective economic factors, needs be part of any sociological formulation about the emergence of particular NSMs, including trans activism.
The trans debate reflects a wider tension between the emphases of identity politics and those of the older tradition of political economy and the reforms they implied. These two forms of judgment might be aligned in our appraisals of social progress, but they may be incommensurable. The lack of mutual respect within competing versions of identity politics has created a blocked dialectic, with one set of repeated assertions on one side from trans activists (e.g. “a transwoman is a woman”) being met with another set on the other from some feminists (e.g. “a woman is an adult human female”).
What remains unclear at present is whether the blocked dialectic will move on to a clearer consensus position about what might constitute social progress about biological sex and gender identity. Moreover, if so, how might that resolution proceed and with what metaphysical justification? Intersectionality as a site of social ontology containing complex generative mechanisms (n.b. not just variegated identities) might be a point of conflict resolution. Some critical realists have explored the conditions for establishing such a dialog but for now these are only suggestive and not evidence of concrete success (e.g. Dy, 2020; Gunnarsson, 2013; Hull, 2008; New, 2005; Pilgrim, 2018; Summersell, 2018).
Individual personalities
It is at the level of our concrete singularities that psychological differences (in this case about our experience of the “fit” between our natal bodies and our sense of who we are) is the starting point for any current or future discussion of trans phenomena. However, this experiential starting point soon is tested out in the other three planes. Can or should the discomforted person seek an answer to their existential predicament in biomedical solutions or in the civil rights demand that others should accept them as being say a woman, when phenotypically they are seen as a man? Will those around them welcome and tolerate these existential struggles and their preferred solutions or will they oppose them in a range of ways? Will social and economic conditions shape what can be experienced and what cannot?
How these questions are worked through in healthcare settings, depends for now on the wider blocked dialect noted above. Individual trans identities might be instated in public policy as being merely variations in human experience (the position of trans affirmative activism opposed to medicalization) deserving of respect at all times. Alternatively, they may be resisted for a range of overlapping, though not identical, reasons from religious conservatives, gender critical feminists, and metaphysical realists. These “cis” social actors are also individual personalities with their particular axiological priorities. They are not at all persuaded that the expectation of an epistemological privilege from trans affirmative activists should be readily accepted and automatically determine public policy.
If comprehensive de-medicalization were to prevail, then the personal challenges of trans individuals will be removed altogether from the domain of healthcare and its authoritative clinicians, leaving the historical legacy of transsexualism in limbo. If, on the other hand, the current trend of medicalization continues then the cognitive interests of clinical professionals (mental health workers, surgeons, and endocrinologists), as well as the commercial interests of the drug and medical technology companies, will be maintained and are likely to be enhanced.
Conclusion
The meta-theoretical resource of critical realism has been used to describe the current contestation about transgenderism, trace its technological and ideological antecedents, and rehearse future scenarios. Three points of contention were examined in relation to pediatric transition, sex-based pathology, and transgender healthcare. The framework of our four planar social being was utilized to guide a discussion of future prospects for the unresolved aspects of transgenderism and their implications for healthcare discussed.
The ambiguities explored in the final section highlight that although none of us can make clear predictions in open systems (in this case in relation to contemporary human societies) the planes in our four planar social being are relevant for social theory and health. Whilst our chromosomes are immutable, medical technology can be called upon, if there is a political desire, in order to manipulate human appearance and biological functioning; transgender healthcare is not unique in this regard. If there are to be cultural changes in our relationship with one another, such technological successes or failures will inflect stasis and change. The contention between the orientations described empirically in Table 1 will bring to the fore a critical scrutiny of the social and economic forces shaping transgender healthcare policies. The role of individualism within identity politics (simply choosing to be this or that person, as both a right and psychological process) will also continue to be a matter of contention.
Footnotes
Declaration of conflicting interests
The author declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The author received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
