Abstract
The current research applies a multi-stage approach for measuring and explaining the efficiency performance of 20 general insurers operating in India for the phase 2012–2013 to 2019–2020. In the first stage, the study adopts non-parametric radial data envelopment analysis (DEA) for point and interval estimation of firm-specific efficiency, scale efficiency, returns to scale (RTS) and scale elasticity. The second stage of the study applies panel data regression for regressing technical and scale efficiency scores on the index of market concentration, insurer age, return on shareholders’ capital and the solvency indicator. The outcome of the next stage indicates that the index of market concentration and insurer age are the two contextual variables which are statistically significant, although their impacts on technical and scale efficiency are negative. The influence of the solvency ratio is significant for scale efficiency only.
Introduction
In the domain of neoclassical production economics, the relationship between the inputs and output of the production process is often expressed in terms of a functional relationship between the quantity of output produced by the firm and the quantities of inputs used by it. The neoclassical production function is assumed to be well behaved, exhibiting homotheticity, smooth substitutability of inputs and diminishing marginal productivity. A producer can produce sub-optimally in the short run because capital is not a variable factor (in the short run). A homothetic production function is a monotone transformation of a homogeneous function. Shephard introduced the concept of duality, which implies that the production and cost functions are dual representations of the underlying production technology so that one of them can be obtained from the other one (and vice versa). The concept of duality in production economics is actually based on Fenchel (1949), which showed that the conjugate of a convex function is also convex.
An alternative approach to the theory of production function was introduced by Frisch in the form of an s-shaped technology which is more general in nature, as it accommodates three phases of returns to production scale (RTS) as the technology displays IRS (increasing returns to scale) in the initial stage of production followed by phases of CRS and DRS (constant and decreasing returns). Thus, compared to the neoclassical production function, which shows a Passus coefficient (elasticity of output relative to changes in the returns to scale [RTS]) varying between 0 and 1, the s-shaped production function can have a segment for which the Passus coefficient exceeds unity.
Given the aforementioned theoretical background, the current study seeks to estimate and analyze the technical efficiency and scale efficiency of in-sample non-life (general) insurance providers for a time span covering 2013–2014 to 2019–2020. In the post-reform phase, none of the existing studies provides an explicit link between the neoclassical microeconomic framework and the empirical evaluation of efficiency and scale properties. The current study seeks to fill this gap. In specific, the study seeks to address the below-mentioned (research) questions:
RQ1: Exploration of the trends in efficiency, RTS and (scale) elasticity of the Indian general insurers during 2012–2013 to 2019–2020.
RQ2: Impact of the exogenous (contextual) variables on the (technical and scale) efficiency estimates for the aforementioned period.
The current study can be divided into two stages. In the first stage, the study seeks to estimate technical and scale efficiency, RTS and the degree of scale economies of the observed general insurers. In the second stage, we have explored the relationship of estimated efficiency with the contextual variables selected for the study. The remaining part of the study has five sections and progresses as follows. Next, section ‘An Inspection of the Prior Studies’ reviews the extant literature on insurer efficiency. ‘Methodology’ section discusses the conceptual framework required for efficiency evaluation. This section also discusses the envelopment methodology of data (data envelopment analysis [DEA]) utilized in this paper for the estimation of efficiency (technical and scale), RTS and scale elasticity. ‘The Evaluation Framework’ section describes the data and estimation outcomes. ‘The Concluding Remarks’ section includes the concluding remarks.
An Inspection of the Prior Studies
International Studies
Extant non-life insurance performance literature in the international context encompasses areas like the presence of economies or diseconomies of scale, the impact of market and firm-level unification and the impact of product diversification. While the majority of the studies considered a one-stage black box model of production, some of the research studies are based on a network structure of production.
International research studies undertaken in the nineties and the early phase of the current millennium estimated productivity, efficiency and RTS mostly from the cost or profit side. These include Weiss (1991) which estimated a Leontief type profit function of property liability insurers for 1980–1984, Cummins and Weiss (1993) stochastic cost frontier for property-liability insurance companies for the period 1980–1988, Rai (1996) which estimated cost efficiency of insurance companies across 11 countries for 1988–1992, and Toivanen (1997) which estimated the cost efficiency frontier of Finnish non-life insurers for the phase 1989 through 1991 to investigating the presence of economies of scale and scope. Fukuyama and Weber (2001) estimated efficiency and productivity growth of 17 Japanese non-life insurers for the 11-year period 1983–1994. Ferro and León (2017) estimated comparative technical efficiency and technical change of Argentinian general insurers for the phase 2009–2014 using the parametric (stochastic) frontier approach.
A second group of studies examined the impact of various contextual variables like deregulation, market unification or market structure. Ennsfellner et al. (2004) examined the impact of deregulation (1994–1999) on the Austrian insurance sector and found a positive relationship between market deregulation and insurer efficiency. Choi and Weiss (2005) applied the stochastic frontier approach for examining the relationship between performance (of the firm), structure of the market and (cost and revenue) efficiency among US general insurers during 1992–1998. Barros et al. (2010) evaluated the impact of competition on Greek insurance companies (non-life and life) for 1994–2003 using a conditional DEA model. Mahlberg and Url (2010) considered the influence of market integration on 202 German insurance companies for 1991–2006. Cummins and Xie (2013) examined the influence of insurer size on efficiency and productivity. Alhassan and Biekpe (2015) evaluated efficiency, total factor productivity and scale properties of South African general insurers for 2007–2012 and found a nonlinear impact of insurer size on productivity and efficiency. Kramarić et al. (2022) investigated the efficiency drivers of Croatian non-life insurers for 2009–2021 and found that ownership and insurer age significantly influenced insurer performance.
Yang (2006) utilized a multi-stage non-parametric model for evaluating both production and investment efficiency of the health and life insurers of Canada. Kao and Hwang (2008) used multi-stage DEA models for 24 non-life insurers of Taiwan (based on mean observations for 2001 and 2002).
Indian Studies
Recent efficiency studies related to the Indian general insurers include Sinha (2007), Mandal and Dastidar (2014), Sinha (2017a, 2017b), Ilyas and Rajasekharan (2019a, 2019b) and Sinha and Vaisi (2022). Mandal and Dastidar (2014) evaluated the efficiency of several insurers in India for the span 2006–2007 through 2009–2010 utilizing DEA. The study evaluated the impact of the worldwide economic recession on the Indian insurers. Sinha (2017a) applied a dynamic DEA approach for evaluating intertemporal efficiency for the Indian non-life (general) insurers, while Sinha (2017b) linked performance with insurer solvency. Two studies of Ilyas and Rajasekharan (2019a, 2019b) estimated technical and scale efficiency and change in productivity of insurers for 2005–2016. The first study by Ilyas and Rajasekharan (2019a) estimated technical, scale, cost and allocative efficiency. The second study by Ilyas and Rajasekharan (2019b) estimated the Fare–Primont index of productivity and found total factor productivity in the sector. The total factor productivity growth observed during the observed period (2005–2016) is mainly due to scale and mix inefficiency.
Motivating Factors Behind the Current Research
While revisiting the issue of efficiency and scale properties of Indian general insurers, this study makes several (value) additions to the prior literature. First, as mentioned in the outset, it explicitly discusses the theoretical framework which serves as the backbone of the process of efficiency and scale evaluation. For facilitating intertemporal comparison of performance, the current study utilized panel data, leading to the construction of a global frontier of performance. Finally, in addition to the assessment of RTS and scale efficiency, the present study estimates the degree of economies of scale of the general insurers so that the responsiveness of output in response to changes in the RTS can be analyzed.
Methodology
In our study, the radial one-stage DEA approach is adopted over other methods for making an elaborate evaluation of the scale properties of the insurers. The current section briefly indicates the details of the estimation process of the production frontier and firm-wise efficiency under the radial approach.
Technical Efficiency
In the context of a production technology, the concept of technical inefficiency was introduced with the aid of the idea of distance functions introduced by Shephard (1953, 1970, 1974) and Farrell (1957). The (distance) functions permit a comparison of observed points with the best practice (efficient) points lying on the frontier. Corresponding to the input and output sides, we can represent the two distance functions as:
The input-oriented and output-oriented distance functions provide the maximum (minimum) amount by which the observed input (output) quantity can be divided and yet the target output (input) is attainable. Farrell’s distance functions (1957) can be obtained by inverting the distance function of Shephard (1953). In specific, both Shephard (1953) and Farrell (1957) introduced efficiency measures based on a proportional reduction of input/increase of output compared to the production frontier. Further, Farrell identified the frontier as the (maximum) pessimistic linearized envelopment of observed data points in the context of a one-output CRS technology.
Charnes et al. (1978) extended the approach advocated by Farrell in the context of several outputs and inputs but retained the assumption of CRS. Banker (1984) further extended the programming linked data envelopment approach in the context of varying returns.
Scale Efficiency
Relating to a production relation Y = f(X) where X and Y denote the input and output vectors, suppose the inputs are multiplied by α (the revised input vector is αX and the resultant output vector is βY). Banker (1984) showed that the return to scale can be measured at a point on the radially efficient surface of the production (possibility) set as 𝛿 =
Formal Presentation of the Evaluation Methodology
For explaining the Banker et al. (2019) model of evaluation, we invoke a hypothetical technology featuring several outputs and inputs. The vectors of input and output are represented by
The technology set includes output as well as input sets. The output set
The following axioms are satisfied by the technology: The technology set T is closed and non-empty, that is, it includes all of the boundary points and is non-empty. Strong disposability of inputs and outputs: If Convexity: The convexity of the technology set implies that if Minimum extrapolation of data: A minimal set is not a proper subset of any other set. This implies that the technology set (T) is constituted by the minimum extrapolation of data.
Taking the four axioms into consideration, the technical form of the empirical production possibility set T is provided here:
Thus, the input and output-oriented measures of technical efficiency are:
In the Charnes et al. approach of 1978, the assumption of global (constant) RTS rules out scale variations. The addition of the convexity constraint and minimum extrapolation of data to the Charnes et al. model allows local variations in technology, and thus the (pure-technical) efficiency measure is essentially a local measure of efficiency. The global measure of efficiency Charnes–Cooper–Rhodes (CCR), on the other hand, occurs at a point where average productivity is maximum most productive scale size (MPSS). The locally efficient point is also globally efficient if the firm is scale efficient, that is, it attains MPSS.
Banker (1984) derived the most productive scale size for a particular input and output mix and estimated the RTS. Banker and Thrall (1992) extended the RTS measure in the case of an MPSS interval accommodating the possibility of multiple optimal solutions. The frontier can thus be partitioned into segments exhibiting, increasing, constant and decreasing RTS.
In the radial approach to efficiency evaluation, scale efficiency is estimated from the CCR and Banker–Charnes–Cooper (BCC) measures of efficiency. Scale efficiency is derived as the ratio of the CCR and BCC measures of efficiency. Observed firms are scale efficient when both measures are equal, implying that scale efficiency is unity. In case of non-constant (increasing or decreasing) RTS, the firm has scale efficiency scores that are lower than unity.
Estimation of Scale Elasticity
Färe et al. (1988) proved that scale elasticity can be obtained from four approaches, all of which provide equivalent measures of scale elasticity.
The first measure utilizes the transformation function [T(Y,X)] and was introduced by Panzar and Willig (1977):
Another measure of scale elasticity can be obtained from the output distance function.
Fare et al. (1988) provided a third measure of scale elasticity based on the output distance function.
The fourth measure of scale elasticity is derived from the cost function.
Here, the cost function is denoted by C(y,p), where p is the input price vector. Thus, the cost function-based measure of scale elasticity measures the responsiveness of firm output to variations in the cost of production.
Relationship of Efficiency with Explanatory Variables
The (efficiency) performance of the observed insurers is dependent on several contextual factors which (indirectly) influence the process. In the current case, four contextual variables (index of market concentration, insurer age, solvency ratio and return on equity) are used as explanatory variables. Insurer age is a proxy for insurer experience. Solvency ratio is a measure of capital adequacy. Return on equity indicates profit earned per unit of capital and is expected to have a positive relationship with efficiency.
For estimating the relationship of efficiency with the exogenous variables, a panel data approach has been used. The benefit from the panel data framework arises from its ability to capture the unobserved effects of time and firm-specific factors. We have used logarithmic transformation of efficiency estimates as dependent variables (based on Banker and Natarajan (2008), as well as Banker et al. (2019)).
The Evaluation Framework
Choice of Input, Output and Exogenous Variables
Frontier efficiency evaluation needs the selection of inputs, outputs (and prices) for revenue/cost/profit efficiency models. Eling and Luhnen (2010) found three major types of inputs used in the insurance industry: agents and employees, business development and financial capital (including borrowed and owned capital). Regarding the output choice, Leverty and Grace (2010) found three methods: the (financial) intermediation approach (Sealey & Lindley, 1977), the user cost method (Hancock, 1985, 1991) and the value-addition approach (Berger et al., 1987; Berger & Humphrey, 1992). The intermediation approach treats financial service providers as intermediaries. The user-cost method by Hancock (1985, 1991) considers an indicator as an input or an output depending on whether its net revenue contribution is positive or negative. The third (value-added) approach considers such activities as outputs which lead to value addition (Berger et al., 1987). The value-added approach treats the insurers as the providers of the following services: risk pooling, bearing, real financial services and intermediation.
First and Second Stage Indicators.
Choice of Estimation Period
The current study includes the period 2012–2013 to 2019–2020. The study includes 16 (diversified) general insurance companies and four specialized health insurers functioning in India. The 16 diversified insurers include four public sector and 12 private sector insurers. All of the health insurers are privately owned. The data were procured from two sources: Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA) Annual Reports for the corresponding years and the Indian Insurance Statistics Handbook for 2012–2013 through 2019–2020.
Results and Discussion
Testing for Convexity of the Production Technology
We have tested the convexity of the technology by using methods suggested by Kneip et al. (2016) and Simar and Wilson (2020). The maintained hypothesis of convexity of the technology set is tested against the alternative hypothesis of non-convexity of the technology set. This is accomplished by randomly splitting the sample into two subsamples. Then we have compared the mean of the DEA efficiency estimate from the first subsample (which follows convexity and variable RTS) with the mean of the free disposal hull (FDH) efficiency estimate derived from the second subsample (based on non-convexity). Further, bootstrap replications are made for eliminating the problem of sensitivity. Two tests have been performed: the mean of Kneip et al. (2016) test statistic over the sample splits and a Kolmogorov–Smirnov one-sample test for checking whether the split values obtained from the application of Kneip et al. (2016) test are uniformly distributed. The results obtained (Table 2) do not provide any indication to reject the null hypothesis.
Tests for Convexity of the Technology.
Summary Statistical Indicators of Efficiency Scores
Technical Efficiency Statistics of the In-Sample Insurers.
Bootstrap Technical Efficiency of the In-Sample Insurers.
Variations in Mean Technical Efficiency Across Insurer Types
Mean Technical Efficiency Performance Across General Insurer Categories.
Ranking of General Insurers Based on Estimates of Technical Efficiency
Ranking of General Insurers Based on Technical Efficiency Scores.
Estimation of RTS, Scale Elasticity and Efficiency
We have also estimated the RTS, scale efficiency and scale elasticity of the in-sample insurers. The results are included in Tables 7–9 and Tables A3–A5.
Returns to Scale Composition of the Observed General Insurers.
Descriptive Statistics of Scale Efficiency.
Descriptive Statistics of Scale Elasticity.
Second Stage Analysis: Regression of Efficiency Scores on the Contextual Variables
In the second stage of our study, we have regressed the efficiency (technical and scale) estimates on several contextual variables, including the solvency indicator (Herfindahl–Hirschman index (HHI) of market concentration), return on shareholders’ capital and insurer age. The results are presented in Tables 10 and 11. Initially, both pooled ordinary least squares (OLS) and (fixed and random effects) panel data models have been considered for explaining technical and scale efficiency. However, the comparison of the models on the basis of Hausman’s test indicated that for explaining technical efficiency, the fixed effects approach is found to be more suitable than the random effects model. On the other hand, the random effects approach is more appropriate for explaining scale efficiency.
Fixed Effects Regression of Technical Efficiency on Contextual Variables.
Random Effects Regression of Scale Efficiency on Contextual Variables.
Concluding Remarks
The current study finds a number of important results by reinvestigating the trends in efficiency and scale properties of Indian general insurance and exploring the impact of contextual variables on technical and scale efficiency. First, both deterministic and bias-corrected technical efficiency exhibit an initial decline followed by a reversal of the trend by the end of the phase under observation. The changes in year-on-year scale efficiency have been less dramatic. Further, while the z-index of concentration and insurer age remained as the two most influential contextual variables, their impact on technical and scale efficiency has been diametrically opposite. Finally, most of the insurers exhibited decreasing RTS and low values of scale elasticity, which is worrisome.
The study, however, has a few shortcomings. First, the sample size is small, limited to 20 major diversified insurance companies. In recent times, a number of new insurers have penetrated the market, and the impact of the changed scenario needs investigation. Further, the study covers an 8-year span only and needs a separate investigation for the recent years. The assumption of global convexity also needs more detailed investigation, and in the case of non-convexity, a clustering approach to DEA (Sinha & Amirteimoori, 2025) might be a better option. Future research studies on Indian insurance companies can take care of the aforementioned limitations.
Footnotes
Declaration of Conflicting Interests
The author declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship and/or publication of this article.
Funding
The author received no financial support for the research, authorship and/or publication of this article.
