The mechanism of early-onset breakdowns was studied at on-ramp bottlenecks on expressways in Shanghai, China. From four on-ramp breakdown events captured on video, key parameters were extracted: prequeue flow, queue-discharge flow, speed variation per minute, lane change (LC) times in the mainline lanes and the acceleration lane, LC types, and LC locations (longitudinal and lateral). A total of 1,583 LC samples were analyzed. The findings showed a great difference in LC patterns when breakdowns occurred earlier than normal (i.e., before the bottleneck reaches expected capacity). In the case of an early breakdown, most LCs were forced LCs that occurred near the downstream end of the bottleneck, which spread laterally rather quickly. In contrast, in normal breakdowns in the United States, LCs were mostly free LCs that occurred evenly along the bottleneck longitudinally but were concentrated in rightmost lanes laterally.
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